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3656 Cr 4234
B+ Composite 76.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$59,000

3656 Cr 4234 · De Kalb, TX 75559
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,522 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 68 Days on market
0.93 ac lot $39/sqft · 83% below area ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located just outside the quaint town of DeKalb, TX, this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a unique opportunity to make it your own! Set on a spacious . 93-acre lot, the property provides plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, or potential future expansions. Inside, you'll find a welcoming layout with three generously sized bedrooms, a functional bathroom, and a living area just waiting for your creativity to shine. The property also boasts a large yard, perfect for creating your dream outdoor space. Whether you're an investor looking for your next project or a homeowner with a knack for renovation, this property offers great potential at an affordable price. Don't miss out on the chance to bring this home back to life and enjoy the peace and tranquility of country living, all while being just a short drive from the conveniences of DeKalb.

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • Spacious lot
  • 0.93 acre lot

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTLARGE YARDPOTENTIAL FUTURE EXPANSIONS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#721 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Simms ISD (rural): math 53% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #198 of 826 in TX (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $55,460 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.11%
Cap rate
17.71%
Cash-on-cash
40.77%
DSCR
2.81
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$357,491
List price
$59,000
Delta
-83.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.3%
Equity multiple
3.60×
Total profit
$42,994
Equity at exit
$26,648
10-year hold
IRR
46.0%
Equity multiple
7.23×
Total profit
$102,868
Equity at exit
$41,161

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75559

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,247 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,083/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$561

Break-even live

Break-even rent $537
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 68 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 67 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 66 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 65 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 58 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,000 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 50 DOM
  16. 2026-04-12
    listed $59,000 Active 862-char remark
    Show marketing remark (862 chars)

    Located just outside the quaint town of DeKalb, TX, this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a unique opportunity to make it your own! Set on a spacious . 93-acre lot, the property provides plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, or potential future expansions. Inside, you'll find a welcoming layout with three generously sized bedrooms, a functional bathroom, and a living area just waiting for your creativity to shine. The property also boasts a large yard, perfect for creating your dream outdoor space. Whether you're an investor looking for your next project or a homeowner with a knack for renovation, this property offers great potential at an affordable price. Don't miss out on the chance to bring this home back to life and enjoy the peace and tranquility of country living, all while being just a short drive from the conveniences of DeKalb.

  17. 2025-06-01
    price $64,000
  18. 2025-05-02
    price $69,000
  19. 2025-05-01
    soldstatus
  20. 2023-06-12
    soldstatus Closed
  21. 2023-06-10
    soldstatus
  22. 2023-05-22
    status Pending
  23. 2023-05-16
    listed $89,000 Active
  24. 1987-07-09
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,083 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,083 · $90/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,969
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$1,083
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,198
− Management
−$1,198
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$6,175
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,482
After-tax cash flow
$5,253/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Simms ISD
NCES district ID
4840320
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$48,223
Composite
41.83/100
National rank
#3387
State rank
#198 of 826 in TX

Livability — De Kalb

Score
65/100
State rank
#721
US rank
#13453

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,276

Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,699 people
By 2030
94,824 · +0.1%
By 2040
94,870 · +0.2%
By 2050
93,686 · -1.1%
By 2075
90,082 · -4.9%
By 2100
76,579 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bowie

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.04%
Current HPI
161.9331
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $59,000 TBOR
  • 2025-06-01 Price Changed $64,000 TBOR
  • 2025-05-02 Price Changed $69,000 TBOR
  • 2025-05-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-06-12 Sold (MLS) TBOR
  • 2023-06-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-05-22 Pending TBOR
  • 2023-05-16 Listed $89,000 TBOR
  • 1987-07-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,083 · -8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…