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1655 South Ave Duplex
B- Composite 67.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

1655 South Ave · Niagara Falls, NY 14305
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,804 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1900 3,840 sqft lot $55/sqft · at area comps Est $98k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Cash Flowing Duplex Priced to Sell FAST! $99,900 Discover immediate income with this fully rented duplex, generating $21,600 gross annual income ($900/month upper unit, $900/month lower unit), separate utilities with tenants covering gas/electric, with an amazing CAP rate of 16% (self managed, or 13.9% with a property manager). Each 2-bed/1-bath unit features month-to-month leases for flexibility, newer roof, full unfinished basement for storage/value-add, shared driveway with back parking, 2 water heaters (one from 2021), 2 furnaces (one brand new), and 2 newer 100A electric panels per unit. A great investment opportunity or a owner occupied with cash flow! Priced aggressively in a market where duplexes in 14305 under $100k are rare, 1,804 sqft on 3,833 sqft lot, for easy upside. Seller motivated, reach out before is gone!

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Fully rented duplex
  • Newer roof

Tags

FULLY RENTED DUPLEXSEPARATE UTILITIESNEWER ROOFFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTSHARED DRIVEWAYBACK PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $732/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.9% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,767/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1095% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $85k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,401 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.77%
Cap rate
23.87%
Cash-on-cash
62.77%
DSCR
3.79
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$98,246
List price
$99,900
Delta
1.68%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1535 Pierce Ave 0.31mi 4/2.0 1,724 (-4%) 2mo $35,000 $20 76
1333 North Ave 0.34mi 4/2.0 1,728 (-4%) 2mo $100,000 $58 75
1623 Linwood Ave 0.18mi 4/2.0 1,994 (+10%) 3mo $100,000 $50 72
1361 North Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,711 (-5%) 2mo $76,000 $44 71
2208 Weston Ave 0.24mi 4/2.0 2,016 (+12%) 1mo $55,000 $27 69
1811 Weston Ave 0.08mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,998 (+11%) 6mo $140,000 $70 64
1552 North Ave 0.28mi 4/2.0 2,016 (+12%) 6mo $155,000 $77 62
1312 Ontario Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,956 (+8%) 5mo $138,000 $71 61
2459 La Salle Ave 0.63mi 4/2.0 1,920 (+6%) 2mo $160,000 $83 59
2463 South Ave 0.48mi 4/2.0 2,016 (+12%) 3mo $137,500 $68 55
2260 Weston Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,540 (-15%) 3mo $135,000 $88 52
814 Willow Ave 0.70mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,072 (+15%) 2mo $140,000 $68 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.8%
Equity multiple
3.76×
Total profit
$77,066
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
66.3%
Equity multiple
7.70×
Total profit
$187,359
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14305

Home prices YoY
-10.9%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,767 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$157 /mo · $1,886/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$581
Net cashflow
$1,463

Break-even live

Break-even rent $915
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 42%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,767

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2020 Forest Ave Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 17d 1 0.56mi
784 15th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.5 1380 $1,350 $0.98 3d 1 0.61mi
642 Ashland Ave Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1238 $1,100 $0.89 3d 1 0.97mi
3025 Macklem Ave Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 1.5 1750 $2,200 $1.26 43d 1 1.08mi
2420 Mackenna Ave Unit 1 Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,390 $1.07 1d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 841-char remark
    Show marketing remark (841 chars)

    Cash Flowing Duplex Priced to Sell FAST! $99,900 Discover immediate income with this fully rented duplex, generating $21,600 gross annual income ($900/month upper unit, $900/month lower unit), separate utilities with tenants covering gas/electric, with an amazing CAP rate of 16% (self managed, or 13.9% with a property manager). Each 2-bed/1-bath unit features month-to-month leases for flexibility, newer roof, full unfinished basement for storage/value-add, shared driveway with back parking, 2 water heaters (one from 2021), 2 furnaces (one brand new), and 2 newer 100A electric panels per unit. A great investment opportunity or a owner occupied with cash flow! Priced aggressively in a market where duplexes in 14305 under $100k are rare, 1,804 sqft on 3,833 sqft lot, for easy upside. Seller motivated, reach out before is gone!

  2. 2026-04-17
    listed $99,900 Active 841-char remark
    Show marketing remark (841 chars)

    Cash Flowing Duplex Priced to Sell FAST! $99,900 Discover immediate income with this fully rented duplex, generating $21,600 gross annual income ($900/month upper unit, $900/month lower unit), separate utilities with tenants covering gas/electric, with an amazing CAP rate of 16% (self managed, or 13.9% with a property manager). Each 2-bed/1-bath unit features month-to-month leases for flexibility, newer roof, full unfinished basement for storage/value-add, shared driveway with back parking, 2 water heaters (one from 2021), 2 furnaces (one brand new), and 2 newer 100A electric panels per unit. A great investment opportunity or a owner occupied with cash flow! Priced aggressively in a market where duplexes in 14305 under $100k are rare, 1,804 sqft on 3,833 sqft lot, for easy upside. Seller motivated, reach out before is gone!

  3. 2025-03-31
    soldstatus $85,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,886 · $157/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,886 · $157/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,204
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,886
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,656
− Management
−$2,656
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$17,003
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,081
After-tax cash flow
$13,478/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
16,696
Household income
$51,004
Rent vs Own
38.4% rent · 61.6% own
Severe rent burden
1095.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.08%
Current HPI
350.8741
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $99,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,886 · +15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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