19 Fairview Ct · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you are looking for the perfect first home with 3 bedrooms, 1 ½ baths, then this is your opportunity! You get a cozy kitchen and a eat-in dining space. There is a large lovely formal living room and sun room. There is new carpet throughout the house. There is an office that is in the basement with a multi-funictional space. You get all of this in a quiet little neighborhood that minutes away from Charlotte beach and Ontario Beach park. PLUS, at this price, this house won’t last long! OWNERS NEED 24 HOUR NOTICE FOR SHOWINGS
Key facts
- 7,100 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1956
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Greece Central School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #544 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.72%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $222,750
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 Camden St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,322 (-2%) | 0mo | $282,000 | $213 | 90 |
| 86 Henley St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,275 (-6%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $157 | 75 |
| 25 Meech Park | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,368 (+1%) | 9mo | $160,000 | $117 | 68 |
| 25 Lakeland Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,459 (+8%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $113 | 60 |
| 82 Lakeland Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (+11%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $120 | 60 |
| 497 Hampton Blvd | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (-4%) | 7mo | $224,000 | $173 | 54 |
| 264 Alpine Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,292 (-4%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $93 | 54 |
| 211 Pebbleview Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,496 (+11%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $174 | 53 |
| 760 Beach Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,450 (+7%) | 8mo | $550,000 | $379 | 52 |
| 83 Dohrcrest Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (-5%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $175 | 47 |
| 522 Latta Rd | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,515 (+12%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $165 | 42 |
| 158 Stutson St | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,169 (-13%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $158 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,465
- Equity at exit
- $19,980
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $47,786
- Equity at exit
- $11,586
Cash invested: $37,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14612
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,895 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$703
- Tax from tax record
- −$435 /mo · $5,216/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $380 | -5% $342 | +0% $304 | +5% $266 | +10% $228 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $154 | -5% $229 | +0% $304 | +5% $379 | +10% $454 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $371 | -0.5pp $338 | base $304 | +0.5pp $269 | +1.0pp $234 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,500
- Closing costs
- $4,020
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 Spanish Trl Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 945 | $1,775 | $1.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 500 Greenleaf Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,650 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4302 Lake Ave Unit 1 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $3,000 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 37 Oakmount Dr Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 125 Windsor Rd Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 44 Windsor Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,795 | $2.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 534-582 Denise Rd Unit 562 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,575 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1255 Latta Rd Greece, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $1,570 | $2.23 | 3d | 5 | 1.43mi |
| 1495 Beach Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1494 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2026-04-13$134,000 Active
-
2019-06-24soldstatus $140,000 Closed Sale or Rented 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
If you are looking for the perfect first home with 3 bedrooms, 1 ½ baths, then this is your opportunity! You get a cozy kitchen and a eat-in dining space. There is a large lovely formal living room and sun room. There is new carpet throughout the house. There is an office that is in the basement with a multi-funictional space. You get all of this in a quiet little neighborhood that minutes away from Charlotte beach and Ontario Beach park. PLUS, at this price, this house won’t last long! OWNERS NEED 24 HOUR NOTICE FOR SHOWINGS
-
2019-05-13status Pending Sale 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
If you are looking for the perfect first home with 3 bedrooms, 1 ½ baths, then this is your opportunity! You get a cozy kitchen and a eat-in dining space. There is a large lovely formal living room and sun room. There is new carpet throughout the house. There is an office that is in the basement with a multi-funictional space. You get all of this in a quiet little neighborhood that minutes away from Charlotte beach and Ontario Beach park. PLUS, at this price, this house won’t last long! OWNERS NEED 24 HOUR NOTICE FOR SHOWINGS
-
2019-05-08$121,000 Active 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
If you are looking for the perfect first home with 3 bedrooms, 1 ½ baths, then this is your opportunity! You get a cozy kitchen and a eat-in dining space. There is a large lovely formal living room and sun room. There is new carpet throughout the house. There is an office that is in the basement with a multi-funictional space. You get all of this in a quiet little neighborhood that minutes away from Charlotte beach and Ontario Beach park. PLUS, at this price, this house won’t last long! OWNERS NEED 24 HOUR NOTICE FOR SHOWINGS
-
2018-12-18status Under Contract- Do Not Show
-
2018-12-17historical
-
2018-12-13$114,900 Active
-
2005-08-30soldstatus $105,500
-
2004-12-28soldstatus $90,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,216 · $435/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,216 · $435/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,742
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,506
- − Property taxes
- −$5,216
- − Insurance
- −$670
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,819
- − Management
- −$1,819
- − Depreciation
- −$3,898
- Taxable income
- $1,813
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$435
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,213/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greece Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612630
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,718
- Composite
- 32.26/100
- National rank
- #5761
- State rank
- #544 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,152
- Household income
- $82,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1063.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.89%
- Current HPI
- 254.157
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.37%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+48.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $134,000 UNYREIS
- 2019-06-24 Sold (MLS) $140,000 UNYREIS
- 2019-05-13 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2019-05-08 Listed $121,000 UNYREIS
- 2018-12-18 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2018-12-17 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2018-12-13 Listed $114,900 UNYREIS
- 2005-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $105,500 Public Records
- 2004-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,216 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…