6013 Stockholm Ln · Panama City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Original home was destroyed in Hurricane Michael. Dwelling was uninhabitable. Property sold as lot.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Storage shed
- Roof replacement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present; Short-term rentals allowed in the community
Exterior
- Utilities: Publicly maintained city street access
- Home design: Double wide mobile home; Zoned for mobile home
- Construction: Block and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms (bedroom dimensions listed)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating
- Interior features: 10 total rooms; Dining room; Living room; Primary bedroom with primary bathroom
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room (approx. 9.4 x 7.8)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
- Recommended offer: $174k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.7% in Panama City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#350 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 969 active listings in the ZIP; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $179k implies a 1019% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.25%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $108,000
- List price
- $179,000
- Delta
- 65.74%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-7,908
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $10,955
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32404
- Home prices YoY
- -16.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 969
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,844 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $685/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $386
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-08$179,000 Active 1111-char remark
-
2018-12-28historical
-
2018-12-18soldstatus $16,000
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Original home was destroyed in Hurricane Michael. Dwelling was uninhabitable. Property sold as lot.
-
2018-07-07$74,000
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Original home was destroyed in Hurricane Michael. Dwelling was uninhabitable. Property sold as lot.
-
2018-07-07$16,000
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Original home was destroyed in Hurricane Michael. Dwelling was uninhabitable. Property sold as lot.
-
2017-06-20soldstatus $65,900
-
2017-06-16soldstatus $65,900
-
2017-05-17$65,900
-
2000-12-28soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $685 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,486 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$801/yr (+$67/mo · 117.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$685
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,770
- − Management
- −$1,770
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $1,771
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$425
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,209/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Panama City
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #5823
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bay County · 163,593 people
- City population
- 91,445
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,514
- Household income
- $74,708
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1218.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.59%
- Current HPI
- 263.7178
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.12%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+123.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $179,000 CPARMLS
- 2018-12-28 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2018-12-18 Sold (MLS) $16,000 CPARMLS
- 2018-07-07 Listed $16,000 CPARMLS
- 2018-07-07 Listed $74,000 CPARMLS
- 2017-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $65,900 Public Records
- 2017-06-16 Sold (MLS) $65,900 CPARMLS
- 2017-05-17 Listed $65,900 CPARMLS
- 2000-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $685 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…