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4418 N Tampania Ave
D+ Composite 45.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

4418 N Tampania Ave · Tampa, FL 33614
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,836 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1949 10,019 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Foreclosure Auction Ends May 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM EST. Explore this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath residence set in a peaceful and well-located Tampa community. The list price is the opening bid for the online auction. Sold As-is. Explore more details and submit your bid through Federa Home App.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 1949
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RS-50

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Water: Other; Sewer: Other
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level; Residential property
  • Construction: Construction materials: See remarks; Other roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Road surface: Other

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 room total
  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $5k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,692/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 3363% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
53.84%
Cap rate
508.36%
Cash-on-cash
1793.10%
DSCR
80.78
GRM
0.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
89.99×
Total profit
$124,579
Equity at exit
$746
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
179.38×
Total profit
$249,725
Equity at exit
$432

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33614

Home prices YoY
-21.7%
Rents YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
209
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,692 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$26
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $75/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$565
Net cashflow
$2,092

Break-even live

Break-even rent $44
Max offer price $5,000
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,250
Closing costs
$150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4301 N Albany Ave Unit 1053147P Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1765 $3,582 $2.03 3d 1 0.46mi
2817 W Woodlawn Ave Unit 1053144P Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 2217 $5,809 $2.62 3d 1 0.50mi
4314 N River View Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.5 2090 $3,000 $1.44 15d 1 0.59mi
4314 N River View Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.5 2090 $3,000 $1.44 22d 1 0.59mi
3021 W Tampa Bay Blvd Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1298 $2,600 $2.00 24d 1 0.70mi
2424 W Tampa Bay Blvd Unit L408 Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1295 $2,350 $1.81 24d 1 0.70mi
2424 W Tampa Bay Blvd Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1295 $2,200 $1.70 13d 1 0.70mi
2424 W Tampa Bay Blvd Unit 1 Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1295 $2,395 $1.85 24d 1 0.70mi
2424 W Tampa Bay Blvd Unit M201 Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1295 $2,200 $1.70 14d 1 0.74mi
3321 W Woodlawn Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1350 $2,599 $1.93 24d 1 0.76mi
4909 N Darby Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1739 $2,700 $1.55 24d 1 0.79mi
4801 Wishart Blvd Unit 1053162P Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1420 $7,187 $5.06 14d 1 0.80mi
3301 W New Orleans Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1829 $3,000 $1.64 24d 1 0.81mi
2917 W Frierson Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1310 $2,500 $1.91 24d 1 0.84mi
4901 W Bartlett Dr Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1800 $3,200 $1.78 24d 1 0.93mi
1012 W Adalee St Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1700 $2,945 $1.73 17d 1 1.02mi
914 W Cimmeron Dr Tampa, FL 2.0 2.0 1763 $4,250 $2.41 24d 1 1.02mi
2311 W Aileen St Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1505 $2,900 $1.93 14d 1 1.03mi
4012 N Munro St Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1486 $3,850 $2.59 24d 1 1.11mi
5500 N Rome Ave Unit 29 Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 1864 $1,500 $0.80 24d 1 1.13mi
815 W Plymouth St Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1554 $2,395 $1.54 11d 1 1.16mi
815 W Plymouth St Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1554 $2,395 $1.54 4d 1 1.16mi
4412 N Clearfield Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1336 $2,250 $1.68 24d 1 1.26mi
1908 W Saint Louis St Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,600 $1.65 22d 1 1.33mi
5505 N Himes Ave Tampa, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1092 $1,655 $1.51 3d 8 1.34mi
2603 N Ridgewood Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 2336 $4,250 $1.82 15d 1 1.35mi
2701 N Fremont Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,100 $1.40 18d 1 1.37mi
2321 W Beach St Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1558 $2,750 $1.77 5d 1 1.38mi
2709 W Palmetto St Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1298 $2,635 $2.03 20d 1 1.41mi
3916 N Ola Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1673 $3,200 $1.91 18d 1 1.43mi
2705 N Poplar Ave Unit 1466151P Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1291 $4,738 $3.67 2d 1 1.43mi
3906 N Ola Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1225 $2,575 $2.10 24d 1 1.44mi
6115 N Albany Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1476 $2,250 $1.52 20d 1 1.44mi
2324 W Palmetto St Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1888 $2,800 $1.48 24d 1 1.45mi
902 W Columbus Dr Tampa, FL 3.0 1.0 1234 $2,995 $2.43 24d 1 1.46mi
5205 N Boulevard Tampa, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1175 $1,854 $1.58 3d 17 1.47mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    listed $5,000 Active
  2. 2020-12-30
    soldstatus $224,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,301
− Mortgage interest
−$280
− Property taxes
−$75
− Insurance
−$25
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,584
− Management
−$2,584
− Depreciation
−$145
Taxable income
$26,608
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,386
After-tax cash flow
$18,718/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tampa

Score
79/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2135

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tampa, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
523,346
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
47,298
Household income
$50,232
Rent vs Own
56.8% rent · 43.2% own
Severe rent burden
3363.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 37% White 18% Black 9% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 32% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
44% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
36% English-only · Spanish 58% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.33%
Current HPI
498.3567
Rent YoY
▼ -1.24%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-97.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2020-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $224,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,579 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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