4418 N Tampania Ave · Tampa, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Foreclosure Auction Ends May 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM EST. Explore this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath residence set in a peaceful and well-located Tampa community. The list price is the opening bid for the online auction. Sold As-is. Explore more details and submit your bid through Federa Home App.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 1949
- Listed 6 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: RS-50
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; On-street parking
- Utilities: Water: Other; Sewer: Other
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; Residential property
- Construction: Construction materials: See remarks; Other roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Road surface: Other
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 room total
- Flooring: Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Other flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $5k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,692/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 3363% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 53.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 508.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1793.10%
- DSCR
- 80.78
- GRM
- 0.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 89.99×
- Total profit
- $124,579
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 179.38×
- Total profit
- $249,725
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33614
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,692 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$565
- Net cashflow
- $2,092
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4301 N Albany Ave Unit 1053147P Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1765 | $3,582 | $2.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2817 W Woodlawn Ave Unit 1053144P Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2217 | $5,809 | $2.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4314 N River View Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2090 | $3,000 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4314 N River View Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2090 | $3,000 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3021 W Tampa Bay Blvd Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,600 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2424 W Tampa Bay Blvd Unit L408 Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $2,350 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2424 W Tampa Bay Blvd Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $2,200 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2424 W Tampa Bay Blvd Unit 1 Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $2,395 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2424 W Tampa Bay Blvd Unit M201 Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $2,200 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3321 W Woodlawn Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,599 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4909 N Darby Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1739 | $2,700 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4801 Wishart Blvd Unit 1053162P Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $7,187 | $5.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3301 W New Orleans Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1829 | $3,000 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2917 W Frierson Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4901 W Bartlett Dr Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,200 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1012 W Adalee St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,945 | $1.73 | 17d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 914 W Cimmeron Dr Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1763 | $4,250 | $2.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2311 W Aileen St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1505 | $2,900 | $1.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4012 N Munro St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $3,850 | $2.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5500 N Rome Ave Unit 29 Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1864 | $1,500 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 815 W Plymouth St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $2,395 | $1.54 | 11d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 815 W Plymouth St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $2,395 | $1.54 | 4d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4412 N Clearfield Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $2,250 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1908 W Saint Louis St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $2,600 | $1.65 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5505 N Himes Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1092 | $1,655 | $1.51 | 3d | 8 | 1.34mi |
| 2603 N Ridgewood Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2336 | $4,250 | $1.82 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2701 N Fremont Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2321 W Beach St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $2,750 | $1.77 | 5d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2709 W Palmetto St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,635 | $2.03 | 20d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3916 N Ola Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1673 | $3,200 | $1.91 | 18d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2705 N Poplar Ave Unit 1466151P Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $4,738 | $3.67 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3906 N Ola Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $2,575 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 6115 N Albany Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $2,250 | $1.52 | 20d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2324 W Palmetto St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1888 | $2,800 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 902 W Columbus Dr Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1234 | $2,995 | $2.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5205 N Boulevard Tampa, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1175 | $1,854 | $1.58 | 3d | 17 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-20$5,000 Active
-
2020-12-30soldstatus $224,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,301
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,584
- − Management
- −$2,584
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $26,608
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,386
- After-tax cash flow
- $18,718/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tampa
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2135
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tampa, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 523,346
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,298
- Household income
- $50,232
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3363.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 37% White 18% Black 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 32% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 44% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 58% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.33%
- Current HPI
- 498.3567
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.24%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-97.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2020-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $224,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,579 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…