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208 Petunia Dr
D- Composite 36.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.6/15.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,000

208 Petunia Dr · Taylor, AL 36301
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,242 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1994 0.27 ac lot $148/sqft · 25% above area Est $177k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bedroom 2 bath single family home. The backyard is fenced, has a storage shed, and a large wooden deck. The home also has an insulated single car garage with a mini-split heat and AC unit in the garage. Minutes from shopping and dining on the west side of Dothan.

Key facts

  • Large wooden deck
  • Backyard fenced
  • Storage shed

Tags

BACKYARD FENCEDSTORAGE SHEDLARGE WOODEN DECKINSULATED SINGLE CAR GARAGEMINI-SPLIT HEAT AND AC UNIT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 total parking space; 1 covered parking space; 1-car garage
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Deck; Covered porch; On waterfront; Storage structure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Pantry; Ceiling fan(s); Walk-in closet(s); Eat-in kitchen; Double-pane windows; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $184k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-134/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (1.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (26.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#123 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Houston County (rural): math 25% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #38 of 129 in AL (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Rehobeth Elementary School (math 51% / reading 69%, grade B-, #61 of 627 statewide, top 10%, 1,174 students, 58% FRL); Rehobeth Middle School (math 22% / reading 54%, grade F, #69 of 257 statewide, top 27%, 626 students, 58% FRL); Rehobeth High School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #70 of 305 statewide, top 27%, 788 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 412 active listings in the ZIP; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,746 (26.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.26%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,654
List price
$184,000
Delta
4.16%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
216 Petunia Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,259 (+1%) 6mo $159,000 $126 90
307 Caladium Rd 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,225 (-1%) 6mo $182,000 $149 85
215 Landview Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,304 (+5%) 5mo $195,000 $150 85
205 Petunia 0.04mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (+6%) 2mo $190,000 $144 81
202 Begonia Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,297 (+4%) 17mo $183,000 $141 75
823 Landview 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (+9%) 2mo $147,000 $109 69
101 Caladium Rd 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,325 (+7%) 13mo $137,500 $104 68
211 Landview Dr 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,419 (+14%) 13mo $170,000 $120 64
102 Holiday 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,304 (+5%) 1mo $130,000 $100 56
5924 Henry Mouring Rd 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,375 (+11%) 1mo $190,000 $138 54
100 Periwinkle Ct 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,204 (-3%) 11mo $173,500 $144 52
105 Periwinkle Ct 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,427 (+15%) 2mo $183,800 $129 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.8%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-30,621
Equity at exit
$27,435
10-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-27,964
Equity at exit
$15,909

Cash invested: $51,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36301

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
412
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,357 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$965
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $503/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$-11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,372
Max offer price $182,031
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $93 -5% $41 +0% $-11 +5% $-63 +10% $-115
Rent -10% $-118 -5% $-65 +0% $-11 +5% $42 +10% $96
Rate -1.0pp $82 -0.5pp $36 base $-11 +0.5pp $-59 +1.0pp $-107

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,000
Closing costs
$5,520
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 265-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $184,000 Active 265-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$503 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$754 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$251/yr (+$21/mo · 49.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,290
− Mortgage interest
−$10,307
− Property taxes
−$503
− Insurance
−$920
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,303
− Management
−$1,303
− Depreciation
−$5,353
Taxable loss
−$3,400
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$816
After-tax cash flow
$682/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston County
NCES district ID
0101770
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$40,530
Composite
31.01/100
National rank
#6092
State rank
#38 of 129 in AL

Livability — Taylor

Score
65/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#12760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Taylor, AL
Population (ZIP)
38,627

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,280 people
By 2030
112,668 · +2.2%
By 2040
116,149 · +5.3%
By 2050
117,805 · +6.8%
By 2075
118,577 · +7.5%
By 2100
110,940 · +0.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.46%
Current HPI
161.1212
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $189,000 SAMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Pending SAMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $184,000 SAMLS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $503 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…