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2251 Albert St
A Composite 85.47
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$50,000

2251 Albert St · Ocheyedan, IA 51354
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 989 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1895 0.37 ac lot Est $68k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to small-town living in May City! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Situated on a spacious lot, this property offers an excellent opportunity for an investment property, rental or affordable starter home.

Key facts

  • 0.37 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1895

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half level; 1 story total
  • Construction: 0.37-acre lot (96 x 112)
  • Exterior features: Slate and metal roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($891 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#506 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn Community School District (rural): math 72% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #111 of 289 in IA (top 38%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
  • Osceola County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $49,250 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.78%
Cap rate
15.74%
Cash-on-cash
33.73%
DSCR
2.50
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$68,241
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6663 Florence Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 1,078 (+9%) 24mo $74,000 $69 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.0%
Equity multiple
3.06×
Total profit
$28,803
Equity at exit
$20,065
10-year hold
IRR
38.9%
Equity multiple
6.02×
Total profit
$70,342
Equity at exit
$29,161

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 51354

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$891 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $324/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$187
Net cashflow
$393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $392
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $422 -5% $408 +0% $393 +5% $379 +10% $365
Rent -10% $323 -5% $358 +0% $393 +5% $429 +10% $464
Rate -1.0pp $419 -0.5pp $406 base $393 +0.5pp $381 +1.0pp $367

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $50,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $55,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $55,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-05-27
    listed $55,000 Active
  18. 2025-08-08
    price $45,000
  19. 2025-06-11
    listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$324 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$554 · $46/mo
Expected delta
+$230/yr (+$19/mo · 71.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,686
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$324
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$855
− Management
−$855
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$4,147
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$995
After-tax cash flow
$3,726/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn Community School District
NCES district ID
1913660
Math proficiency
72% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$46,177
Composite
61.08/100
National rank
#790
State rank
#111 of 289 in IA

Livability — Ocheyedan

Score
66/100
State rank
#506
US rank
#11240

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,034
Population (ZIP)
1,034

Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,434 people
By 2030
5,046 · -7.1%
By 2040
4,339 · -20.2%
By 2050
3,711 · -31.7%
By 2075
2,649 · -51.3%
By 2100
1,975 · -63.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 17% Portuguese 12% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Osceola

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.2) · D 17.2% · R 81.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.6pp toward R · 2008: -31.7pp · 2024: -64.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.2 2020: R+62.8 2016: R+61.8 2012: R+41.4 2008: R+31.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.13%
Current HPI
106.3027
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $55,000 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
  • 2025-08-08 Price Changed $45,000 NWIA
  • 2025-06-11 Listed $55,000 NWIA

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $324 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…