3030 Prince Ave · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.6/15.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Purchase this property for as little as 3% down! 3 Bedroom & 1 Bath Home with a spacious Living Room. Upon entering this Home you are welcomed into the large Living Room which opens into the Dining Room. Off the Dining Room is a large Kitchen with an eating area & a Laundry Room. All 3 Bedrooms are nice sized with plenty of closet space sharing a Full Hall Bath. Right of redemption may apply.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 28 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Central Park Elementary School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #616 of 627 statewide, top 98%, 447 students, 83% FRL); Wenonah High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools at 84% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $55k implies a 633% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.15%
- DSCR
- 2.74
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $48,590
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3009 Prince Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+4%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $43 | 78 |
| 1820 33rd St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,212 (+7%) | 7mo | $40,000 | $33 | 73 |
| 4732 Terrace | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,125 (-0%) | 0mo | $29,500 | $26 | 73 |
| 3300 Avenue Q | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 1,227 (+9%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $29 | 67 |
| 1604 44th St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,100 (-3%) | 6mo | $53,000 | $48 | 58 |
| 2700 30th Street Ensley | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,136 (+0%) | 6mo | $33,500 | $29 | 56 |
| 1516 32nd St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 1,028 (-9%) | 4mo | $57,000 | $55 | 55 |
| 1515 35th St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,205 (+7%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $66 | 53 |
| 1429 33rd Street Ensley | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,016 (-10%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $44 | 51 |
| 1836 Bessemer Rd | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,258 (+11%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $44 | 50 |
| 4829 Avenue | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,247 (+10%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $40 | 46 |
| 4728 Terrace | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,276 (+13%) | 4mo | $29,900 | $23 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $27,876
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 48.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.64×
- Total profit
- $86,923
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35208
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,077 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $444/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $502
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3009 Prince Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,095 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3221 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2133 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1308 | $1,300 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2329 30th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $990 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4637 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $975 | $0.80 | 2d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2017 48th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $1,250 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2421 29th Street Ensley Unit C Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $703 | $0.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4732 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1372 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2037 26th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $995 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4736 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4813 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,125 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4801 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1310 | $1,000 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1528 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,073 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1616 28th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1081 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1532 31st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $850 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1617 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1413 | $1,030 | $0.73 | 16d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4825 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1310 | $1,050 | $0.80 | 16d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1545 29th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1331 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1540 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 899 | $1,037 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2426 Avenue U Unit U Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,175 | $0.93 | 19d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1520 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,195 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4724 Court R Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $895 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1607 43rd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,150 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4619 Terrace Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $900 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2610 Avenue P Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $850 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1521 27th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1501 29th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $800 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1609 Pike Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 820 | $800 | $0.98 | 19d | 5 | 0.68mi |
| 1933 Saint Charles Ct SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1417 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1103 | $1,025 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1429 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $850 | $0.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1420 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2337 23rd Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $1,295 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1509 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,123 | $0.89 | 12d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1515 45th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $875 | $0.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1306 35th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,173 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4929 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2356 22nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $985 | $0.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1301 32nd Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $975 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-02-20status Pending
-
2026-02-14price $55,000
-
2026-01-23$65,000 Active
-
2013-06-26soldstatus $7,500 407-char remark
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
Purchase this property for as little as 3% down! 3 Bedroom & 1 Bath Home with a spacious Living Room. Upon entering this Home you are welcomed into the large Living Room which opens into the Dining Room. Off the Dining Room is a large Kitchen with an eating area & a Laundry Room. All 3 Bedrooms are nice sized with plenty of closet space sharing a Full Hall Bath. Right of redemption may apply.
-
2013-04-17$7,800 407-char remark
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
Purchase this property for as little as 3% down! 3 Bedroom & 1 Bath Home with a spacious Living Room. Upon entering this Home you are welcomed into the large Living Room which opens into the Dining Room. Off the Dining Room is a large Kitchen with an eating area & a Laundry Room. All 3 Bedrooms are nice sized with plenty of closet space sharing a Full Hall Bath. Right of redemption may apply.
-
2006-04-04soldstatus $76,000
-
1996-08-01soldstatus $20,000
-
1986-04-04soldstatus $16,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $444 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $444 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$444
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,034
- − Management
- −$1,034
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $5,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,309
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,720/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
- Household income
- $38,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 573.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.99%
- Current HPI
- 153.414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.24%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+243.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-20 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $55,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $65,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2013-06-26 Sold (MLS) $7,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2013-04-17 Listed $7,800 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2006-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 1996-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1986-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $444 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…