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812 Highland St Triplex
C+ Composite 64.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.0/15.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

812 Highland St · Syracuse, NY 13203
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,342 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 167 Days on market
Built 1910 3,300 sqft lot Est $133k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Investors! Looking for a great cashflow asset. Newer roof, kitchen & baths have been updated in 2 of the units. On busline & walking distance to shopping & parks.

Key facts

  • Immediate cash flow
  • Build equity
  • Solid rental demand

Tags

TRIPLEXMULTI-UNIT PROPERTYFLEXIBLE LAYOUTIMMEDIATE CASH FLOWSOLID RENTAL DEMANDBUILD EQUITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2×1bd/1.0ba + 1×2bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $746/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.2% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 55 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,067/mo this rent would consume 104% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1566% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $130k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $131,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.71%
Cap rate
24.21%
Cash-on-cash
63.99%
DSCR
3.85
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,494
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
501-503 Dewitt St 0.38mi 4/2.0 2,370 (+1%) 2mo $198,000 $84 75
1215 Oak St #17 0.43mi 4/2.0 2,482 (+6%) 1mo $218,200 $88 65
635 E Division St 0.41mi 4/2.0 2,376 (+2%) 11mo $110,000 $46 65
128 John St 0.37mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,269 (-3%) 6mo $129,000 $57 64
1107 Butternut St 0.17mi 4/2.0 2,002 (-14%) 9mo $34,900 $17 57
115 John St 0.41mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,516 (+7%) 5mo $120,000 $48 55
932-934 Oak St 0.29mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,050 (-12%) 2mo $105,000 $51 55
300 Helen St 0.35mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,098 (-10%) 4mo $165,000 $79 53
317 E Division St 0.59mi 4/2.0 2,016 (-14%) 2mo $119,900 $59 44
1417 Butternut St 0.56mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,005 (-14%) 8mo $79,900 $40 38
1354 Oak St 0.54mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,625 (+12%) 11mo $185,000 $70 36
1021 N Townsend St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,030 (-13%) 6mo $69,900 $34 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
68.6%
Equity multiple
4.33×
Total profit
$139,786
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
74.2%
Equity multiple
10.61×
Total profit
$403,211
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13203

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
8.4%
Active inventory
55
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,067 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$126 /mo · $1,513/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$854
Net cashflow
$2,238

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,234
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,323 -5% $2,281 +0% $2,238 +5% $2,196 +10% $2,153
Rent -10% $1,917 -5% $2,078 +0% $2,238 +5% $2,399 +10% $2,560
Rate -1.0pp $2,314 -0.5pp $2,276 base $2,238 +0.5pp $2,199 +1.0pp $2,160

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $1,408
Total (3 units) $4,067

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
712 Oak St Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 2461 $1,700 $0.69 21d 1 0.27mi
365 Green St Syracuse, NY 5.0 3.5 2263 $3,300 $1.46 21d 1 0.57mi
447 E Washington St Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 2095 $2,100 $1.00 14d 1 1.02mi
1205 Madison St Fl -1 Syracuse, NY 4.0 3.0 2988 $2,640 $0.88 44d 1 1.42mi
1108 Madison St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 1580 $2,080 $1.32 44d 1 1.43mi
202 Stafford Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1692 $1,800 $1.06 14d 1 1.43mi
1607 Burnet Ave Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 2538 $1,650 $0.65 21d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-03-16
    status Pending
  2. 2025-09-29
    listed $149,900 Active
  3. 2024-02-15
    soldstatus $129,900
  4. 2024-02-12
    soldstatus $129,900 Closed 180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (180 chars)

    Investors! Looking for a great cashflow asset. Newer roof, kitchen & baths have been updated in 2 of the units. On busline & walking distance to shopping & parks.

  5. 2023-12-27
    status Pending 180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (180 chars)

    Investors! Looking for a great cashflow asset. Newer roof, kitchen & baths have been updated in 2 of the units. On busline & walking distance to shopping & parks.

  6. 2023-09-16
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (180 chars)

    Investors! Looking for a great cashflow asset. Newer roof, kitchen & baths have been updated in 2 of the units. On busline & walking distance to shopping & parks.

  7. 2023-07-17
    listed $129,900 Active 180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (180 chars)

    Investors! Looking for a great cashflow asset. Newer roof, kitchen & baths have been updated in 2 of the units. On busline & walking distance to shopping & parks.

  8. 2018-12-19
    historical
  9. 2018-09-18
    price $69,900
  10. 2018-08-21
    listed $65,000 Active
  11. 1996-11-12
    soldstatus $53,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,513 · $126/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,023 · $169/mo
Expected delta
+$510/yr (+$43/mo · 33.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,804
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,513
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,904
− Management
−$3,904
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$25,976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,234
After-tax cash flow
$20,626/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
16,180
Household income
$46,997
Rent vs Own
63.8% rent · 36.2% own
Severe rent burden
1566.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, India, Philippines
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.69%
Current HPI
263.2588
Rent YoY
▲ 8.39%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+182.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Pending CNYIS
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $149,900 CNYIS
  • 2024-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
  • 2024-02-12 Sold (MLS) $129,900 CNYIS
  • 2023-12-27 Pending CNYIS
  • 2023-09-16 Pending CNYIS
  • 2023-07-17 Listed $129,900 CNYIS
  • 2018-12-19 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2018-09-18 Price Changed $69,900 CNYIS
  • 2018-08-21 Listed $65,000 CNYIS
  • 1996-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,513 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…