5016 N 50th St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Stair less rental home in handy location. This house has a side drive, garage and newer roof. Property is occupied by a long term tenant.
Key facts
- Newer roof
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $95k implies a 313% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.86%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $111,718
- List price
- $94,900
- Delta
- -15.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5243 N 46th St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 803 (+8%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $168 | 69 |
| 4633 N Sherman Blvd | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 741 (-1%) | 1mo | $88,500 | $119 | 68 |
| 5120 N 56th St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 713 (-5%) | 2mo | $103,000 | $144 | 68 |
| 4224 W Peck Pl | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-0%) | 2mo | $64,820 | $87 | 67 |
| 4868 N 52nd St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+14%) | 2mo | $145,605 | $171 | 65 |
| 5261 N 46th St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 803 (+8%) | 6mo | $80,000 | $100 | 64 |
| 4663 N 48th St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-10%) | 2mo | $77,000 | $115 | 61 |
| 5247 N 44th St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 803 (+8%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $143 | 60 |
| 5051 N 58th St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 796 (+7%) | 7mo | $65,500 | $82 | 59 |
| 5351 N 55th St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 845 (+13%) | 3mo | $128,000 | $151 | 45 |
| 5353 N 56th St | 0.58mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 832 (+11%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $150 | 40 |
| 5445 N 54th St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 855 (+14%) | 7mo | $163,000 | $191 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,657
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $24,151
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53218
- Home prices YoY
- -19.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,896/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $174
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4572 N 38th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4651 N 36th St #4 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $945 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6026 W Carmen Ave Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,195 | $1.78 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5820 N 65th St #5822 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,245 | $1.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4603 N 29th St Unit 3 Milwaukee, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 510 | $750 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-24price $94,900 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
Stair less rental home in handy location. This house has a side drive, garage and newer roof. Property is occupied by a long term tenant.
-
2026-04-16$99,900 Active 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
Stair less rental home in handy location. This house has a side drive, garage and newer roof. Property is occupied by a long term tenant.
-
2012-12-10historical 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom stairless ranch await you! This home is in Great condition with some newer updates! Large backyard, side drive leading to a newly built 2.5 car garage. This is a great deal. Seller will look at all offers!!!This is a short sale please allow time for lenders approval.
-
2012-12-10$19,900 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom stairless ranch await you! This home is in Great condition with some newer updates! Large backyard, side drive leading to a newly built 2.5 car garage. This is a great deal. Seller will look at all offers!!!This is a short sale please allow time for lenders approval.
-
2012-12-07soldstatus $23,000 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom stairless ranch await you! This home is in Great condition with some newer updates! Large backyard, side drive leading to a newly built 2.5 car garage. This is a great deal. Seller will look at all offers!!!This is a short sale please allow time for lenders approval.
-
2007-04-05soldstatus $67,900
-
2007-03-27soldstatus $67,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,896 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,896 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,896
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $644
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$155
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,934/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,196
- Household income
- $45,642
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2421.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% Asian 10% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.44%
- Current HPI
- 325.1975
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.29%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+39.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $94,900 METROMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $99,900 METROMLS
- 2012-12-10 Listed $19,900 METROMLS
- 2012-12-10 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2012-12-07 Sold (MLS) $23,000 METROMLS
- 2007-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $67,900 Public Records
- 2007-03-27 Sold (MLS) $67,900 METROMLS
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,896 · +18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…