5880 Victoria Creek Ln · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,940
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into our Tradition Series best seller, the Greyson II. It is a beautifully designed villa that maximizes space and comfort. With approximately 1,373 square feet, this three-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of style and functionality. The open-concept layout creates a seamless flow between the spacious kitchen, dining area, and gathering room ideal for entertaining family and friends. Large windows throughout the home fill the space with natural light, creating a bright and welcoming atmosphere. The large kitchen bar with quartz countertop serves as the heart of the home, making meal prep both easy and enjoyable. Abundant natural light from sliding doors brightens the entire space, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Upstairs, the primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a spacious bathroom, a vanity, and a large walk-in closet. Conveniently located upstairs laundry adds to the home's practicality. The Greyson II isn't just a home, it's a smart investment. With energy-efficient features and thoughtful design, this stunning new construction villa is available in desirable neighborhoods across North Florida. Contact one of our Online Sales Concierge today to start your journey to homeownership.
Key facts
- Quartz countertop
- Large kitchen bar
- Open-concept layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($877/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (3.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Greenfield Elementary School (math 51% / reading 44%, grade D, #1,182 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 592 students, 56% FRL); Jean Ribault Middle School (math 28% / reading 24%, grade F, #506 of 571 statewide, top 89%, 679 students, 78% FRL); Jean Ribault High School (math 22% / reading 25%, grade F, #533 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,385 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 49% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 899 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $77k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.65%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $259,990
- List price
- $189,940
- Delta
- -26.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5865 Victoria Creek Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,373 (0%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $168 | 100 |
| 5887 Victoria Creek Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,373 (0%) | 4mo | $271,440 | $198 | 96 |
| 5856 Victoria Creek Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,373 (0%) | 5mo | $257,500 | $188 | 96 |
| 5877 Victoria Creek Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,373 (0%) | 6mo | $259,990 | $189 | 95 |
| 5858 Victoria Creek Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,373 (0%) | 6mo | $258,990 | $189 | 95 |
| 5875 Victoria Creek Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,373 (0%) | 6mo | $259,990 | $189 | 95 |
| 5868 Victoria Creek Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,373 (0%) | 7mo | $246,990 | $180 | 94 |
| 3436 Prather Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (+4%) | 4mo | $315,000 | $220 | 76 |
| 5957 Carrevero Dr S | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,396 (+2%) | 5mo | $299,000 | $214 | 68 |
| 3268 E Victoria Ct | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,462 (+6%) | 8mo | $308,000 | $211 | 65 |
| 6026 Chevy Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (+11%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $212 | 61 |
| 3064 Carrevero Dr W | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,432 (+4%) | 8mo | $303,000 | $212 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-31,427
- Equity at exit
- $28,321
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-41,849
- Equity at exit
- $16,423
Cash invested: $53,183 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 11 active · 18 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.3 mo (14%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $252,000 ($194/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 110 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -2.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32219
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 899
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,831 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$237 /mo · $2,849/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$61
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $73
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $204 | -5% $139 | +0% $73 | +5% $7 | +10% $-58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-72 | -5% $1 | +0% $73 | +5% $145 | +10% $218 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $169 | -0.5pp $121 | base $73 | +0.5pp $24 | +1.0pp $-26 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,485
- Closing costs
- $5,698
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3530 Victoria Park Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1043 | $1,425 | $1.37 | 164d | 16 | 0.14mi |
| 3530 Victoria Park Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1088 | $1,425 | $1.31 | 2d | 13 | 0.14mi |
| 3223 Victoria Park Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1713 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 112d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 6700 Bowden Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $1,573 | $1.07 | 11d | 2 | 0.38mi |
| 6680 Bennett Creek Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,978 | $1.70 | 0d | 11 | 0.39mi |
| 3255 Kegler Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,100 | $1.45 | 10d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 6700 Bowden Rd #104 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1607 | $1,751 | $1.09 | 112d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 6700 Bowden Rd #103 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $1,498 | $1.02 | 2d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 6700 Bowden Rd Unit ROAD1604 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $1,700 | $1.16 | 10d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 6700 Bowden Rd #102 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $1,598 | $1.09 | 5d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 6650 Corporate Center Pkwy Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $1,903 | $1.92 | 2d | 10 | 0.47mi |
| 6226 Barnes Rd S Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $989 | $1.10 | 0d | 3 | 0.51mi |
| 3018 Carrevero Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,595 | $1.05 | 10d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5631 Haven Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 929 | $1,456 | $1.57 | 112d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6365 Philips Hwy Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | — | 1800 | $2,900 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5800 Barnes Rd S Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 985 | $1,449 | $1.47 | 1d | 7 | 0.83mi |
| 5800 University Blvd W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,750 | $2.04 | 10d | 36 | 0.89mi |
| 3451 Buckhead Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $2,113 | $1.20 | 162d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3451 Buckhead Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $2,113 | $1.20 | 164d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2650 Dean Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 51d | 8 | 1.01mi |
| 4775 Barnes Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $1,500 | $1.06 | 122d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 7126 Stonelion Cir Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1456 | $1,795 | $1.23 | 5d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4525 Kennedy Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,700 | $1.33 | 108d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4641 Barnes Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,095 | $1.04 | 47d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4641 Barnes Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1104 | $1,095 | $0.99 | 55d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7104 Stonelion Cir Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1456 | $1,795 | $1.23 | 10d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4020 Bellcast Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1614 | $2,400 | $1.49 | 1d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4020 Bellcast Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1614 | $2,400 | $1.49 | 153d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4432 Vinton Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,496 | $1.23 | 144d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7180 Stonelion Cir Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1548 | $2,000 | $1.29 | 10d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4847 Parkhurst Pl Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1528 | $1,850 | $1.21 | 7d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4847 Parkhurst Pl Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1515 | $1,895 | $1.25 | 131d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3991 Whippoorwill Holler Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1782 | $1,948 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3991 Whippoorwill Holler Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1782 | $1,948 | $1.09 | 10d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2525 Dean Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,850 | $1.30 | 119d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2525 Dean Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,850 | $1.30 | 1d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3979 Whippoorwill Holler Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1660 | $1,995 | $1.20 | 10d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3988 Ornamental Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1707 | $1,895 | $1.11 | 34d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3979 Ornamental Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1660 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 164d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3964 Field Daisy Pl Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $1,850 | $1.09 | 164d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Has associationAssociation fee $184 quarterlyCommunity sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage1 garage space
- Security
- Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities
- Electricity connectedSewer connectedWater connected
- Home design
- Single family residenceTwo levels
- Construction
- Fiber cement and frame constructionOther construction materialsShingle roof
- Exterior features
- PatioSmoke detectors
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalElectric cooktopElectric ovenElectric rangeMicrowaveTankless water heater
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminate
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral airHas heating and cooling
- Interior features
- Kitchen islandOpen floor planPantryPrimary bathroom with shower (no tub)Smart thermostatWalk-in closets
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupLaundry on upper level
HOA detail $61/mo · $732/yr
- Likely covers
- doorman
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-10-22days on market $189,940 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $189,940 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $189,940 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $189,940 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $189,940 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $189,940 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $189,940 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $189,940 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $189,940 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $189,940 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $189,940 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $189,940 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-10-09pricedays on market $189,940 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $195,940 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $195,940 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-10-07price $195,940 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $235,940 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $235,940 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $235,940 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-10-03days on market $235,940 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $235,940 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $235,940 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $235,940 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-09-29pricestatus $235,940 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-08-17statusdays on market $268,871 Pending 117 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $268,871 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $268,871 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-08-15price $268,871 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $239,940 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $239,940 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $239,940 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $239,940 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $239,940 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $239,940 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $239,940 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $239,940 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $239,940 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $239,940 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $239,940 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $239,940 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $239,940 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $239,940 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-30pricedays on market $239,940 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $249,940 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $249,940 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $249,940 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $249,940 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $249,940 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $249,940 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $249,940 Active 86 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,975
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,640
- − Property taxes
- −$2,849
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,758
- − Management
- −$1,758
- − HOA
- −$732
- − Depreciation
- −$5,526
- Taxable loss
- −$2,237
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$537
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,414/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained home with modern appliances and large windows offers a great blend of style and functionality. It is ready for immediate occupancy and can be further enhanced with minor updates to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves appearance and durability ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,013,010 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,302
- Household income
- $72,184
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.90%
- Current HPI
- 263.8901
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.25%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-2.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-24 Price Changed $259,940 Zillow
- 2026-06-23 Price Changed $259,940 realMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $266,940 Zillow
- 2026-04-22 Listed $266,940 realMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…