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13951 Moorpark St 20-Plex
B+ Composite 75.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$9,395,000

13951 Moorpark St · Los Angeles, CA 91423
61 bd · 64.0 ba · 40,801 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 113 Days on market
Built 1964 0.70 ac lot $230/sqft · 24% below area Est $12382k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 20 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Key facts

  • 0.7 acre lot
  • 34 parking spots
  • Built 1964

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 20 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $9.39M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $40k ($485k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($123k rent vs $9.39M).
  • Recommended offer: $8.55M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Dixie Canyon Community Charter (610 students, 26% FRL, charter); Louis Armstrong Middle (1,329 students, 45% FRL, charter); Ulysses S. Grant Senior High (math 29% / reading 53%, grade F, #502 of 1,170 statewide, top 43%, 1,783 students, 89% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 163 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $123,195/mo this rent would consume 1351% of the median local household income ($109k/yr) (locally 2929% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $65k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $282k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $2.63M cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($8.55M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $480k; list at $9.39M implies a 1859% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $8,549,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
11.46%
Cash-on-cash
18.44%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$12,382,229
List price
$9,395,000
Delta
-24.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$823,514
Equity at exit
$1,400,825
10-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$3,128,993
Equity at exit
$812,308

Cash invested: $2,630,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Los Angeles
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
LARSO + JCEO 2023; relocation for substantial remodel evictions.

ZIP-level market 91423

Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
163
Price-to-rent
127.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$123,195 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$49,268
Tax from tax record
$3,724 /mo · $44,694/yr
Insurance
$3,915
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$25,871
Net cashflow
$40,417

Break-even live

Break-even rent $72,035
Max offer price $9,395,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $45,735 -5% $43,076 +0% $40,417 +5% $37,757 +10% $35,098
Rent -10% $30,684 -5% $35,550 +0% $40,417 +5% $45,283 +10% $50,149
Rate -1.0pp $45,148 -0.5pp $42,806 base $40,417 +0.5pp $37,982 +1.0pp $35,505

20-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (20 units) $123,195

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,348,750
Closing costs
$281,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 113 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 110 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 109 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 108 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 105 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 101 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 100 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 99 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 95 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 94 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 93 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $9,395,000 Active 92 DOM
  15. 2026-02-28
    listed $9,395,000 Active
  16. 2023-07-24
    price
  17. 2023-05-22
    listed Active
  18. 2021-02-18
    listed Active
  19. 1986-12-24
    soldstatus $479,630
  20. 1986-12-24
    soldstatus $1,700,360

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$44,694 · $3,724/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$71,402 · $5,950/mo
Expected delta
+$26,708/yr (+$2,226/mo · 59.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$1,478,340
− Mortgage interest
−$526,266
− Property taxes
−$44,694
− Insurance
−$46,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$118,267
− Management
−$118,267
− Depreciation
−$273,309
Taxable income
$350,562
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$84,135
After-tax cash flow
$400,864/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Los Angeles Unified
NCES district ID
0622710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$50,403
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4875
State rank
#223 of 517 in CA

Livability — Los Angeles

Score
68/100
State rank
#273
US rank
#9237

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Los Angeles, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
3,838,149
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
32,328
Household income
$109,461
Rent vs Own
62.8% rent · 37.2% own
Severe rent burden
2929.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Asian 5% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 7% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1257.61%
Current HPI
449.2074
Rent YoY
▲ 1.15%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1858.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $9,395,000 TheMLS
  • 2023-07-24 Price Changed TheMLS
  • 2023-05-22 Listed TheMLS
  • 2021-02-18 Listed TheMLS
  • 1986-12-24 Sold (Public Records) $1,700,360 Public Records
  • 1986-12-24 Sold (Public Records) $479,630 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $44,694 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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