11839 205th St · New York, NY 11412

$849,999

9 bd · 3.9 ba · 2,461 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 16 Days on market

Built 1955 7,600 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.8/30.0
• DSCR +9.8/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.7/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Buyers with vision and resources will recognize the opportunity here to restore and transform this expansive home to its full glory. Don't miss this incredible opportunity to own a massive property! The home features a private drive way an a detached 2-car garage — a rare find in the area! In the heart of St. Albans! Please note: this property requires extensive renovations. Boasting an expansive square footage for living space, this expanded Cape-style home offers 8 generously sized bedrooms, 4 full bathrooms, and two separate basement entrances, making it ideal for buyers looking to either renovate and resale, renovate and rent it out, buyers looking for multigenerational living or

Key facts

• Private drive way
• 7,600 sq ft lot
• Garage

Tags

• PRIVATE DRIVE WAY
• DETACHED 2-CAR GARAGE
• LEGAL 2-FAMILY PROPERTY
• EXTENSIVE RENOVATIONS
• CUSTOMIZATION POTENTIAL
• VALUE-ADD IMPROVEMENTS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $850k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive. Per door: $862/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $850k).
• Recommended offer: $837k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
• Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $26k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $238k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($837k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $837,249 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.17% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.94%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.03%
• DSCR: 1.58
• GRM: 7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 2.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.11×
• Total profit: $26,667
• Equity at exit: $126,738

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.98×
• Total profit: $234,274
• Equity at exit: $73,492

Cash invested: $238,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11412

• Active inventory: 146
• Price-to-rent: 21.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $9,922 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$4,457
• Tax from tax record: −$442 /mo · $5,302/yr
• Insurance: −$354
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$2,084
• Net cashflow: $2,585

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,650

Max offer price $849,999

Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $3,066	-5% $2,826	+0% $2,585	+5% $2,344	+10% $2,104
Rent	-10% $1,801	-5% $2,193	+0% $2,585	+5% $2,977	+10% $3,369
Rate	-1.0pp $3,013	-0.5pp $2,801	base $2,585	+0.5pp $2,365	+1.0pp $2,141

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 3× units	3	1.3	$9,921
Total (3 units)			$9,922

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $212,500
• Closing costs: $25,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2025-09-18
   status Pending
2. 2025-09-02
   listed $849,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $5,302 · $442/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $9,833 · $819/mo
• Expected delta: +$4,532/yr (+$378/mo · 85.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $119,064
• − Mortgage interest: −$47,613
• − Property taxes: −$5,302
• − Insurance: −$4,250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$9,525
• − Management: −$9,525
• − Depreciation: −$24,727
• Taxable income: $18,122
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$4,349
• After-tax cash flow: $26,670/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• City population: 7,731,280
• Population (ZIP): 41,350

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,546,320 people
• By 2030: 2,643,059 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 2,815,563 · +10.6%
• By 2050: 2,944,423 · +15.6%
• By 2075: 3,123,338 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (78%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% White 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 7%
• Foreign-born: 42% · Canada
• Languages at home: 82% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -413.59%
• Current HPI: 302.063
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2025-09-18 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-09-02 Listed $849,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,302 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.