5105 Plymouth · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A wonderful opportunity to own this beautifully renovated townhome. Featuring NEW, paint, carpet, HVAC, and appliances! Refinished hardwood floors, ceramic baths and a gourmet kitchen. Enclosed, rear sunporch. This one won't last long! See it, TODAY!
Key facts
- 0.1-acre lot
- On-street parking
- Historic charm
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.70%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $273,624
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5033 Plymouth Rd | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,564 (-11%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $144 | 73 |
| 5214 Harford Rd Unit N/A | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,711 (-2%) | 4mo | $127,000 | $74 | 67 |
| 2013 Ramblewood Rd | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (+3%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $161 | 66 |
| 5205 Hampnett Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 | 1,860 (+6%) | 5mo | $290,000 | $156 | 66 |
| 1631 Woodbourne Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (-3%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $124 | 54 |
| 1814 Winford Rd | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-9%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $175 | 50 |
| 1702 Burnwood Rd | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-9%) | 1mo | $283,000 | $177 | 49 |
| 5104 Harford Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,496 (-15%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $117 | 47 |
| 1809 Hillenwood Rd | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,580 (-10%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $161 | 47 |
| 5413 Hillen Rd | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,920 (+10%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $138 | 47 |
| 1717 Hartsdale Rd | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-9%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $184 | 44 |
| 1708 Hartsdale Rd | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,534 (-12%) | 4mo | $165,375 | $108 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $2,031
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $39,019
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21214
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,102 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$276 /mo · $3,310/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$441
- Net cashflow
- $451
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2028 Hillenwood Rd Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 5781 Edgepark Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,975 | $1.26 | 16d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2900 Ailsa Ave Apt 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2805 Hamilton Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $2,300 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2911 Shirey Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,500 | $1.49 | 20d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1908 E Belvedere Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,950 | $1.37 | 20d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1804 Winford Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2918 Grindon Ave Unit 1ST Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $1,250 | $0.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2804 Christopher Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1280 | $2,200 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1646 Wadsworth Way Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1520 | $2,100 | $1.38 | 11d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3514 Ailsa Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3510 Hamilton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,300 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1508 Gleneagle Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,180 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1545 E Cold Spring Ln Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5520 Sagra Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,900 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3721 Frankford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,050 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5204 Kelway Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $2,350 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3802 Biddison Ln Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1443 | $2,024 | $1.40 | 11d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 6101 Loch Raven Blvd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1138 | $2,318 | $2.04 | 2d | 8 | 1.25mi |
| 1444 Meridene Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1520 | $1,950 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1221 Glenwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,595 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1224 Winston Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,100 | $1.68 | 18d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1539 Ralworth Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1111 Gleneagle Rd Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1452 | $1,050 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 7202 Sindall Rd Unit 7202 Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,850 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2518 Moore Ave Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1896 | $2,700 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 6405 Loch Crest Rd Idlewylde, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,257 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-03-04status Pending
-
2026-02-25price $164,999
-
2026-02-10$175,000 Active
-
2018-06-22soldstatus $175,000 Closed 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
A wonderful opportunity to own this beautifully renovated townhome. Featuring NEW, paint, carpet, HVAC, and appliances! Refinished hardwood floors, ceramic baths and a gourmet kitchen. Enclosed, rear sunporch. This one won't last long! See it, TODAY!
-
2018-06-22soldstatus $175,000 Sold 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
A wonderful opportunity to own this beautifully renovated townhome. Featuring NEW, paint, carpet, HVAC, and appliances! Refinished hardwood floors, ceramic baths and a gourmet kitchen. Enclosed, rear sunporch. This one won't last long! See it, TODAY!
-
2018-06-12soldstatus $175,000
-
2018-05-06status Pending 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
A wonderful opportunity to own this beautifully renovated townhome. Featuring NEW, paint, carpet, HVAC, and appliances! Refinished hardwood floors, ceramic baths and a gourmet kitchen. Enclosed, rear sunporch. This one won't last long! See it, TODAY!
-
2018-05-06status Contract 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
A wonderful opportunity to own this beautifully renovated townhome. Featuring NEW, paint, carpet, HVAC, and appliances! Refinished hardwood floors, ceramic baths and a gourmet kitchen. Enclosed, rear sunporch. This one won't last long! See it, TODAY!
-
2018-05-03$169,900 Active 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
A wonderful opportunity to own this beautifully renovated townhome. Featuring NEW, paint, carpet, HVAC, and appliances! Refinished hardwood floors, ceramic baths and a gourmet kitchen. Enclosed, rear sunporch. This one won't last long! See it, TODAY!
-
2018-05-03$169,900 Active 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
A wonderful opportunity to own this beautifully renovated townhome. Featuring NEW, paint, carpet, HVAC, and appliances! Refinished hardwood floors, ceramic baths and a gourmet kitchen. Enclosed, rear sunporch. This one won't last long! See it, TODAY!
-
2000-10-03soldstatus $81,000
-
2000-09-28soldstatus $81,000
-
2000-08-07historical
-
2000-07-13$75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,310 · $276/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,310 · $276/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,220
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$3,310
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,018
- − Management
- −$2,018
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $3,008
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$722
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,684/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,092
- Household income
- $86,366
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 432.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 33% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.52%
- Current HPI
- 310.5637
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+120.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $164,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-06-22 Sold (MLS) $175,000 MRIS
- 2018-06-22 Sold (MLS) $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2018-05-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-05-06 Pending — MRIS
- 2018-05-03 Listed $169,900 MRIS
- 2018-05-03 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2000-09-28 Sold (MLS) $81,000 MRIS
- 2000-08-07 Delisted — MRIS
- 2000-07-13 Listed $75,000 MRIS
Property tax history
-1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,310 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…