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964 Ardoon St
B- Composite 68.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

964 Ardoon St · Jacksonville, FL 32208
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,887 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1958 Est $153k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Exceptional Investment Opportunity! This solid concrete block home, located on a large corner lot, offers fantastic potential. With hardwood floors, a spacious back porch, an attached garage, and a separate carport, this property is ready for your vision. New homes are being constructed just across the street, making this location increasingly valuable. Recent updates include a new roof. The motivated seller is open to joint ventures or creative purchase arrangements for the right buyer. Ideal for a growing family or an investor seeking a profitable project. The property is vacant and easy to view—schedule your showing today! NO BLIND OFFERS!!!!

Key facts

  • Mid-century ranch
  • Cosmetic updates
  • Generous footprint

Tags

MID-CENTURY RANCHORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSCOSMETIC UPDATESKITCHEN AND BATH MODERNIZATIONLANDSCAPING IMPROVEMENTSGENEROUS FOOTPRINT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $105k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.20%
Cash-on-cash
10.38%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$152,847
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
964 Ardoon St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,887 (0%) 0mo $115,000 $61 96
960 Kenmore St 0.10mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,883 (-0%) 6mo $128,000 $68 77
1044 Alderside St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,669 (-12%) 5mo $125,000 $75 62
1017 Ashton St 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,895 (+0%) 6mo $154,000 $81 54
655 Linwood Ave 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,633 (-14%) 10mo $200,000 $122 28
5704 Perry St 0.67mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,725 (-9%) 23mo $203,000 $118 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-5,154
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$4,175
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32208

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
291
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,427 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,401/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$303

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,043
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1052 Maynard St Unit 1056 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1888 $895 $0.47 23d 1 0.11mi
6510 Avalon St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1488 $1,425 $0.96 23d 1 0.15mi
920 Alderside St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1255 $1,195 $0.95 4d 1 0.18mi
664 Escambia St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1352 $1,500 $1.11 17d 1 0.33mi
1348 Crestwood St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 23d 1 0.39mi
643 Linwood Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,325 $1.08 3d 1 0.72mi
331 W 40th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1536 $1,375 $0.90 4d 1 0.81mi
343 W 60th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1238 $1,299 $1.05 21d 1 0.83mi
472 W 65th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1312 $1,295 $0.99 21d 1 0.84mi
6418 Sapphire Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1296 $1,350 $1.04 23d 1 0.89mi
4526 Fairview St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1575 $980 $0.62 17d 1 0.95mi
5805 Christobel Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1986 $1,800 $0.91 7d 1 0.95mi
1149 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1344 $1,302 $0.97 23d 1 0.99mi
326 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1317 $1,550 $1.18 23d 1 1.06mi
1031 W 26th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1261 $1,445 $1.15 23d 1 1.07mi
33 W 55th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1387 $1,321 $0.95 3d 1 1.07mi
1288 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.5 1449 $1,267 $0.87 14d 1 1.08mi
1750 Rutledge Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,358 $1.09 14d 1 1.10mi
421 Golfair Blvd Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.5 1761 $1,381 $0.78 16d 1 1.12mi
1010 Edgewood Ave W Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1450 $1,250 $0.86 23d 1 1.15mi
1010 Edgewood Ave W Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1450 $1,250 $0.86 14d 1 1.15mi
209 Woodrow St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1282 $1,325 $1.03 23d 1 1.18mi
1587 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1363 $1,450 $1.06 14d 1 1.21mi
28 W 33rd St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.0 1395 $898 $0.64 7d 1 1.22mi
118 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1332 $1,250 $0.94 23d 1 1.25mi
1834 Meharry Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1291 $1,295 $1.00 4d 1 1.32mi
26 W 27th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1512 $1,300 $0.86 23d 1 1.37mi
1744 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1556 $1,750 $1.12 23d 1 1.43mi
7762 Lake Park Dr Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 2140 $1,451 $0.68 23d 1 1.47mi
1837 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1333 $1,600 $1.20 23d 1 1.48mi
516 E 58th St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1232 $1,725 $1.40 7d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-04-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-10
    listed $125,000 Active
  3. 2025-04-16
    soldstatus $105,000
  4. 2025-03-21
    soldstatus $105,000 Closed 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    Exceptional Investment Opportunity! This solid concrete block home, located on a large corner lot, offers fantastic potential. With hardwood floors, a spacious back porch, an attached garage, and a separate carport, this property is ready for your vision. New homes are being constructed just across the street, making this location increasingly valuable. Recent updates include a new roof. The motivated seller is open to joint ventures or creative purchase arrangements for the right buyer. Ideal for a growing family or an investor seeking a profitable project. The property is vacant and easy to view—schedule your showing today! NO BLIND OFFERS!!!!

  5. 2025-03-07
    status Pending 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    Exceptional Investment Opportunity! This solid concrete block home, located on a large corner lot, offers fantastic potential. With hardwood floors, a spacious back porch, an attached garage, and a separate carport, this property is ready for your vision. New homes are being constructed just across the street, making this location increasingly valuable. Recent updates include a new roof. The motivated seller is open to joint ventures or creative purchase arrangements for the right buyer. Ideal for a growing family or an investor seeking a profitable project. The property is vacant and easy to view—schedule your showing today! NO BLIND OFFERS!!!!

  6. 2025-03-01
    historical Active Under Contract 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    Exceptional Investment Opportunity! This solid concrete block home, located on a large corner lot, offers fantastic potential. With hardwood floors, a spacious back porch, an attached garage, and a separate carport, this property is ready for your vision. New homes are being constructed just across the street, making this location increasingly valuable. Recent updates include a new roof. The motivated seller is open to joint ventures or creative purchase arrangements for the right buyer. Ideal for a growing family or an investor seeking a profitable project. The property is vacant and easy to view—schedule your showing today! NO BLIND OFFERS!!!!

  7. 2025-02-21
    price $120,000 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    Exceptional Investment Opportunity! This solid concrete block home, located on a large corner lot, offers fantastic potential. With hardwood floors, a spacious back porch, an attached garage, and a separate carport, this property is ready for your vision. New homes are being constructed just across the street, making this location increasingly valuable. Recent updates include a new roof. The motivated seller is open to joint ventures or creative purchase arrangements for the right buyer. Ideal for a growing family or an investor seeking a profitable project. The property is vacant and easy to view—schedule your showing today! NO BLIND OFFERS!!!!

  8. 2025-02-14
    status Active 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    Exceptional Investment Opportunity! This solid concrete block home, located on a large corner lot, offers fantastic potential. With hardwood floors, a spacious back porch, an attached garage, and a separate carport, this property is ready for your vision. New homes are being constructed just across the street, making this location increasingly valuable. Recent updates include a new roof. The motivated seller is open to joint ventures or creative purchase arrangements for the right buyer. Ideal for a growing family or an investor seeking a profitable project. The property is vacant and easy to view—schedule your showing today! NO BLIND OFFERS!!!!

  9. 2025-02-14
    historical Active Under Contract 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    Exceptional Investment Opportunity! This solid concrete block home, located on a large corner lot, offers fantastic potential. With hardwood floors, a spacious back porch, an attached garage, and a separate carport, this property is ready for your vision. New homes are being constructed just across the street, making this location increasingly valuable. Recent updates include a new roof. The motivated seller is open to joint ventures or creative purchase arrangements for the right buyer. Ideal for a growing family or an investor seeking a profitable project. The property is vacant and easy to view—schedule your showing today! NO BLIND OFFERS!!!!

  10. 2025-01-27
    status Active 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    Exceptional Investment Opportunity! This solid concrete block home, located on a large corner lot, offers fantastic potential. With hardwood floors, a spacious back porch, an attached garage, and a separate carport, this property is ready for your vision. New homes are being constructed just across the street, making this location increasingly valuable. Recent updates include a new roof. The motivated seller is open to joint ventures or creative purchase arrangements for the right buyer. Ideal for a growing family or an investor seeking a profitable project. The property is vacant and easy to view—schedule your showing today! NO BLIND OFFERS!!!!

  11. 2025-01-27
    price $144,900 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    Exceptional Investment Opportunity! This solid concrete block home, located on a large corner lot, offers fantastic potential. With hardwood floors, a spacious back porch, an attached garage, and a separate carport, this property is ready for your vision. New homes are being constructed just across the street, making this location increasingly valuable. Recent updates include a new roof. The motivated seller is open to joint ventures or creative purchase arrangements for the right buyer. Ideal for a growing family or an investor seeking a profitable project. The property is vacant and easy to view—schedule your showing today! NO BLIND OFFERS!!!!

  12. 2024-12-04
    historical 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    Exceptional Investment Opportunity! This solid concrete block home, located on a large corner lot, offers fantastic potential. With hardwood floors, a spacious back porch, an attached garage, and a separate carport, this property is ready for your vision. New homes are being constructed just across the street, making this location increasingly valuable. Recent updates include a new roof. The motivated seller is open to joint ventures or creative purchase arrangements for the right buyer. Ideal for a growing family or an investor seeking a profitable project. The property is vacant and easy to view—schedule your showing today! NO BLIND OFFERS!!!!

  13. 2024-10-23
    price $155,000 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    Exceptional Investment Opportunity! This solid concrete block home, located on a large corner lot, offers fantastic potential. With hardwood floors, a spacious back porch, an attached garage, and a separate carport, this property is ready for your vision. New homes are being constructed just across the street, making this location increasingly valuable. Recent updates include a new roof. The motivated seller is open to joint ventures or creative purchase arrangements for the right buyer. Ideal for a growing family or an investor seeking a profitable project. The property is vacant and easy to view—schedule your showing today! NO BLIND OFFERS!!!!

  14. 2024-09-04
    listed $180,000 Active 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    Exceptional Investment Opportunity! This solid concrete block home, located on a large corner lot, offers fantastic potential. With hardwood floors, a spacious back porch, an attached garage, and a separate carport, this property is ready for your vision. New homes are being constructed just across the street, making this location increasingly valuable. Recent updates include a new roof. The motivated seller is open to joint ventures or creative purchase arrangements for the right buyer. Ideal for a growing family or an investor seeking a profitable project. The property is vacant and easy to view—schedule your showing today! NO BLIND OFFERS!!!!

  15. 2023-10-18
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,401 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,401 · $117/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,121
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,401
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,370
− Management
−$1,370
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$1,718
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$412
After-tax cash flow
$3,221/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,699
Household income
$41,324
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1765.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.56%
Current HPI
217.9706
Rent YoY
▼ -1.36%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $125,000 realMLS
  • 2025-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2025-03-21 Sold (MLS) $105,000 realMLS
  • 2025-03-07 Pending realMLS
  • 2025-03-01 Contingent realMLS
  • 2025-02-21 Price Changed $120,000 realMLS
  • 2025-02-14 Relisted realMLS
  • 2025-02-14 Contingent realMLS
  • 2025-01-27 Relisted realMLS
  • 2025-01-27 Price Changed $144,900 realMLS
  • 2024-12-04 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2024-10-23 Price Changed $155,000 realMLS
  • 2024-09-04 Listed $180,000 realMLS
  • 2023-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,401 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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