181 Montclair Loop · Daphne, AL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
OPEN HOUSE OPENING DAY! APRIL 15TH 3PM TIL 6PM - Home to be active on 4/15/26. Located in the Lake Forest subdivision, this home offers both convenience and value. Enjoy quick access to I-10, making commuting to Mobile or Pensacola a breeze, along with nearby shopping and dining options. Major updates have already been taken care of, including a new HVAC system in 2020 and a roof that is only 10 years old. The kitchen features a 3-year-old Bosch dishwasher and a 3-year-old induction range. While the home does need some repairs, the big-ticket items are already addressed—making this an opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touch and update to match their style and vision
Key facts
- 0.27 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $70; Transfer fees apply; Neighborhood amenities include clubhouse, outdoor pool, tennis courts, and golf
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car parking
- Utilities: Daphne Utilities; Riviera Utilities; Baldwin County sewer service
- Home design: One-and-a-half story home; Resale property; Whole/Full ownership; No waterfront
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood frame construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built area: 1,402 (assessor)
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Convection oven; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with attached bath (first floor / lower level)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Master bath with double vanity
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump (heating present)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Wood-burning fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.9% in Daphne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #3,949 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Daphne Elementary School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #142 of 627 statewide, top 25%, 693 students, 53% FRL); Daphne Middle School (math 25% / reading 62%, grade D, #45 of 257 statewide, top 18%, 846 students, 45% FRL); Daphne High School (math 41% / reading 40%, grade F, #33 of 305 statewide, top 11%, 1,725 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 590 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.78%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $232,732
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181 Montclair Loop | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,402 (0%) | 1mo | $196,500 | $140 | 96 |
| 209 Maplewood Loop | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,435 (+2%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $178 | 83 |
| 159 Montclair Loop | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (-4%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $155 | 82 |
| 149 Montclair Loop | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,478 (+5%) | 4mo | $256,880 | $174 | 75 |
| 168 Greenwood Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,477 (+5%) | 3mo | $259,000 | $175 | 72 |
| 120 Meadow Wood Loop | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,396 (-0%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $168 | 72 |
| 133 Dunbar Loop | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,439 (+3%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $156 | 69 |
| 100 Maplewood Loop | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,580 (+13%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $123 | 65 |
| 123 Creekside Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,516 (+8%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $119 | 64 |
| 116 Greenwood Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,444 (+3%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $187 | 63 |
| 125 Dunbar Loop | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,556 (+11%) | 3mo | $258,000 | $166 | 55 |
| 136 Donna Cir | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,563 (+12%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $163 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $2,190
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $33,959
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36526
- Home prices YoY
- -21.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 590
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,103 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $949/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$70
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$442
- Net cashflow
- $522
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Cherry Cir Daphne, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $2,200 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 28003 State Highway 181 Daphne, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $1,755 | $2.11 | 13d | 26 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $70 · $840/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-04-15$175,000 Active
-
2026-03-31historical $175,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $949 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $949 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,239
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$949
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,019
- − Management
- −$2,019
- − HOA
- −$840
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $3,642
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$874
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 0100270
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,677
- Composite
- 38.61/100
- National rank
- #4157
- State rank
- #18 of 129 in AL
Livability — Daphne
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #3949
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Daphne, AL
- County
- Baldwin County · 181,514 people
- City population
- 36,484
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,484
- Household income
- $88,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 535.0
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 12% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.47%
- Current HPI
- 227.2692
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — BCAR
- 2026-04-15 Listed $175,000 BCAR
- 2026-03-31 Coming Soon $175,000 BCAR
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $949 · -41.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…