118 Bluffview Dr · Knollwood, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home in Knollwood, built in 2021 and owned by just one owner. Featuring an open-concept floor plan, this home offers a spacious living area that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen complete with a center island-perfect for entertaining or everyday living. The kitchen is equipped with electric appliances and ample cabinet space. The split-bedroom layout provides privacy, while a combination of carpet and laminate flooring adds comfort and durability throughout. Residents can also enjoy access to a community pool and park, adding to the appeal of this inviting neighborhood. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking to downsize, this move-in ready home offers modern living in a peaceful setting.
Key facts
- Split-bedroom layout
- Electric appliances
- Large kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,276 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Sherman ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #546 of 826 in TX (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 636 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.64%
- DSCR
- 2.50
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $69,900
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- 28.76%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $25,503
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 31.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $61,198
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75092
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 636
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,681 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $706
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601 Graham Dr Sherman, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1119 | $2,526 | $2.26 | 21d | 68 | 0.22mi |
| 73 Cannon Ln Knollwood, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4901 Knollwood Dr Knollwood, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 834 | $1,665 | $2.00 | 21d | 5 | 0.30mi |
| 5111 N Travis St Sherman, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 859 | $1,075 | $1.25 | 21d | 18 | 0.33mi |
| 211 E Canyon Grove Rd Knollwood, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $1,650 | $1.73 | 21d | 10 | 0.78mi |
| 1111 Gallagher Dr Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $1,714 | $1.63 | 21d | 26 | 1.00mi |
| 1600 La Salle Dr Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 687 | $1,014 | $1.47 | 21d | 15 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-22$90,000 Active 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home in Knollwood, built in 2021 and owned by just one owner. Featuring an open-concept floor plan, this home offers a spacious living area that flows seamlessly into a large kitchen complete with a center island-perfect for entertaining or everyday living. The kitchen is equipped with electric appliances and ample cabinet space. The split-bedroom layout provides privacy, while a combination of carpet and laminate flooring adds comfort and durability throughout. Residents can also enjoy access to a community pool and park, adding to the appeal of this inviting neighborhood. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking to downsize, this move-in ready home offers modern living in a peaceful setting.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,177
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,614
- − Management
- −$1,614
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $7,489
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,797
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,679/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sherman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840080
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,587
- Composite
- 28.79/100
- National rank
- #6665
- State rank
- #546 of 826 in TX
Livability — Knollwood
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #1276
- US rank
- #22189
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Knollwood, TX
- County
- Grayson County · 108,053 people
- Metro
- Sherman-Denison, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,342
- Household income
- $68,036
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1278.0
Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,540 people
- By 2030
- 138,653 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 145,958 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 151,218 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 161,802 · +20.3%
- By 2100
- 159,036 · +18.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grayson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.47%
- Current HPI
- 235.984
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.36%
- Metro
- Sherman-Denison, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $90,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
-70.8%/yrLatest (2010): $43 · -70.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…