202 Loraine St · Abbeville, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.53%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Put a little TLC in this one and you will be set for a while. This home would be a good rental investment or your family home for life.
Key facts
- Fenced-in back yard
- Washroom
- Large covered patio
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2-space carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; City electric
- Home design: Single-family residence; Fixer condition; City street frontage
- Construction: Wood siding/frame construction; Composition and metal roof
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Covered porch; Porch; Kennel/dog run; Storage; Workshop; Other features noted in remarks
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Formica counters
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($943 rent vs $85k).
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 6.6% in Abbeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#94 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Vermilion Parish (town): math 40% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #15 of 98 in LA (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eaton Park Elementary School (439 students, 90% FRL); Abbeville High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #171 of 265 statewide, top 66%, 607 students, 81% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 53% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Vermilion Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 180 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 228 units permitted in Vermilion Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vermilion County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $85k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.82%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,885
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -18.96%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202 Loraine St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,219 (+0%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $66 | 100 |
| 109 N Henry St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-1%) | 1mo | $128,500 | $107 | 88 |
| 410 Loraine St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-3%) | 12mo | $12,000 | $10 | 68 |
| 404 Thomas St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,065 (-12%) | 2mo | $33,500 | $31 | 68 |
| 1710 W Port St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,315 (+8%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $38 | 59 |
| 811 W Saint Mary St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-8%) | 2mo | $45,200 | $40 | 57 |
| 808 Loraine St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,388 (+14%) | 1mo | $33,500 | $24 | 54 |
| 108 Maude Ave | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-1%) | 14mo | $41,595 | $35 | 50 |
| 1002 Loraine St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (-14%) | 5mo | $35,000 | $34 | 47 |
| 106 Holmes Dr | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,342 (+10%) | 3mo | $55,500 | $41 | 46 |
| 700 S State Street St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,115 (-8%) | 12mo | $76,000 | $68 | 38 |
| 700 W St. Mary St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,354 (+11%) | 15mo | $127,500 | $94 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,121
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $20,065
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70510
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $943 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $357/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $234
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 E Lafayette St Unit 2 Abbeville, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,199 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 407 Nugier St Abbeville, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $695 | $0.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-04$85,000 Active 1066-char remark
-
2014-09-24soldstatus $35,900 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Put a little TLC in this one and you will be set for a while. This home would be a good rental investment or your family home for life.
-
2014-07-10$35,900 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Put a little TLC in this one and you will be set for a while. This home would be a good rental investment or your family home for life.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $357 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $468 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$111/yr (+$9/mo · 31.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 53% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$357
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$906
- − Management
- −$906
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $1,494
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$358
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,454/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vermilion Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201800
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,115
- Composite
- 39.37/100
- National rank
- #3974
- State rank
- #15 of 98 in LA
Livability — Abbeville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #9800
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abbeville, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,909
Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,095 people
- By 2030
- 65,915 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 68,985 · +7.6%
- By 2050
- 70,804 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 73,897 · +15.3%
- By 2100
- 71,793 · +12.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 24% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Vietnamese 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.8) · D 17.6% · R 81.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.3pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -63.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.8 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+59.6 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.44%
- Current HPI
- 97.6131
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+136.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $85,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-09-24 Sold (MLS) $35,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-07-10 Listed $35,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $357 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…