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1018 Fitch St
B- Composite 69.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,900

1018 Fitch St · Albion, MI 49224
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1947 9,583 sqft lot $39/sqft · 67% below area ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3bedroom, 1.5bathroom fixer upper in Albion.

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1947

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Traditional style single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1947; Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.22 acres; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4; One additional room (11 x 14) listed as Other
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($895 rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 8.6% in Albion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#328 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities D+, schools F.
  • Marshall Public Schools (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #268 of 540 in MI (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $30k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,553 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
17.06%
Cash-on-cash
38.44%
DSCR
2.71
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,776
List price
$44,900
Delta
-67.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
502 Lombard St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,170 (+2%) 9mo $166,000 $142 65
1008 Maple St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,088 (-6%) 14mo $167,000 $153 65
1018 Burr Oak St 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-13%) 2mo $109,000 $109 64
1018 Hall St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,016 (-12%) 8mo $167,000 $164 63
1306 Franklin Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,049 (-9%) 1mo $95,000 $91 62
406 N Mingo St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,128 (-2%) 13mo $131,000 $116 59
310 Fitch St 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,232 (+7%) 4mo $200,000 $162 59
515 Maple Rdg 0.32mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,242 (+8%) 10mo $160,000 $129 58
1033 N Clark St 0.23mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (-8%) 12mo $47,000 $45 58
604 Burr Oak St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,304 (+13%) 2mo $105,000 $81 54
308 E Broadwell St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,224 (+6%) 16mo $147,000 $120 50
810 N Superior St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (-4%) 11mo $94,900 $86 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$14,195
Equity at exit
$6,695
10-year hold
IRR
34.8%
Equity multiple
4.19×
Total profit
$40,148
Equity at exit
$3,882

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49224

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$895 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$235
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $601/yr
Insurance
$19
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$188
Net cashflow
$336

Break-even live

Break-even rent $469
Max offer price $44,900
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $362 -5% $349 +0% $336 +5% $324 +10% $311
Rent -10% $266 -5% $301 +0% $336 +5% $372 +10% $407
Rate -1.0pp $359 -0.5pp $348 base $336 +0.5pp $325 +1.0pp $313

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,225
Closing costs
$1,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
313 E North St Albion, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $895 $1.09 44d 1 0.43mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $44,900 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $44,900 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $44,900 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $44,900 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $44,900 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $44,900 Active 30 DOM
    Show marketing remark (44 chars)

    3bedroom, 1.5bathroom fixer upper in Albion.

  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 29 DOM
    Show marketing remark (44 chars)

    3bedroom, 1.5bathroom fixer upper in Albion.

  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,900 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $49,900 Active 24 DOM
    Show marketing remark (44 chars)

    3bedroom, 1.5bathroom fixer upper in Albion.

  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $54,900 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,900 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,900 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $54,900 Active 16 DOM
  18. 2026-05-14
    listed $59,900 Active 44-char remark
    Show marketing remark (44 chars)

    3bedroom, 1.5bathroom fixer upper in Albion.

  19. 2026-05-14
    listed $59,900 Active 44-char remark
    Show marketing remark (44 chars)

    3bedroom, 1.5bathroom fixer upper in Albion.

  20. 2026-05-14
    listed $59,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (44 chars)

    3bedroom, 1.5bathroom fixer upper in Albion.

  21. 2014-09-18
    historical
  22. 2011-09-21
    soldstatus $30,000
  23. 2011-09-21
    soldstatus $30,000
  24. 2011-09-21
    soldstatus $30,000
  25. 2011-09-21
    soldstatus $30,000
  26. 2011-09-21
    listed $49,900
  27. 2011-09-21
    listed $49,900
  28. 2010-11-19
    listed $49,900
  29. 2010-11-19
    listed $49,900
  30. 2010-11-18
    historical
  31. 2010-06-04
    listed $59,900
  32. 2010-06-04
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$601 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$646 · $54/mo
Expected delta
+$45/yr (+$4/mo · 7.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 95% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,740
− Mortgage interest
−$2,515
− Property taxes
−$601
− Insurance
−$1,022
− Repairs & maintenance
−$859
− Management
−$859
− Depreciation
−$1,306
Taxable income
$3,577
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$858
After-tax cash flow
$3,177/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall Public Schools
NCES district ID
2622970
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,020
Composite
30.93/100
National rank
#6112
State rank
#268 of 540 in MI

Livability — Albion

Score
70/100
State rank
#328
US rank
#8096

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albion, MI
Population (ZIP)
13,309

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,157 people
By 2030
126,691 · -2.7%
By 2040
118,517 · -8.9%
By 2050
109,855 · -15.6%
By 2075
90,486 · -30.5%
By 2100
70,766 · -45.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.85%
Current HPI
205.078
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.0% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Price Changed $44,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-13 Price Changed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-13 Price Changed $44,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-06-07 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-07 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-07 Price Changed $49,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $54,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $54,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $59,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2014-09-18 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2011-09-21 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-09-21 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2011-09-21 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-09-21 Sold (MLS) $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-09-21 Sold (MLS) $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-09-21 Sold (MLS) $30,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2010-11-19 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2010-11-19 Listed $49,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2010-11-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2010-06-04 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2010-06-04 Listed $59,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

-3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $601 · -32.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…