2837 Maidenhair Ln · McKinney, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$373,430
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CB Jeni Homes Emily floor plan. Fantastic floor plan in the well sought after, Painted Tree Community in McKinney, offering best MISD Schools!!! Open concept floor plan with a chef's kitchen equipped with oversized island, quartz countertops, tons cabinets and countertops space, five burner gas stove, and more. Spacious game room upstairs separating the primary and guest bedrooms is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Large primary suite with oversized walk-in closet and an abundance of cabinets and drawers in the bath area. Loaded with energy savvy features, including tankless hot water heater, foam insulation in the attic, GAS heating and smart home Wi-Fi thermostats (HVAC includes 10-year manufacturer's parts warranty). Painted Tree community is a must see! You'll be proud and enjoy owning this Low Maintenance Lifestyle Home. Ready NOW!
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Walk-in closet
- Game room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $373k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-339 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $313k (16.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (35.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $241k (35.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.5% in McKinney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#115 in TX, #3,716 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Mckinney ISD (suburban): math 54% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #72 of 826 in TX (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 2161 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.90%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-89,370
- Equity at exit
- $55,680
- IRR
- -33.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.28×
- Total profit
- $-133,665
- Equity at exit
- $32,287
Cash invested: $104,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75071
- Home prices YoY
- -19.1%
- Rents YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 2161
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,411 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,958
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,567/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$506
- Net cashflow
- $-339
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-128 | -5% $-234 | +0% $-339 | +5% $-445 | +10% $-551 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-530 | -5% $-435 | +0% $-339 | +5% $-244 | +10% $-149 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-151 | -0.5pp $-244 | base $-339 | +0.5pp $-436 | +1.0pp $-535 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,358
- Closing costs
- $11,203
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3161 Marilanda Rd McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2689 | $3,300 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2837 Terrace Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1888 | $2,250 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2108 Hayes St McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1737 | $2,149 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2907 Nandina St McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $3,300 | $2.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3321 Truman St McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $2,400 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2805 Hawthorne Ln McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1771 | $2,200 | $1.24 | 0d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2821 Briargrove Ln McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2354 | $2,395 | $1.02 | 13d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3501 Truman St McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $2,200 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2809 Briargrove Ln McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1595 | $2,149 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2809 Briargrove Ln McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1595 | $2,049 | $1.28 | 18d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2620 Caprock Rd McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,500 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2503 Buckskin Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1595 | $2,075 | $1.30 | 18d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2901 Frontier Ln McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1631 | $2,175 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2403 Ridgevalley Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1724 | $2,310 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2403 Ridgevalley Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1724 | $2,249 | $1.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3916 Jeanette Ln McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1873 | $2,145 | $1.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2110 Quail Run McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1609 | $1,995 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2204 Rockport Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $2,195 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4013 Chastetree Ln McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2493 | $3,195 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3121 Blue Sage Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1755 | $2,300 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2950 Frederick Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2748 | $3,200 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3600 Foxfield Trl McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $2,300 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2601 Timberbrook Trl McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2307 | $2,450 | $1.06 | 18d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5650 Bois D Arc Rd McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $3,438 | $1.99 | 20d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2629 Clear Brook Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $2,150 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1600 Keswick Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2045 | $2,500 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1512 Springtree Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1999 | $2,390 | $1.20 | 8d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3356 Woodberry Ln McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1686 | $2,100 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2505 Avalon Creek Way McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $2,075 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2505 Avalon Creek Way McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $2,075 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3608 Willow Creek Trl McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2306 | $2,450 | $1.06 | 6d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3917 Bamboo Trl McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2041 | $2,700 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2412 Freshwater Ln McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1900 | $2,550 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2404 Freshwater Ln McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1908 | $2,400 | $1.26 | 20d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2350 Freshwater Ln McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,270 | $1.19 | 16d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1325 Creekbank Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,400 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1332 Creekbank Dr Unit D McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1908 | $2,300 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1324 Creekbank Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,495 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1312 Creekbank Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1900 | $2,350 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1308 Creekbank Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1908 | $2,295 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $373,430 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $373,430 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $373,430 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $373,430 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $373,430 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $373,430 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $373,430 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $373,430 860-char remark
Show marketing remark (860 chars)
CB Jeni Homes Emily floor plan. Fantastic floor plan in the well sought after, Painted Tree Community in McKinney, offering best MISD Schools!!! Open concept floor plan with a chef's kitchen equipped with oversized island, quartz countertops, tons cabinets and countertops space, five burner gas stove, and more. Spacious game room upstairs separating the primary and guest bedrooms is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Large primary suite with oversized walk-in closet and an abundance of cabinets and drawers in the bath area. Loaded with energy savvy features, including tankless hot water heater, foam insulation in the attic, GAS heating and smart home Wi-Fi thermostats (HVAC includes 10-year manufacturer's parts warranty). Painted Tree community is a must see! You'll be proud and enjoy owning this Low Maintenance Lifestyle Home. Ready NOW!
-
2026-05-15status Active 860-char remark
Show marketing remark (860 chars)
CB Jeni Homes Emily floor plan. Fantastic floor plan in the well sought after, Painted Tree Community in McKinney, offering best MISD Schools!!! Open concept floor plan with a chef's kitchen equipped with oversized island, quartz countertops, tons cabinets and countertops space, five burner gas stove, and more. Spacious game room upstairs separating the primary and guest bedrooms is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Large primary suite with oversized walk-in closet and an abundance of cabinets and drawers in the bath area. Loaded with energy savvy features, including tankless hot water heater, foam insulation in the attic, GAS heating and smart home Wi-Fi thermostats (HVAC includes 10-year manufacturer's parts warranty). Painted Tree community is a must see! You'll be proud and enjoy owning this Low Maintenance Lifestyle Home. Ready NOW!
-
2026-04-10historical 860-char remark
Show marketing remark (860 chars)
CB Jeni Homes Emily floor plan. Fantastic floor plan in the well sought after, Painted Tree Community in McKinney, offering best MISD Schools!!! Open concept floor plan with a chef's kitchen equipped with oversized island, quartz countertops, tons cabinets and countertops space, five burner gas stove, and more. Spacious game room upstairs separating the primary and guest bedrooms is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Large primary suite with oversized walk-in closet and an abundance of cabinets and drawers in the bath area. Loaded with energy savvy features, including tankless hot water heater, foam insulation in the attic, GAS heating and smart home Wi-Fi thermostats (HVAC includes 10-year manufacturer's parts warranty). Painted Tree community is a must see! You'll be proud and enjoy owning this Low Maintenance Lifestyle Home. Ready NOW!
-
2026-04-03historical
-
2026-03-13price $383,430
-
2026-03-12$403,430 Active
-
2026-03-06historical
-
2026-02-18price $383,430 860-char remark
Show marketing remark (860 chars)
CB Jeni Homes Emily floor plan. Fantastic floor plan in the well sought after, Painted Tree Community in McKinney, offering best MISD Schools!!! Open concept floor plan with a chef's kitchen equipped with oversized island, quartz countertops, tons cabinets and countertops space, five burner gas stove, and more. Spacious game room upstairs separating the primary and guest bedrooms is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Large primary suite with oversized walk-in closet and an abundance of cabinets and drawers in the bath area. Loaded with energy savvy features, including tankless hot water heater, foam insulation in the attic, GAS heating and smart home Wi-Fi thermostats (HVAC includes 10-year manufacturer's parts warranty). Painted Tree community is a must see! You'll be proud and enjoy owning this Low Maintenance Lifestyle Home. Ready NOW!
-
2026-02-18price $383,430
Show marketing remark (860 chars)
CB Jeni Homes Emily floor plan. Fantastic floor plan in the well sought after, Painted Tree Community in McKinney, offering best MISD Schools!!! Open concept floor plan with a chef's kitchen equipped with oversized island, quartz countertops, tons cabinets and countertops space, five burner gas stove, and more. Spacious game room upstairs separating the primary and guest bedrooms is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Large primary suite with oversized walk-in closet and an abundance of cabinets and drawers in the bath area. Loaded with energy savvy features, including tankless hot water heater, foam insulation in the attic, GAS heating and smart home Wi-Fi thermostats (HVAC includes 10-year manufacturer's parts warranty). Painted Tree community is a must see! You'll be proud and enjoy owning this Low Maintenance Lifestyle Home. Ready NOW!
-
2026-01-27price $393,430
Show marketing remark (860 chars)
CB Jeni Homes Emily floor plan. Fantastic floor plan in the well sought after, Painted Tree Community in McKinney, offering best MISD Schools!!! Open concept floor plan with a chef's kitchen equipped with oversized island, quartz countertops, tons cabinets and countertops space, five burner gas stove, and more. Spacious game room upstairs separating the primary and guest bedrooms is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Large primary suite with oversized walk-in closet and an abundance of cabinets and drawers in the bath area. Loaded with energy savvy features, including tankless hot water heater, foam insulation in the attic, GAS heating and smart home Wi-Fi thermostats (HVAC includes 10-year manufacturer's parts warranty). Painted Tree community is a must see! You'll be proud and enjoy owning this Low Maintenance Lifestyle Home. Ready NOW!
-
2026-01-27$393,430 Active 860-char remark
Show marketing remark (860 chars)
CB Jeni Homes Emily floor plan. Fantastic floor plan in the well sought after, Painted Tree Community in McKinney, offering best MISD Schools!!! Open concept floor plan with a chef's kitchen equipped with oversized island, quartz countertops, tons cabinets and countertops space, five burner gas stove, and more. Spacious game room upstairs separating the primary and guest bedrooms is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Large primary suite with oversized walk-in closet and an abundance of cabinets and drawers in the bath area. Loaded with energy savvy features, including tankless hot water heater, foam insulation in the attic, GAS heating and smart home Wi-Fi thermostats (HVAC includes 10-year manufacturer's parts warranty). Painted Tree community is a must see! You'll be proud and enjoy owning this Low Maintenance Lifestyle Home. Ready NOW!
-
2026-01-27$403,430 Active
Show marketing remark (860 chars)
CB Jeni Homes Emily floor plan. Fantastic floor plan in the well sought after, Painted Tree Community in McKinney, offering best MISD Schools!!! Open concept floor plan with a chef's kitchen equipped with oversized island, quartz countertops, tons cabinets and countertops space, five burner gas stove, and more. Spacious game room upstairs separating the primary and guest bedrooms is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Large primary suite with oversized walk-in closet and an abundance of cabinets and drawers in the bath area. Loaded with energy savvy features, including tankless hot water heater, foam insulation in the attic, GAS heating and smart home Wi-Fi thermostats (HVAC includes 10-year manufacturer's parts warranty). Painted Tree community is a must see! You'll be proud and enjoy owning this Low Maintenance Lifestyle Home. Ready NOW!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,567 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,834 · $569/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,267/yr (+$439/mo · 336.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,937
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,918
- − Property taxes
- −$1,567
- − Insurance
- −$1,867
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,315
- − Management
- −$2,315
- − Depreciation
- −$10,863
- Taxable loss
- −$10,908
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,618
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mckinney ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4829850
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,283
- Composite
- 50.46/100
- National rank
- #1862
- State rank
- #72 of 826 in TX
Livability — McKinney
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #115
- US rank
- #3716
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McKinney, TX
- County
- Collin County · 1,159,394 people
- City population
- 232,161
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 72,964
- Household income
- $132,447
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1682.0
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 13% Two or more races 12% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.92%
- Current HPI
- 254.4946
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.15%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-7.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $373,430 Zillow
- 2026-04-10 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-03 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $383,430 NTREIS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $403,430 NTREIS
- 2026-03-06 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $383,430 Zillow
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $383,430 NTREIS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $393,430 NTREIS
- 2026-01-27 Listed $393,430 Zillow
- 2026-01-27 Listed $403,430 NTREIS
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,567 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
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