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15622 Millard Ave
D+ Composite 49.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.5/15.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$229,999

15622 Millard Ave · Markham, IL 60428
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,538 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1940 Est $203k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Frame 2-Story which features four bedrooms, 1.1 bathrooms, side drive and large backyard. The property requires repairs to be made however this has the potential to be a great investment. This home is priced to sell!! Lot/room sizes estimated. Property is to be sold as is!!!

Key facts

  • Renovated home
  • Gorgeous new kitchen
  • Large yard

Tags

RENOVATED HOMEUPDATED LIGHTINGGORGEOUS NEW KITCHENCONTEMPORARY CABINETRYSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESLARGE YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Markham, Bremen township; Directions: 155th to Millard and south to subject
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space; 1 total parking space); Owned garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story residence; Fee simple ownership; Rehab completed in 2026; Estimated living area
  • Construction: Built 81–90 years ago; Aluminum siding; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 7,980 sq ft; School bus service

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (11 x 12 on main level)
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (Master: 12 x 12 on second level; Bedroom 2: 10 x 12 on second level; Bedroom 3: 10 x 9 on second level; Bedroom 4: 12 x 10 on second level)
  • Bathrooms: One full bath; One half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (5 x 7)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 10.2% in Markham — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
  • Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $230k implies a 207% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $229,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.11%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$203,016
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15749 Saint Louis Ave 0.38mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,575 (+2%) 4mo $225,000 $143 66
15450 Millard Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,435 (-7%) 5mo $245,000 $171 64
16037 Springfield Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,566 (+2%) 3mo $206,000 $132 62
15535 Homan Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (-2%) 10mo $242,000 $161 57
15256 Ridgeway Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,514 (-2%) 15mo $250,000 $165 52
3830 Sunset Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,629 (+6%) 14mo $165,000 $101 49
15412 Hamlin Ave 0.43mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,711 (+11%) 10mo $295,000 $172 47
15234 Millard Ave 0.66mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,532 (-0%) 21mo $163,000 $106 46
15830 Trumbull Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,639 (+7%) 20mo $205,000 $125 44
15235 Lawndale Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,394 (-9%) 7mo $175,000 $126 42
3417 W 161st St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,413 (-8%) 8mo $77,500 $55 40
3336 W 161st St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,747 (+14%) 17mo $55,000 $31 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.8%
Equity multiple
3.06×
Total profit
$132,772
Equity at exit
$207,201
10-year hold
IRR
22.7%
Equity multiple
6.99×
Total profit
$385,942
Equity at exit
$446,837

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60428

Home prices YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,705 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$722 /mo · $8,666/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$568
Net cashflow
$113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,562
Max offer price $229,999
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $243 -5% $178 +0% $113 +5% $48 +10% $-17
Rent -10% $-101 -5% $6 +0% $113 +5% $220 +10% $327
Rate -1.0pp $229 -0.5pp $172 base $113 +0.5pp $53 +1.0pp $-7

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16450 Roy St Oak Forest, IL 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,400 $1.60 18d 1 1.35mi
15544 Kilpatrick Ave Oak Forest, IL 2.0–3.0 2.5 1630 $2,995 $1.84 2d 2 1.36mi
4800 157th St Oak Forest, IL 2.0 2.5 2160 $2,795 $1.29 8d 1 1.47mi
4800 W 157th St Oak Forest, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1151 $2,660 $2.31 2d 3 1.47mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,999 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,999 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,999 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,999 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $229,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,666 · $722/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,666 · $722/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,464
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$8,666
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,597
− Management
−$2,597
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$2,121
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$509
After-tax cash flow
$1,866/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bremen Chsd 228
NCES district ID
1707050
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,625
Composite
15.32/100
National rank
#9327
State rank
#468 of 620 in IL

Livability — Markham

Score
76/100
State rank
#186
US rank
#3539

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Markham, IL
City population
10,980
Population (ZIP)
10,980

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 11% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 23.63%
Current HPI
302.333
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+283.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $229,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2026-04-07 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-08 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-27 Price Changed $79,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-20 Price Changed $93,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-08 Price Changed $104,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-24 Price Changed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-08 Listed $120,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-16 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-13 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-03 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-09 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-31 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2001-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $8,666 · -7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…