Duplex
999 E 241st St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$670,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to 999 East 241 Street this 2 family house is located in the Wakefield Area of the Bronx. Home features 2 bedrooms over 1 bedroom Apartment and finish basement. this Property Also have a Detach car Garage. This is a great investment property. House is located very close to schools, parks, shopping major highways and mass transit the 2 Train is walking Distance. A Must See !!! Additional Information: ParkingFeatures:1 Car Detached,
Key facts
- 2,400 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $670k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $127/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $573k (14.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $573k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,726/mo this rent would consume 104% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 4791% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($610k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; list at $670k implies a 396% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.63%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $545,760
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4351 De Reimer Ave | 0.32mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 1,522 (+6%) | 14mo | $675,000 | $443 | 57 |
| 4331 Wilder Ave | 0.33mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,574 (+9%) | 2mo | $803,000 | $510 | 55 |
| 4353 Edson Ave | 0.38mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 23mo | $442,000 | $307 | 50 |
| 23 S 13th Ave | 0.42mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+4%) | 19mo | $569,000 | $379 | 49 |
| 4143 Ely Ave | 0.67mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,606 (+12%) | 13mo | $566,000 | $352 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-92,521
- Equity at exit
- $99,899
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-60,278
- Equity at exit
- $57,929
Cash invested: $187,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10466
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 19.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,726 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,514
- Tax from tax record
- −$477 /mo · $5,721/yr
- Insurance
- −$279
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,202
- Net cashflow
- $254
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $633 | -5% $444 | +0% $254 | +5% $64 | +10% $-125 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-198 | -5% $28 | +0% $254 | +5% $480 | +10% $706 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $591 | -0.5pp $424 | base $254 | +0.5pp $80 | +1.0pp $-96 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $5,726 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $2,863 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $2,863 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,726 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $167,500
- Closing costs
- $20,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142 W 5th St Mount Vernon, NY | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,756 | $3.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 310 S 7th Ave Mount Vernon, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $4,800 | $4.80 | 26d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 33 Union Ln Mount Vernon, NY | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $4,200 | $3.50 | 26d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 641 S 5th Ave Unit 2nd/3rd Floor Mt Vernon, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,900 | $2.17 | 6d | 1 | 0.79mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2025-01-17status Pending
-
2024-12-19price $670,000
-
2024-11-18price $680,000
-
2024-10-16price $690,000
-
2024-09-19$699,000 Active
-
2023-01-03status Active
-
2023-01-03price $650,000
-
2022-11-21price $659,900
-
2022-10-20price $659,990
-
2022-10-03$660,000 Active
-
2022-10-02historical
-
2022-05-30historical
-
2022-04-11$690,000 Active
-
2022-04-02historical
-
1998-09-04soldstatus $135,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,721 · $477/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,522 · $710/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,801/yr (+$233/mo · 49.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $68,712
- − Mortgage interest
- −$37,530
- − Property taxes
- −$5,721
- − Insurance
- −$3,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,497
- − Management
- −$5,497
- − Depreciation
- −$19,491
- Taxable loss
- −$8,374
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,010
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,059/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,116
- Household income
- $65,969
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4791.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 7% White 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada, Jamaica, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.77%
- Current HPI
- 349.542
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+396.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2025-01-17 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-19 Price Changed $670,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-18 Price Changed $680,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-16 Price Changed $690,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-19 Listed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-03 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-03 Price Changed $650,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-21 Price Changed $659,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-20 Price Changed $659,990 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-03 Listed $660,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-02 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-30 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-11 Listed $690,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-02 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,721 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…