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2412 Creswell Ave
B- Composite 68.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

2412 Creswell Ave · Shreveport, LA 71104
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,590 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 85 Days on market
Built 1992 8,059 sqft lot $28/sqft · 61% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Opportunity in Historic District – Cash Only! Calling all investors! This property, located in a sought-after historic district, offers tons of potential for the right buyer. Cash-only purchase required, and rebuild restrictions apply. Important: The home is in a state of disrepair. Anyone entering the property does so at their own risk. The seller, listing agent, and agencies will not be held responsible for any injuries. Don’t miss this rare opportunity to bring your vision to life in a historic area!

Key facts

  • 8,059 sq ft lot
  • Built 1992
  • Listed 85 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $684 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.5% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $42,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.80%
Cap rate
24.52%
Cash-on-cash
65.10%
DSCR
3.90
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$115,022
List price
$45,000
Delta
-60.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2310 Highland Ave 0.14mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,611 (+1%) 5mo $115,000 $71 80
622 Kirby Pl 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,515 (-5%) 2mo $149,900 $99 74
445 Boulevard St 0.19mi 4/2.0 1,756 (+10%) 5mo $175,000 $100 70
813 Dalzell St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,771 (+11%) 8mo $164,500 $93 57
631 Gladstone Blvd 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,639 (+3%) 1mo $165,000 $101 55
426 Stephenson St 0.72mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,633 (+3%) 1mo $207,500 $127 54
120 Dalzell St 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,704 (+7%) 8mo $80,000 $47 52
404 Washington St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,367 (-14%) 5mo $130,000 $95 52
149 College St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,735 (+9%) 9mo $205,000 $118 46
117 Merrick St 0.64mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,762 (+11%) 1mo $90,000 $51 44
225 Prospect St 0.48mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,819 (+14%) 9mo $220,000 $121 37
123 Dalzell St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,377 (-13%) 7mo $80,000 $58 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
64.9%
Equity multiple
3.93×
Total profit
$36,975
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
69.4%
Equity multiple
8.25×
Total profit
$91,291
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71104

Home prices YoY
-32.2%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,258 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $665/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$684

Break-even live

Break-even rent $393
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
642 Robinson Pl Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,275 $0.85 21d 1 0.11mi
419 Boulevard St Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1852 $1,100 $0.59 43d 1 0.25mi
2109 Highland Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1739 $1,050 $0.60 43d 1 0.27mi
442 Merrick St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.5 1595 $1,000 $0.63 43d 1 0.32mi
140 Wilkinson St Unit 142 Shreveport, LA 3.0 3.0 1174 $1,300 $1.11 21d 1 0.58mi
140 E Wilkinson St Shreveport, LA 3.0 3.0 1174 $1,300 $1.11 21d 1 0.74mi
320 Stephenson St Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1845 $1,675 $0.91 21d 1 0.76mi
320 Stephenson St Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1845 $1,675 $0.91 13d 1 0.76mi
451 Egan St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.5 1300 $750 $0.58 13d 1 0.77mi
2811 Samford Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1612 $850 $0.53 13d 1 0.87mi
3624 Gilbert Dr Shreveport, LA 3.0 3.0 2088 $1,900 $0.91 43d 1 0.94mi
1225 Pecan St Unit B Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1070 $900 $0.84 21d 1 1.24mi
1147 Cornwell Ave Unit 1 Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1200 $895 $0.75 13d 1 1.25mi
3827 Baltimore Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.5 1650 $1,650 $1.00 43d 1 1.37mi
2506 Mecom Dr Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.5 1433 $1,350 $0.94 13d 1 1.46mi
2615 Judith Pl Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,600 $1.10 13d 1 1.48mi
1719 Lakeshore Dr Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.5 1200 $950 $0.79 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 85 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $45,000 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $45,000 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 71 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 70 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 68 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 67 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $45,000 Active 66 DOM
  17. 2026-03-25
    listed $45,000 Active 531-char remark
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    Investor Opportunity in Historic District – Cash Only! Calling all investors! This property, located in a sought-after historic district, offers tons of potential for the right buyer. Cash-only purchase required, and rebuild restrictions apply. Important: The home is in a state of disrepair. Anyone entering the property does so at their own risk. The seller, listing agent, and agencies will not be held responsible for any injuries. Don’t miss this rare opportunity to bring your vision to life in a historic area!

  18. 1990-09-11
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$665 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$665 · $55/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,095
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$665
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,208
− Management
−$1,208
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$7,959
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,910
After-tax cash flow
$6,292/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caddo Parish
NCES district ID
2200300
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$39,227
Composite
22.23/100
National rank
#8148
State rank
#53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

Score
59/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shreveport, LA
County
Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
City population
164,123
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
Population (ZIP)
12,975
Household income
$56,833
Rent vs Own
54.7% rent · 45.3% own
Severe rent burden
759.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
243,190 people
By 2030
237,231 · -2.5%
By 2040
222,502 · -8.5%
By 2050
206,516 · -15.1%
By 2075
165,706 · -31.9%
By 2100
122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Lithuanian 4% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.61%
Current HPI
104.3781
Rent YoY
▲ 3.56%
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $45,000 NTREIS
  • 1990-09-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+11.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $665 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…