1303 Bleecker St · Utica, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1880
- Listed 41 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Owner pays: cable TV and other (see remarks); Rent includes: cable TV (see remarks)
- Financial info: Operating expense details: see remarks; Rental income by unit: $1,100; $1,250; $1,250; $750
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking with two or more spaces
- Utilities: Electricity available and connected (circuit breakers); Public water available and connected; Sewer available and connected
- Home design: Multi-unit property with 3 total units (4 units in the community); 2 stories; Resale property
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt pitched roof; Block and stone foundation; Copper and PEX plumbing
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Flag lot; Near public transit
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchens in units; Formal dining room in some units
- Bedrooms: Three-bedroom units (multiple units include 3-bedroom layouts); Two-bedroom unit included; One-bedroom unit included
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Varies by unit
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms total across units
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Attic; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($457/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (18.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $186k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $229k implies a 409% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.71%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $321,374
- List price
- $229,000
- Delta
- -28.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $127,081
- Equity at exit
- $206,301
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.80×
- Total profit
- $372,199
- Equity at exit
- $444,897
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13501
- Home prices YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,863 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $38
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $168 | -5% $103 | +0% $38 | +5% $-27 | +10% $-92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-109 | -5% $-36 | +0% $38 | +5% $112 | +10% $185 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $153 | -0.5pp $96 | base $38 | +0.5pp $-21 | +1.0pp $-82 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $229,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $229,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $229,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $229,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$229,000 Active
-
2026-01-22historical
-
2025-09-08price $239,900
-
2025-08-10historical $1,300
-
2025-08-01$1,300
-
2025-07-28$250,000 Active
-
2024-08-28historical
-
2024-04-29price $184,999
-
2024-04-29price $189,000
-
2024-02-28$239,900 Active
-
2018-12-07historical
-
2018-07-07$89,900
-
2003-04-30soldstatus $45,000
-
2002-12-05$49,900
-
2002-10-08historical
-
2002-10-08historical
-
2002-07-08$57,000
-
2002-07-08$57,000
-
2002-06-16soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,648 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,759 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,111/yr (+$93/mo · 67.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,355
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$1,648
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,788
- − Management
- −$1,788
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable loss
- −$3,504
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$841
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,298/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Utica City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629370
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,834
- Composite
- 29.01/100
- National rank
- #6613
- State rank
- #562 of 590 in NY
Livability — Utica
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Utica, NY
- County
- Oneida County · 89,710 people
- City population
- 72,968
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,931
- Household income
- $52,548
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Asian 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- American 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.28%
- Current HPI
- 382.3726
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+408.9% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $229,000 CNYIS
- 2026-01-22 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $239,900 CNYIS
- 2025-08-10 Rental Removed $1,300 RENTSPREE
- 2025-08-01 Listed for Rent $1,300 RENTSPREE
- 2025-07-28 Listed $250,000 CNYIS
- 2024-08-28 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2024-04-29 Price Changed $184,999 CNYIS
- 2024-04-29 Price Changed $189,000 CNYIS
- 2024-02-28 Listed $239,900 CNYIS
- 2018-12-07 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2018-07-07 Listed $89,900 CNYIS
- 2003-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2002-12-05 Listed $49,900 CNYIS
- 2002-10-08 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2002-10-08 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2002-07-08 Listed $57,000 CNYIS
- 2002-07-08 Listed $57,000 CNYIS
- 2002-06-16 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CNYIS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,648 · -35.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…