314 Adelaide Ave SE · Warren, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very well kept 3 bedroom, 2 story, offering a 1 year warranty for buyers piece of mind. Large LR with gas fireplace, formal DR, spacious updated Kitchen (fridge/stove 1 yr) with ceramic flooring, fresh paint though out, nice size bedrooms & updated bath with whirlpool tub. Updates galore in the last few years to include: Breaker box, furnace, vinyl tilt in windows, glass block, roof, c/a, & painted alum. exterior. Fenced in yard, above ground pool needs liner & pump (seller will remove if buyer doesn't want). This home qualifies for many programs that include: $5000 down payment assistance & lender paid buyer closing costs! Buyer can get in with very little down. So what are you waiting for? Great Home! Also offers 1 year home warranty for buyer peace of mind.
Key facts
- Ceramic flooring
- Fenced backyard
- 6,451 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.9% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#312 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D-, commute F, employment F.
- Warren City (urban): math 22% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #599 of 656 in OH (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Willard Avenue Pk-8 School (math 19% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,217 of 1,584 statewide, top 78%, 877 students, 0% FRL); Warren G Harding High School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #665 of 781 statewide, top 85%, 1,155 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 75% district-wide (75 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $100k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.43%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $136,530
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327 Adelaide | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-7%) | 6mo | $127,900 | $112 | 82 |
| 1116 Adelaide Ave SE | 0.40mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,254 (+2%) | 0mo | $106,250 | $85 | 73 |
| 336 Willard Ave SE | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,136 (-8%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $114 | 72 |
| 213 Kenmore Ave NE | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,142 (-7%) | 6mo | $116,000 | $102 | 68 |
| 464 Meadowbrook Ave SE | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,235 (+0%) | 4mo | $143,000 | $116 | 66 |
| 223 Laird Ave NE | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,286 (+5%) | 6mo | $144,900 | $113 | 62 |
| 1100 Woodbine Ave SE | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,178 (-4%) | 5mo | $42,500 | $36 | 61 |
| 2026 Ada Ave SE | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,065 (-13%) | 5mo | $89,900 | $84 | 59 |
| 696 Meadowbrook Ave SE | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,140 (-7%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $132 | 53 |
| 1180 Harrison St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,376 (+12%) | 1mo | $89,900 | $65 | 48 |
| 1172 Mckinley St NE | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,392 (+13%) | 5mo | $47,000 | $34 | 36 |
| 880 Meadowbrook Ave SE | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 1,392 (+13%) | 2mo | $154,500 | $111 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-5,154
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $9,751
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44483
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,081 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,389/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $173
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $230 | -5% $201 | +0% $173 | +5% $145 | +10% $117 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $88 | -5% $130 | +0% $173 | +5% $216 | +10% $259 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $223 | -0.5pp $198 | base $173 | +0.5pp $147 | +1.0pp $121 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 840 Woodbine Ave SE Unit 838 Warren, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 259 Perkinswood Blvd NE Warren, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $845 | $1.14 | 15d | 3 | 0.49mi |
| 2232 Youngstown Rd SE Warren, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 341 Charles AVE Warren, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1151 Kenilworth Ave SE Warren, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1207 | $900 | $0.75 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1216 Hollywood St NE Warren, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $1,050 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 407 Washington St NE Niles, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1388 | $1,250 | $0.90 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-03-10$99,900 Active
-
2016-10-14soldstatus $42,000 Sold 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
Very well kept 3 bedroom, 2 story, offering a 1 year warranty for buyers piece of mind. Large LR with gas fireplace, formal DR, spacious updated Kitchen (fridge/stove 1 yr) with ceramic flooring, fresh paint though out, nice size bedrooms & updated bath with whirlpool tub. Updates galore in the last few years to include: Breaker box, furnace, vinyl tilt in windows, glass block, roof, c/a, & painted alum. exterior. Fenced in yard, above ground pool needs liner & pump (seller will remove if buyer doesn't want). This home qualifies for many programs that include: $5000 down payment assistance & lender paid buyer closing costs! Buyer can get in with very little down. So what are you waiting for? Great Home! Also offers 1 year home warranty for buyer peace of mind.
-
2016-09-20historical Contingent 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
Very well kept 3 bedroom, 2 story, offering a 1 year warranty for buyers piece of mind. Large LR with gas fireplace, formal DR, spacious updated Kitchen (fridge/stove 1 yr) with ceramic flooring, fresh paint though out, nice size bedrooms & updated bath with whirlpool tub. Updates galore in the last few years to include: Breaker box, furnace, vinyl tilt in windows, glass block, roof, c/a, & painted alum. exterior. Fenced in yard, above ground pool needs liner & pump (seller will remove if buyer doesn't want). This home qualifies for many programs that include: $5000 down payment assistance & lender paid buyer closing costs! Buyer can get in with very little down. So what are you waiting for? Great Home! Also offers 1 year home warranty for buyer peace of mind.
-
2016-09-19$49,500 Active 793-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
Very well kept 3 bedroom, 2 story, offering a 1 year warranty for buyers piece of mind. Large LR with gas fireplace, formal DR, spacious updated Kitchen (fridge/stove 1 yr) with ceramic flooring, fresh paint though out, nice size bedrooms & updated bath with whirlpool tub. Updates galore in the last few years to include: Breaker box, furnace, vinyl tilt in windows, glass block, roof, c/a, & painted alum. exterior. Fenced in yard, above ground pool needs liner & pump (seller will remove if buyer doesn't want). This home qualifies for many programs that include: $5000 down payment assistance & lender paid buyer closing costs! Buyer can get in with very little down. So what are you waiting for? Great Home! Also offers 1 year home warranty for buyer peace of mind.
-
2016-08-31historical
-
2016-04-22price $49,500
-
2016-02-08$55,000 Active
-
1994-11-30soldstatus $54,969
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,389 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,474 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- +$85/yr (+$7/mo · 6.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,978
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,389
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,038
- − Management
- −$1,038
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $510
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$122
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,955/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warren City
- NCES district ID
- 3904499
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,222
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8299
- State rank
- #599 of 656 in OH
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #312
- US rank
- #5068
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, OH
- County
- Trumbull County · 61,158 people
- City population
- 25,805
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,805
- Household income
- $49,017
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 989.0
Population outlook (Trumbull County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 191,696 people
- By 2030
- 184,015 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 166,810 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 149,857 · -21.8%
- By 2075
- 115,769 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 83,617 · -56.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Trumbull
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.2% · R 58.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.50%
- Current HPI
- 218.3455
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+81.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-10 Listed $99,900 MLSNOW
- 2016-10-14 Sold (MLS) $42,000 MLSNOW
- 2016-09-20 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2016-09-19 Listed $49,500 MLSNOW
- 2016-08-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2016-04-22 Price Changed $49,500 MLSNOW
- 2016-02-08 Listed $55,000 MLSNOW
- 1994-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $54,969 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,389 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…