18642 Tracey St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This all-brick Tudor is an approximately 80% completed, offering a prime opportunity for investors to step in and finish strong. Major updates have already been started, including two full bathroom renovations, new flooring, new carpet throughout, and updated plumbing, HVAC, and electrical. The home features classic Tudor charm, a functional layout, and an unfinished basement ready for additional value-add potential. Outside, you'll find a detached two-car garage and a solid brick exterior that adds long-term durability and curb appeal. Sold as-is, cash only. Please see legal description regarding property being allegedly exempt from taxes until 12/30/26. Perfect for anyone looking for their next project with much of the heavy lifting already underway.
Key facts
- Updated electrical
- New carpet
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located near 7 Mile and Tracey; Subdivision: RAMM & COS NORTHWESTERN HWY 1 AMD PLATPLATS
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One and one-half story; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Built area above grade approximately 1,431
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 130 (0.12 acres)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.73%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,685
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -28.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18927 Stansbury St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,523 (+6%) | 1mo | $98,000 | $64 | 76 |
| 18011 Appoline St W | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (+1%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $118 | 66 |
| 13517 Pembroke Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,386 (-3%) | 4mo | $92,000 | $66 | 58 |
| 17561 Appoline St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,498 (+5%) | 4mo | $88,000 | $59 | 55 |
| 18982 Coyle St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,328 (-7%) | 3mo | $132,300 | $100 | 53 |
| 19139 Lauder St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,335 (-7%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $30 | 51 |
| 19360 Strathmoor St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,596 (+12%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $91 | 51 |
| 17531 Ardmore St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (-9%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $150 | 49 |
| 18714 Appoline St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,623 (+13%) | 4mo | $162,500 | $100 | 49 |
| 18613 Mendota St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,606 (+12%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $121 | 41 |
| 17621 Meyers Rd | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,264 (-12%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $32 | 40 |
| 17517 Meyers Rd | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,611 (+13%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $47 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,719
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $22,385
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48235
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 283
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,395 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $355 | -5% $314 | +0% $272 | +5% $231 | +10% $190 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $162 | -5% $217 | +0% $272 | +5% $328 | +10% $383 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $333 | -0.5pp $303 | base $272 | +0.5pp $241 | +1.0pp $210 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18512 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,550 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 18257 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,507 | $1.27 | 17d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 18675 Meyers Rd Unit 18677 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,100 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 19474 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,075 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 18964 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 17540 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 20042 Freeland St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1445 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 18481 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 20d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 18427 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $980 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 20426 Tracey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 20032 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,294 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 20122 Manor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,200 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,345 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 11d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 18675 Forrer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,225 | $1.02 | 5d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 18935 Indiana St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,523 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 20245 Manor Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,400 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1653 | $1,450 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 18400 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1516 | $1,400 | $0.92 | 20d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 16204 Steel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 16889 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 18d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 19440 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 19467 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 17165 Prevost St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 20460 Griggs St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 18d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 16151 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,525 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 19503 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 20009 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1051 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 18d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 20515 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,450 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 20185 Indiana St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 17d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 762-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
This all-brick Tudor is an approximately 80% completed, offering a prime opportunity for investors to step in and finish strong. Major updates have already been started, including two full bathroom renovations, new flooring, new carpet throughout, and updated plumbing, HVAC, and electrical. The home features classic Tudor charm, a functional layout, and an unfinished basement ready for additional value-add potential. Outside, you'll find a detached two-car garage and a solid brick exterior that adds long-term durability and curb appeal. Sold as-is, cash only. Please see legal description regarding property being allegedly exempt from taxes until 12/30/26. Perfect for anyone looking for their next project with much of the heavy lifting already underway.
-
2026-05-12status Pending 768-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
This all-brick Tudor is an approximately 80% completed, offering a prime opportunity for investors to step in and finish strong. Major updates have already been started, including two full bathroom renovations, new flooring, new carpet throughout, and updated plumbing, HVAC, and electrical. The home features classic Tudor charm, a functional layout, and an unfinished basement ready for additional value-add potential. Outside, you'll find a detached two-car garage and a solid brick exterior that adds long-term durability and curb appeal. Sold as-is, cash only. Please see legal description regarding property being allegedly exempt from taxes until 12/30/26. Perfect for anyone looking for their next project with much of the heavy lifting already underway.
-
2026-04-29price $120,000 762-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
This all-brick Tudor is an approximately 80% completed, offering a prime opportunity for investors to step in and finish strong. Major updates have already been started, including two full bathroom renovations, new flooring, new carpet throughout, and updated plumbing, HVAC, and electrical. The home features classic Tudor charm, a functional layout, and an unfinished basement ready for additional value-add potential. Outside, you'll find a detached two-car garage and a solid brick exterior that adds long-term durability and curb appeal. Sold as-is, cash only. Please see legal description regarding property being allegedly exempt from taxes until 12/30/26. Perfect for anyone looking for their next project with much of the heavy lifting already underway.
-
2026-04-29price $120,000 768-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
This all-brick Tudor is an approximately 80% completed, offering a prime opportunity for investors to step in and finish strong. Major updates have already been started, including two full bathroom renovations, new flooring, new carpet throughout, and updated plumbing, HVAC, and electrical. The home features classic Tudor charm, a functional layout, and an unfinished basement ready for additional value-add potential. Outside, you'll find a detached two-car garage and a solid brick exterior that adds long-term durability and curb appeal. Sold as-is, cash only. Please see legal description regarding property being allegedly exempt from taxes until 12/30/26. Perfect for anyone looking for their next project with much of the heavy lifting already underway.
-
2026-04-24$135,000 Active 762-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
This all-brick Tudor is an approximately 80% completed, offering a prime opportunity for investors to step in and finish strong. Major updates have already been started, including two full bathroom renovations, new flooring, new carpet throughout, and updated plumbing, HVAC, and electrical. The home features classic Tudor charm, a functional layout, and an unfinished basement ready for additional value-add potential. Outside, you'll find a detached two-car garage and a solid brick exterior that adds long-term durability and curb appeal. Sold as-is, cash only. Please see legal description regarding property being allegedly exempt from taxes until 12/30/26. Perfect for anyone looking for their next project with much of the heavy lifting already underway.
-
2026-04-24$135,000 Active 768-char remark
Show marketing remark (762 chars)
This all-brick Tudor is an approximately 80% completed, offering a prime opportunity for investors to step in and finish strong. Major updates have already been started, including two full bathroom renovations, new flooring, new carpet throughout, and updated plumbing, HVAC, and electrical. The home features classic Tudor charm, a functional layout, and an unfinished basement ready for additional value-add potential. Outside, you'll find a detached two-car garage and a solid brick exterior that adds long-term durability and curb appeal. Sold as-is, cash only. Please see legal description regarding property being allegedly exempt from taxes until 12/30/26. Perfect for anyone looking for their next project with much of the heavy lifting already underway.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,736
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,339
- − Management
- −$1,339
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $1,445
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$347
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,923/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,600
- Household income
- $39,265
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3064.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.02%
- Current HPI
- 263.6326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-11.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-12 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-24 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-24 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+14.1%/yrLatest (2025): $9,848 · +20.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…