315 W Grand St · Borger, TX 79007

$43,649

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,490 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 559 Days on market

Built 2012 7,000 sqft lot $29/sqft · 62% below area ↓ 3% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTORS! Opportunity awaits you in Borger, TX! This charming 2 bed 1 bath single-family home boasts 1,490 Sq. Ft of living space and features a wonderful family room, a spacious kitchen area, covered front porch, and decent sized backyard. It may need a bit of renovating and maintenance, but it has lots of possibilities. It is an ideal house for any investor looking for their next project or a first-time homebuyer willing to take the time and effort to build their personal vision! It has easy access to TX-136 and TX-152. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity. Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to out the deed in your name and make this your dream home. Ask about the Investor Borger Package. This property is part of an exclusive investor special package available for a limited time. Click the following link to learn more and seize this unique opportunity! >>Borger Package<< Call Us Now

Key facts

• 7,000 sq ft lot
• Built 2012
• Listed 559 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $616 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
• Recommended offer: $38k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#268 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, employment D.
• Borger ISD (town): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #348 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Hutchinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $302 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 559 days — a 12% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $38,411 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 559 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.65% ✓
• Cap rate: 23.23%
• Cash-on-cash: 60.50%
• DSCR: 3.69
• GRM: 3.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $115,852
• List price: $43,649
• Delta: -62.32%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 59.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.63×
• Total profit: $32,190
• Equity at exit: $6,508

10-year hold

• IRR: 64.0%
• Equity multiple: 7.43×
• Total profit: $78,631
• Equity at exit: $3,774

Cash invested: $12,222 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79007

• Active inventory: 88
• Price-to-rent: 3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,157 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$229
• Tax from tax record: −$51 /mo · $613/yr
• Insurance: −$18
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$243
• Net cashflow: $616

Break-even live

Break-even rent $377

Max offer price $43,649

Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $641	-5% $629	+0% $616	+5% $604	+10% $592
Rent	-10% $525	-5% $571	+0% $616	+5% $662	+10% $708
Rate	-1.0pp $638	-0.5pp $627	base $616	+0.5pp $605	+1.0pp $593

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,912
• Closing costs: $1,309
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $43,649 Active 559 DOM
2. 2026-06-21
   days on market $43,649 Active 558 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $43,649 Active 556 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $43,649 Active 555 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $43,649 Active 554 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $43,649 Active 553 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $43,649 Active 551 DOM
8. 2026-06-12
   days on market $43,649 Active 550 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $43,649 Active 547 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $43,649 Active 546 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $43,649 Active 545 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $43,649 Active 543 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $43,649 Active 541 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $43,649 Active 540 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $43,649 Active 539 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $43,649 Active 538 DOM
17. 2024-12-09
    listed $43,649 Active 1011-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    INVESTORS! Opportunity awaits you in Borger, TX! This charming 2 bed 1 bath single-family home boasts 1,490 Sq. Ft of living space and features a wonderful family room, a spacious kitchen area, covered front porch, and decent sized backyard. It may need a bit of renovating and maintenance, but it has lots of possibilities. It is an ideal house for any investor looking for their next project or a first-time homebuyer willing to take the time and effort to build their personal vision! It has easy access to TX-136 and TX-152. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity. Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to out the deed in your name and make this your dream home. Ask about the Investor Borger Package. This property is part of an exclusive investor special package available for a limited time. Click the following link to learn more and seize this unique opportunity! &gt;&gt;Borger Package&lt;&lt; Call Us Now

18. 2024-12-09
    historical

    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    INVESTORS! Opportunity awaits you in Borger, TX! This charming 2 bed 1 bath single-family home boasts 1,490 Sq. Ft of living space and features a wonderful family room, a spacious kitchen area, covered front porch, and decent sized backyard. It may need a bit of renovating and maintenance, but it has lots of possibilities. It is an ideal house for any investor looking for their next project or a first-time homebuyer willing to take the time and effort to build their personal vision! It has easy access to TX-136 and TX-152. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity. Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to out the deed in your name and make this your dream home. Ask about the Investor Borger Package. This property is part of an exclusive investor special package available for a limited time. Click the following link to learn more and seize this unique opportunity! &gt;&gt;Borger Package&lt;&lt; Call Us Now

19. 2024-09-09
    price $43,649
20. 2024-03-06
    status Active
21. 2024-01-08
    status Pending
22. 2023-01-17
    listed $44,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $613 · $51/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $799 · $67/mo
• Expected delta: +$186/yr (+$15/mo · 30.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,890
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,445
• − Property taxes: −$613
• − Insurance: −$218
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,111
• − Management: −$1,111
• − Depreciation: −$1,270
• Taxable income: $7,121
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,709
• After-tax cash flow: $5,686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Borger ISD
• NCES district ID: 4810890
• Math proficiency: 43% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $44,714
• Composite: 35.66/100
• National rank: #4879
• State rank: #348 of 826 in TX

Livability — Borger

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #6266

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Borger, TX
• Population (ZIP): 13,927

Population outlook (Hutchinson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 21,274 people
• By 2030: 21,089 · -0.9%
• By 2040: 20,938 · -1.6%
• By 2050: 20,999 · -1.3%
• By 2075: 21,433 · +0.7%
• By 2100: 21,243 · -0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (61%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 61% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 19% Black 3% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 29%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 20%

Political lean MEDSL · Hutchinson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+77.2) · D 11.1% · R 88.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -68.9pp · 2024: -77.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+77.2 2020: R+76.6 2016: R+76.1 2012: R+72.7 2008: R+68.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -76.35%
• Current HPI: 114.1111
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-3.0% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2024-12-09 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2024-12-09 Listed $43,649 HARMLS
• 2024-09-09 Price Changed $43,649 HARMLS
• 2024-03-06 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2024-01-08 Pending — HARMLS
• 2023-01-17 Listed $44,999 HARMLS

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $613 · +91.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.