CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
141 SW Michigan St
D+ Composite 45.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0

$265,000

141 SW Michigan St · Lake City, FL 32025
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,591 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1992 0.72 ac lot Est $291k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is turnkey with circular driveway for easy access. Spacious living room and kitchen with pantry and lots of cabinet space. Features a large master bedroom with walk-in closets, attached master bath with large garden tub, completely tiled shower, his & her sinks, and a seperate door leading to the back yard. .. .HVAC was replaced 5 years ago & Septic system replaced 2 years ago. Beautiful well landscaped 1 acre yard that has room for a pool or garden. Enjoy the fenced back yard with orange tree, fig tree, & grapevine. Also has a double gate for easy access to back yard. Located close to the VA, town, shopping, etc. A must see!!! Just reduced by $14,000.

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Spa style bath
  • Nearly 1 acre lot

Tags

NEARLY 1 ACRE LOTFUNCTIONAL KITCHENABUNDANT CABINET STORAGERELAXING PRIMARY SUITEWALK IN CLOSETSSPA STYLE BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Partially furnished; Lot size about 0.72 acres (approximately 1/2 to less than 1 acre); Water view: lake

Exterior

  • Parking: Circular driveway; Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Facing south; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Block and vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Stem wall foundation; Built as a single-level home
  • Exterior features: French doors; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Gas fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included; Inside laundry in a laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-352 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (23.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (33.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (33.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.7% in Lake City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#304 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
  • Columbia (town): math 53% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #25 of 73 in FL (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 178 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Columbia County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $118k; list at $265k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $176,627 (33.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
4.70%
Cash-on-cash
-5.70%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
12.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$291,153
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
216 SW Amerigo Pl 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,701 (+7%) 3mo $190,000 $112 77
1841 SW Paloma Ct 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,795 (+13%) 3mo $333,000 $186 53
760 Biscayne Gln 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,639 (+3%) 23mo $300,000 $183 40
1705 SW Paloma Ct 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,774 (+12%) 22mo $280,000 $158 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$121,866
Equity at exit
$238,733
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
6.07×
Total profit
$376,468
Equity at exit
$514,837

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32025

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,766 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax from tax record
$248 /mo · $2,970/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$-352

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,212
Max offer price $202,772
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $265,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $265,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $265,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $265,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $265,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $265,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $265,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $265,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $265,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $265,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $265,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $265,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $265,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $265,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $265,000 Active 15 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $265,000 Active 14 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    listed $265,000 Active
  18. 2014-06-17
    soldstatus $117,900
  19. 2014-05-06
    soldstatus $117,900 691-char remark
    Show marketing remark (691 chars)

    This property is turnkey with circular driveway for easy access. Spacious living room and kitchen with pantry and lots of cabinet space. Features a large master bedroom with walk-in closets, attached master bath with large garden tub, completely tiled shower, his & her sinks, and a seperate door leading to the back yard. .. .HVAC was replaced 5 years ago & Septic system replaced 2 years ago. Beautiful well landscaped 1 acre yard that has room for a pool or garden. Enjoy the fenced back yard with orange tree, fig tree, & grapevine. Also has a double gate for easy access to back yard. Located close to the VA, town, shopping, etc. A must see!!! Just reduced by $14,000.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,970 · $248/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,970 · $248/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,195
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$2,970
− Insurance
−$1,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,696
− Management
−$1,696
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable loss
−$9,044
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,171
After-tax cash flow
$-2,056/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia
NCES district ID
1200360
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$40,053
Composite
44.74/100
National rank
#2750
State rank
#25 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lake City

Score
73/100
State rank
#304
US rank
#5154

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Columbia County · 40,507 people
City population
40,507
Metro
Lake City, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,948
Household income
$55,004
Rent vs Own
40.1% rent · 59.9% own
Severe rent burden
754.0

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,129 people
By 2030
67,501 · -0.9%
By 2040
65,465 · -3.9%
By 2050
63,058 · -7.4%
By 2075
56,291 · -17.4%
By 2100
45,243 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.6% · R 74.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.8pp · 2024: -50.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.2 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+36.7 2008: R+33.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.57%
Current HPI
276.7253
Rent YoY
Metro
Lake City, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+124.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $265,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $117,900 Public Records
  • 2014-05-06 Sold (MLS) $117,900 NFMLS

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,970 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…