708 Gilbert St · Swansea, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover affordable charm in this move-in-ready home. The home features two good sized bedrooms and a full bath. There is a spacious eat in kitchen with plenty of cabinets and a walk-in pantry. There is a one car detected garage that has fresh exterior paint. The home will be city compliant and move in ready. More photos coming soon.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1937
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 1.9% in Swansea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#105 in IL, #1,705 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $653 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.03%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $105,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708 Gilbert St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (0%) | 1mo | $94,500 | $104 | 95 |
| 324 Gilbert St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 914 (+0%) | 2mo | $96,900 | $106 | 82 |
| 1007 Western Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 884 (-3%) | 9mo | $132,500 | $150 | 76 |
| 1213 Kinsella Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-5%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $168 | 74 |
| 513 N Fourth St | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 | 909 (-0%) | 6mo | $25,000 | $28 | 71 |
| 13 S 16th St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (-3%) | 4mo | $29,900 | $34 | 58 |
| 1607 Caseyville Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 1,004 (+10%) | 9mo | $24,900 | $25 | 54 |
| 504 N 16th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-8%) | 10mo | $54,900 | $65 | 52 |
| 1604 Pin Oak Ln | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-5%) | 11mo | $119,900 | $139 | 51 |
| 1712 Boul Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 825 (-9%) | 14mo | $114,900 | $139 | 37 |
| 612 Morgan St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-14%) | 10mo | $134,000 | $171 | 34 |
| 30 S 14th St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 1,028 (+13%) | 10mo | $119,000 | $116 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $3,398
- Equity at exit
- $14,090
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $32,414
- Equity at exit
- $8,171
Cash invested: $26,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62226
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,138 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$496
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,183/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $265
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,625
- Closing costs
- $2,835
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1308 Caseyville Ave Swansea, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,200 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 603 W Lincoln St Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $750 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 31 S 27th St Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $915 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 213 Columbus Dr Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,650 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1671 Shadow Ridge Ct Belleville, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $1,325 | $1.62 | 1d | 12 | 1.22mi |
| 229 S Church St Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 636 | $750 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1730 Shadow Ridge Ct Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,050 | $1.40 | 1d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-21status Pending
-
2026-04-21$94,500 Active
-
2024-02-12soldstatus $80,000
-
2024-02-09soldstatus Closed 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Discover affordable charm in this move-in-ready home. The home features two good sized bedrooms and a full bath. There is a spacious eat in kitchen with plenty of cabinets and a walk-in pantry. There is a one car detected garage that has fresh exterior paint. The home will be city compliant and move in ready. More photos coming soon.
-
2024-01-08status Pending 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Discover affordable charm in this move-in-ready home. The home features two good sized bedrooms and a full bath. There is a spacious eat in kitchen with plenty of cabinets and a walk-in pantry. There is a one car detected garage that has fresh exterior paint. The home will be city compliant and move in ready. More photos coming soon.
-
2024-01-05historical Active Under Contract 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Discover affordable charm in this move-in-ready home. The home features two good sized bedrooms and a full bath. There is a spacious eat in kitchen with plenty of cabinets and a walk-in pantry. There is a one car detected garage that has fresh exterior paint. The home will be city compliant and move in ready. More photos coming soon.
-
2024-01-04$74,500 Active 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Discover affordable charm in this move-in-ready home. The home features two good sized bedrooms and a full bath. There is a spacious eat in kitchen with plenty of cabinets and a walk-in pantry. There is a one car detected garage that has fresh exterior paint. The home will be city compliant and move in ready. More photos coming soon.
-
2023-12-20historical $74,500 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Discover affordable charm in this move-in-ready home. The home features two good sized bedrooms and a full bath. There is a spacious eat in kitchen with plenty of cabinets and a walk-in pantry. There is a one car detected garage that has fresh exterior paint. The home will be city compliant and move in ready. More photos coming soon.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,183 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,664 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- +$481/yr (+$40/mo · 40.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,652
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,293
- − Property taxes
- −$1,183
- − Insurance
- −$472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,092
- − Management
- −$1,092
- − Depreciation
- −$2,749
- Taxable income
- $1,770
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$425
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,758/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Swansea
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #1705
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Swansea, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 28,543
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,255
- Household income
- $70,797
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 824.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.57%
- Current HPI
- 133.9028
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.56%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+26.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Listed $94,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2024-02-09 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-08 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-05 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-04 Listed $74,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-20 Coming Soon $74,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+21.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,183 · +728.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…