2550 State Road 580 #417 · Clearwater, FL 33761

$179,995

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured · 88 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.3/30.0
• DSCR +9.5/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.4/10.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +4.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to Paradise in This Brand-New 2026 Jacobsen Home! This stunning 2-bedroom, 2-bath residence is a must-see, offering over 1,500 square feet of beautifully designed living space. Perfectly positioned along the desirable 4th street perimeter, you ll enjoy extra backyard space and added privacy an uncommon bonus in community living. Step inside and experience comfort and elegance at every turn. The spacious kitchen is a true centerpiece, featuring an oversized island ideal for entertaining or casual dining. Just steps away, the open-concept living room is bathed in natural light, thanks to elegant French doors that create a warm, inviting atmosphere throughout the home. Refined details

Key facts

• French doors
• Backyard space
• Oversized island

Tags

• BACKYARD SPACE
• OVERSIZED ISLAND
• OPEN-CONCEPT LIVING ROOM
• FRENCH DOORS
• CROWN MOLDING
• PRIVATE ENSUITE BATHROOM

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $179,995

Exterior

• Home design: Condominium / unit at 2550 State Road 580 #417, Clearwater, FL 33761; Spec home (new construction inventory type); Active listing
• Construction: Built/updated as part of 2026 listings (modification timestamp Apr 28, 2026)

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (total)
• Interior features: Living area of 1568 (listed)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
• Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.9% in Clearwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#60 in FL, #988 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
• Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Leila Davis Elementary School (math 66% / reading 69%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 665 students, 35% FRL); Safety Harbor Middle School (math 45% / reading 43%, grade D, #327 of 571 statewide, top 57%, 974 students, 50% FRL); Countryside High School (math 25% / reading 45%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 1,741 students, 44% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 205 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $169,195 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.24% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.76%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.39%
• DSCR: 1.55
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.95×
• Total profit: $-2,290
• Equity at exit: $26,838

10-year hold

• IRR: 5.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.33×
• Total profit: $16,387
• Equity at exit: $15,563

Cash invested: $50,399 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33761

• Rents YoY: 0.1%
• Active inventory: 205
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,234 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$944
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
• Insurance: −$75
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$469
• Net cashflow: $521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,575

Max offer price $179,995

Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $645	-5% $583	+0% $521	+5% $458	+10% $396
Rent	-10% $344	-5% $432	+0% $521	+5% $609	+10% $697
Rate	-1.0pp $611	-0.5pp $566	base $521	+0.5pp $474	+1.0pp $426

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $44,999
• Closing costs: $5,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 30 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2524 Newbern Ave Clearwater, FL	3.0	2.5	1740	$2,800	$1.61	25d	1	0.18mi
2713 Countryside Blvd #108 Clearwater, FL	2.0	2.0	1100	$1,850	$1.68	4d	1	0.44mi
2581 Countryside Blvd Unit 304 Clearwater, FL	2.0	2.0	1200	$2,100	$1.75	25d	1	0.46mi
2999 Fieldbrook Pl Clearwater, FL	2.0	2.0	1164	$2,300	$1.98	25d	1	0.58mi
2773 Cypress Dr Unit C Clearwater, FL	3.0	2.0	1507	$2,400	$1.59	25d	1	0.62mi
2561 Forest Run Ct Clearwater, FL	3.0	2.0	1145	$2,000	$1.75	4d	1	0.64mi
2307 Cumberland Cir Clearwater, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	873	$2,099	$2.40	5d	15	0.66mi
2690 Enterprise Rd E Clearwater, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1051	$2,564	$2.44	5d	9	0.80mi
2523 North Field Ln Clearwater, FL	3.0	2.5	1832	$2,850	$1.56	9d	1	0.80mi
2524 Alexander Pl Clearwater, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	991	$2,090	$2.11	3d	20	0.81mi
373 Majesty Dr Unit 373 Clearwater, FL	2.0	2.0	1200	$1,600	$1.33	25d	1	0.97mi
2918 Deer Run N Clearwater, FL	3.0	2.0	1869	$2,951	$1.58	19d	1	0.97mi
2386 Sumatran Way #14 Clearwater, FL	2.0	2.0	1100	$1,600	$1.45	19d	1	1.02mi
2384 Tahitian Ln #28 Clearwater, FL	2.0	2.0	1400	$1,700	$1.21	25d	1	1.05mi
2471 Sumatran Way Clearwater, FL	2.0	2.0	1400	$1,500	$1.07	19d	2	1.09mi
1112 Glenwood Dr Dunedin, FL	3.0	3.0	1670	$2,700	$1.62	5d	1	1.13mi
2460 Persian Dr #44 Clearwater, FL	2.0	2.0	1100	$1,800	$1.64	6d	1	1.17mi
2257 Palmwood Dr Dunedin, FL	3.0	2.0	1150	$2,475	$2.15	6d	1	1.18mi
3235 Buckhorn Dr Clearwater, FL	3.0	2.0	1548	$3,500	$2.26	5d	1	1.19mi
302 Archimedes St Dunedin, FL	3.0	2.0	1635	$3,499	$2.14	5d	1	1.25mi
2652 N McMullen Booth Rd Clearwater, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1037	$1,698	$1.64	3d	15	1.26mi
1281 Stony Brook Ln Dunedin, FL	3.0	2.0	2040	$2,600	$1.27	23d	1	1.30mi
25350 US Highway 19 N Clearwater, FL	3.0	1.0–2.0	875	$1,732	$1.98	3d	28	1.31mi
2228 Richter St Unit A Dunedin, FL	2.0	2.0	1225	$1,900	$1.55	25d	1	1.35mi
3062 Eastland Blvd #202 Clearwater, FL	2.0	2.0	1250	$2,300	$1.84	25d	1	1.35mi
2363 Israeli Dr #67 Clearwater, FL	2.0	2.0	1100	$1,600	$1.45	25d	1	1.37mi
1404 Sandalwood Dr Dunedin, FL	3.0	2.0	1553	$2,900	$1.87	5d	1	1.38mi
2405 Franciscan Dr #23 Clearwater, FL	2.0	2.0	1400	$1,875	$1.34	22d	1	1.45mi
2138 Timber Ln Clearwater, FL	2.0	2.0	1348	$2,800	$2.08	25d	1	1.46mi
2323 Surrey Ln Clearwater, FL	2.0	2.0	1280	$2,250	$1.76	23d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-22
   days on market $179,995 Active 88 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $179,995 Active 85 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $179,995 Active 84 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $179,995 Active 83 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $179,995 Active 82 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $179,995 Active 80 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $179,995 Active 76 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $179,995 Active 75 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $179,995 Active 74 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,995 Active 71 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,995 Active 70 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,995 Active 68 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,995 Active 67 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,802
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,083
• − Property taxes: −$2,700
• − Insurance: −$900
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,144
• − Management: −$2,144
• − Depreciation: −$5,236
• Taxable income: $3,595
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$863
• After-tax cash flow: $5,384/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This brand-new 2026 Jacobsen home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern kitchen, clean bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. The property is move-in ready and can be enhanced with minor exterior painting and landscaping to further increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
• Rental HVAC maintenance — Ensures the HVAC system is functioning properly and can attract tenants.
• Resale Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor touch-ups can make the interior look more appealing to potential buyers.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
• Rental HVAC maintenance — Ensures the HVAC system is functioning properly and can attract tenants. ↑
• Resale Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor touch-ups can make the interior look more appealing to potential buyers. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pinellas
• NCES district ID: 1201560
• Math proficiency: 51% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $46,270
• Composite: 43.27/100
• National rank: #3046
• State rank: #31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Clearwater

• Score: 82/100
• State rank: #60
• US rank: #988

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Pinellas County · 939,478 people
• City population: 170,933
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 18,290
• Household income: $74,728
• Rent vs Own: 20.2% rent · 79.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 336.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,027,532 people
• By 2030: 1,063,586 · +3.5%
• By 2040: 1,125,020 · +9.5%
• By 2050: 1,168,637 · +13.7%
• By 2075: 1,265,188 · +23.1%
• By 2100: 1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 83% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -316.31%
• Current HPI: 281.6948
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.11%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B