1338 Columbine St · Amarillo, TX 79107

$80,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 916 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market

Built 1954

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property that is priced right! Needs work. Corner lot with off street parking and some hard wood flooring.

Key facts

• Built 1954
• Listed 17 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; One story
• Construction: Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as residential single-family
• Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Corner lot location

Interior

• Kitchen: Range
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Interior features: Range; No fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
• Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Eastridge El (math 29% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,464 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 596 students, 94% FRL); Travis Middle (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 629 students, 92% FRL); Amtech Career Academy (3 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $78,800 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.40% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.27%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.78%
• DSCR: 1.79
• GRM: 5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 9.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.37×
• Total profit: $8,195
• Equity at exit: $11,928

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.54×
• Total profit: $34,430
• Equity at exit: $6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79107

• Home prices YoY: -20.9%
• Active inventory: 120
• Price-to-rent: 5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,121 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax from tax record: −$101 /mo · $1,210/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$235
• Net cashflow: $332

Break-even live

Break-even rent $701

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $377	-5% $355	+0% $332	+5% $309	+10% $287
Rent	-10% $243	-5% $288	+0% $332	+5% $376	+10% $421
Rate	-1.0pp $372	-0.5pp $352	base $332	+0.5pp $311	+1.0pp $290

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 6 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
920 Gardenia St Amarillo, TX	3.0	1.0	1026	$950	$0.93	14d	1	0.41mi
2301 Seth Ln Amarillo, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	869	$1,004	$1.15	0d	7	0.49mi
3811 NE 17th Ave Amarillo, TX	2.0	1.0	786	$895	$1.14	45d	1	1.20mi
2411 N Vernon St Amarillo, TX	3.0	1.0	926	$1,250	$1.35	45d	1	1.20mi
3606 NE 14th Ave Amarillo, TX	3.0	1.0	1088	$1,300	$1.19	15d	1	1.35mi
3810 Mesa Verde Dr Amarillo, TX	3.0	1.0	901	$1,200	$1.33	45d	1	1.48mi

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $80,000 Active 17 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   price $80,000 Active 14 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $85,000 Active 9 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
12. 2026-06-07
    listed $85,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,210 · $101/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,464 · $122/mo
• Expected delta: +$254/yr (+$21/mo · 21.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,453
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$1,210
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,076
• − Management: −$1,076
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $2,882
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$692
• After-tax cash flow: $3,292/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Amarillo ISD
• NCES district ID: 4808130
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $43,478
• Composite: 35.96/100
• National rank: #4798
• State rank: #336 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #624
• US rank: #11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Amarillo, TX
• County: Potter County · 72,216 people
• City population: 185,802
• Metro: Amarillo, TX
• Population (ZIP): 36,662
• Household income: $40,671
• Rent vs Own: 44.0% rent · 56.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1019.0

Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 121,296 people
• By 2030: 120,883 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 119,668 · -1.3%
• By 2050: 117,788 · -2.9%
• By 2075: 110,250 · -9.1%
• By 2100: 92,923 · -23.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 45% Black 25% Two or more races 17% White 16% Asian 10%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 41%
• Common ancestry: Ukrainian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 27% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 50% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Potter

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -57.01%
• Current HPI: 215.7976
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Amarillo, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+448.4% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-04 Listed $85,000 AARMLS
• 2015-10-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2015-01-05 Sold (MLS) — AARMLS
• 2014-12-05 Listed $15,500 AARMLS
• 2004-11-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2004-11-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,210 · +12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.