181 Eliza Ln · Hazel Green, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$156,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
realtor owned cozy home on 1 acre. you might consider splitting the lot into 2 half acres and building another home on the other half acre. Willing to accept Bitcoins for trade. New roof in 2024
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Listed 4087 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Metes And Bounds
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Electric heating and power; Public water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: 1 acre lot; Public water; Septic tank
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; 4 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $156k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (8.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $137k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.9% in Hazel Green — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#54 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Walnut Grove School (math 22% / reading 62%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 282 students, 57% FRL); Meridianville Middle School (math 19% / reading 62%, grade F, #56 of 257 statewide, top 22%, 724 students, 45% FRL); Hazel Green High School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 1,348 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 29% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 391 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 4087 days — a 12% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 4087 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.18%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,986
- List price
- $156,000
- Delta
- -16.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 720 Greenville Pike | 0.31mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 891 (-2%) | 23mo | $35,000 | $39 | 58 |
| 324 Earnhardt Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,031 (+13%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $189 | 49 |
| 332 Earnhardt Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,045 (+15%) | 22mo | $218,000 | $209 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-13,337
- Equity at exit
- $23,260
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $3,585
- Equity at exit
- $13,488
Cash invested: $43,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35761
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Active inventory
- 391
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,426 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$818
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $661/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $189
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,000
- Closing costs
- $4,680
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $156,000 Active 4087 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $156,000 Active 4086 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $156,000 Active 4085 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $156,000 Active 4084 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $156,000 Active 4082 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $156,000 Active 4079 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $156,000 Active 4078 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $156,000 Active 4077 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $156,000 Active 4076 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $157,000 Active 4071 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $157,000 Active 4070 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $157,000 Active 4069 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $152,000 Active 4068 DOM
-
2026-03-09price $152,000
-
2025-12-30price $153,000
-
2025-11-24price $154,000
-
2025-10-25price $155,000
-
2025-10-07price $156,000
-
2025-08-23price $153,000
-
2025-08-15price $154,000
-
2025-07-09price $155,000
-
2025-05-31price $151,000
-
2025-03-23price $152,000
-
2025-03-17price $153,000
-
2025-02-25price $154,000
-
2025-02-23price $155,000
-
2025-02-04price $156,000
-
2025-01-14price $157,000
-
2024-12-14price $158,000
-
2024-12-13price $159,000
-
2024-12-04price $160,000
-
2024-11-15price $165,000
-
2024-11-15price $160,000
-
2024-10-24price $157,000
-
2024-10-02price $158,000
-
2024-07-29price $159,000
-
2024-07-21price $160,000
-
2024-07-12price $159,000
-
2024-06-28price $160,000
-
2024-06-16price $161,000
-
2024-05-27price $162,000
-
2024-05-24price $163,000
-
2024-04-01price $164,000
-
2024-03-24price $165,000
-
2024-03-18price $166,000
-
2024-03-15price $167,000
-
2024-02-29price $168,000
-
2024-02-20price $169,000
-
2023-11-09price $170,000
-
2023-10-16price $171,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $661 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $661 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,114
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,738
- − Property taxes
- −$661
- − Insurance
- −$780
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,369
- − Management
- −$1,369
- − Depreciation
- −$4,538
- Taxable loss
- −$342
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$82
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,344/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Hazel Green
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #54
- US rank
- #8575
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 13,413
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,557
- Household income
- $79,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 220.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.88%
- Current HPI
- 261.8281
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+144.1% since first listed97 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $156,000 VMLS
- 2026-05-31 Price Changed $157,000 VMLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $152,000 VMLS
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $153,000 VMLS
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $154,000 VMLS
- 2025-10-25 Price Changed $155,000 VMLS
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $156,000 VMLS
- 2025-08-23 Price Changed $153,000 VMLS
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed $154,000 VMLS
- 2025-07-09 Price Changed $155,000 VMLS
- 2025-05-31 Price Changed $151,000 VMLS
- 2025-03-23 Price Changed $152,000 VMLS
- 2025-03-17 Price Changed $153,000 VMLS
- 2025-02-25 Price Changed $154,000 VMLS
- 2025-02-23 Price Changed $155,000 VMLS
- 2025-02-04 Price Changed $156,000 VMLS
- 2025-01-14 Price Changed $157,000 VMLS
- 2024-12-14 Price Changed $158,000 VMLS
- 2024-12-13 Price Changed $159,000 VMLS
- 2024-12-04 Price Changed $160,000 VMLS
- 2024-11-15 Price Changed $165,000 VMLS
- 2024-11-15 Price Changed $160,000 VMLS
- 2024-10-24 Price Changed $157,000 VMLS
- 2024-10-02 Price Changed $158,000 VMLS
- 2024-07-29 Price Changed $159,000 VMLS
- 2024-07-21 Price Changed $160,000 VMLS
- 2024-07-12 Price Changed $159,000 VMLS
- 2024-06-28 Price Changed $160,000 VMLS
- 2024-06-16 Price Changed $161,000 VMLS
- 2024-05-27 Price Changed $162,000 VMLS
- 2024-05-24 Price Changed $163,000 VMLS
- 2024-04-01 Price Changed $164,000 VMLS
- 2024-03-24 Price Changed $165,000 VMLS
- 2024-03-18 Price Changed $166,000 VMLS
- 2024-03-15 Price Changed $167,000 VMLS
- 2024-02-29 Price Changed $168,000 VMLS
- 2024-02-20 Price Changed $169,000 VMLS
- 2023-11-09 Price Changed $170,000 VMLS
- 2023-10-16 Price Changed $171,000 VMLS
- 2023-10-11 Price Changed $172,000 VMLS
- 2023-10-03 Price Changed $173,000 VMLS
- 2023-09-20 Price Changed $174,000 VMLS
- 2023-09-12 Price Changed $175,000 VMLS
- 2023-09-08 Price Changed $177,000 VMLS
- 2023-08-21 Price Changed $178,000 VMLS
- 2023-08-15 Price Changed $179,000 VMLS
- 2023-07-21 Price Changed $180,000 VMLS
- 2023-06-02 Price Changed $185,000 VMLS
- 2023-04-27 Price Changed $180,000 VMLS
- 2023-02-28 Price Changed $185,000 VMLS
- 2023-01-16 Price Changed $190,000 VMLS
- 2023-01-02 Price Changed $195,000 VMLS
- 2022-12-24 Price Changed $200,000 VMLS
- 2022-09-22 Price Changed $150,000 VMLS
- 2022-08-11 Price Changed $155,000 VMLS
- 2022-07-21 Price Changed $150,000 VMLS
- 2022-07-14 Price Changed $136,000 VMLS
- 2022-07-12 Price Changed $137,000 VMLS
- 2022-06-16 Price Changed $138,000 VMLS
- 2022-05-10 Price Changed $140,000 VMLS
- 2022-05-10 Price Changed $135,000 VMLS
- 2022-04-16 Price Changed $140,000 VMLS
- 2022-04-02 Price Changed $135,000 VMLS
- 2022-01-19 Price Changed $130,000 VMLS
- 2021-08-21 Price Changed $125,000 VMLS
- 2021-07-17 Price Changed $120,000 VMLS
- 2021-06-29 Price Changed $110,000 VMLS
- 2021-06-04 Price Changed $107,000 VMLS
- 2021-05-17 Price Changed $108,000 VMLS
- 2021-03-20 Price Changed $105,000 VMLS
- 2021-02-11 Price Changed $100,000 VMLS
- 2020-12-07 Price Changed $97,000 VMLS
- 2020-11-14 Price Changed $91,000 VMLS
- 2020-10-25 Price Changed $91,500 VMLS
- 2020-09-04 Price Changed $92,000 VMLS
- 2020-09-03 Price Changed $92,400 VMLS
- 2020-08-16 Price Changed $92,500 VMLS
- 2020-07-25 Price Changed $87,500 VMLS
- 2020-06-19 Price Changed $85,000 VMLS
- 2020-05-27 Price Changed $85,500 VMLS
- 2020-05-19 Price Changed $86,000 VMLS
- 2020-03-15 Price Changed $87,000 VMLS
- 2020-03-08 Price Changed $85,000 VMLS
- 2020-02-17 Price Changed $80,000 VMLS
- 2020-02-17 Price Changed $77,000 VMLS
- 2020-02-13 Price Changed $75,000 VMLS
- 2019-06-01 Price Changed $72,500 VMLS
- 2019-05-06 Price Changed $69,500 VMLS
- 2019-04-11 Price Changed $66,400 VMLS
- 2019-04-08 Price Changed $66,500 VMLS
- 2019-03-23 Price Changed $63,300 VMLS
- 2019-03-22 Price Changed $63,400 VMLS
- 2019-03-19 Price Changed $63,500 VMLS
- 2019-03-16 Price Changed $63,600 VMLS
- 2019-03-14 Price Changed $63,700 VMLS
- 2019-03-11 Price Changed $63,800 VMLS
- 2015-04-10 Listed $63,900 VMLS
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2024): $661 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…