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39163 Warm Springs Dr
D Composite 42.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$389,000

39163 Warm Springs Dr · Palm Desert, CA 92260
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,334 sqft · Manufactured public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1972 4,356 sqft lot $292/sqft · 16% above area Est $336k · 16% over $400/mo HOA · 10% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step back in time to this original manufactured home in the coveted Palm Desert Greens Senior community. This home still has that groovy vibe from another time. The home features a large great room , a separate den or additional living space, a breakfast bar, kitchen with some Harvest gold appliances. There is a large primary bedroom with en-suite bath and walk in closet. A hall bath can be used by guests and the second bedroom. Laundry area is adjacent to the kitchen. The large side patio is easily accessible from the Den and is fully covered. The tandem parking is on the opposite side of the home. Come and check out all this active community has to offer- golf, tennis, pickleball, fitness room, clubhouse, restaurant, shuffleboard, bocce, and a library! This home is waiting for someone to make it their own and discover a few vintage treasures inside.

Key facts

  • Thoughtful upgrades
  • Privacy fencing
  • New milgard windows

Tags

PRIVACY FENCINGOUTDOOR LIVING SPACEQUALITY FINISHESTHOUGHTFUL UPGRADESSMOOTH DRYWALL FINISHESNEW MILGARD WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: CC&R and homeowner association disclosures; No short-term rentals allowed; Possession at close of escrow
  • Financial info: Listing terms: cash or cash to new loan
  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee ($400); Association includes cable TV; Community amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, tennis courts, banquet facilities, golf course; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 2 covered spaces (carport); 2 additional uncovered parking spaces; Total of 4 parking spaces
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: Sewer: in, connected and paid; PUD: yes
  • Home design: Detached property; Double-wide mobile home; One story; Front door faces east; Updated/remodeled
  • Construction: Year built (assessor source)
  • Exterior features: Covered concrete patio; Vinyl fencing; Peek-a-boo view; Street lighting; Gated community; Community in-ground pool and spa; Golf course within development; Drip irrigation system

Interior

  • Kitchen: Quartz counters; Gas range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Breakfast counter/bar; Dining area / living-dining combo
  • Bedrooms: Walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Double vanities; Shower stall; Shower over tub; Remodeled bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Recessed lighting; Blinds and screens; Double pane windows; Ground-level entry with steps; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Stackable washer/dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $389k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $389k).
  • Recommended offer: $383k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.4% in Palm Desert — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,050 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment B+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: James Earl Carter Elementary (516 students, 53% FRL); Colonel Mitchell Paige Middle (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #474 of 498 statewide, top 99%, 436 students, 74% FRL); Palm Desert High (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #256 of 1,170 statewide, top 24%, 2,050 students, 57% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 551 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,906/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($383k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $190k; list at $389k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $383,165 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.56%
Cash-on-cash
4.52%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$336,180
List price
$389,000
Delta
17.50%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
39183 Warm Springs Dr 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+8%) 0mo $200,000 $139 86
73450 Country Club Dr #309 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+1%) 2mo $165,000 $123 77
38703 Desert Greens Dr E 0.27mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-6%) 0mo $322,000 $258 77
39832 Black Mesa Ln 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+8%) 1mo $260,000 $181 69
73450 Country Club Dr #75 0.36mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+8%) 3mo $190,000 $132 68
73651 Adobe Dr 0.27mi 2/2.0 1,488 (+12%) 1mo $199,000 $134 68
73204 Cold Springs Way 0.44mi 2/2.0 1,414 (+6%) 3mo $375,000 $265 67
38401 Desert Greens Dr W 0.68mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+1%) 1mo $250,000 $186 66
38430 Desert Greens Dr E 0.40mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+8%) 3mo $325,000 $226 66
73165 Desert Greens Dr N 0.68mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+1%) 3mo $286,000 $213 64
73171 Cabazon Peak Dr 0.47mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+8%) 1mo $230,000 $160 64
38231 Pigeon Springs Dr 0.57mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+8%) 3mo $380,000 $264 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-42,297
Equity at exit
$58,001
10-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-24,647
Equity at exit
$33,634

Cash invested: $108,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92260

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
551
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,906 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,040
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $881/yr
Insurance
$162
HOA
$400
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$820
Net cashflow
$410

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,387
Max offer price $389,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $630 -5% $520 +0% $410 +5% $300 +10% $190
Rent -10% $101 -5% $256 +0% $410 +5% $564 +10% $719
Rate -1.0pp $606 -0.5pp $509 base $410 +0.5pp $309 +1.0pp $207

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,250
Closing costs
$11,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
73843 Line Canyon Ln Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1570 $2,100 $1.34 13d 1 0.28mi
73639 Cabazon Peak Dr Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1717 $2,400 $1.40 45d 1 0.30mi
73450 Country Club Dr #120 Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1856 $2,995 $1.61 13d 1 0.30mi
38520 Poppet Canyon Dr Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1392 $3,700 $2.66 45d 1 0.36mi
4162 Via Mattina Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1867 $2,950 $1.58 14d 1 0.40mi
38250 Azalea Dr Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1806 $5,500 $3.05 45d 1 0.48mi
2701 Via Calderia Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1559 $2,850 $1.83 26d 1 0.49mi
248 Strada Fortuna Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1400 $2,500 $1.79 45d 1 0.53mi
73075 Buck Springs Dr Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,950 $1.35 45d 1 0.54mi
1803 Via San Martino Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1559 $3,900 $2.50 45d 1 0.56mi
73373 Country Club Dr Palm Desert, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 852 $2,165 $2.54 45d 1 0.58mi
40064 Silktree Ct Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1712 $3,200 $1.87 26d 1 0.62mi
41517 Armanac Ct Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1537 $3,400 $2.21 5d 1 0.68mi
40445 Portola Ave Palm Desert, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 975 $3,215 $3.30 1d 16 0.71mi
73750 Calle Bisque Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1537 $6,500 $4.23 45d 1 0.71mi
8 Las Cruces Ln Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1705 $5,000 $2.93 45d 1 0.73mi
40255 Sagewood Dr Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1712 $3,300 $1.93 20d 1 0.75mi
74300 Country Club Dr Apt 5001 Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1099 $7,120 $6.48 45d 1 0.78mi
74300 Country Club Dr Unit 366 Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1140 $7,170 $6.29 45d 1 0.78mi
37772 Hollister Dr Palm Desert, CA 3.0 2.0 1271 $3,200 $2.52 45d 1 0.79mi
4 Hermosillo Ln Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1572 $2,900 $1.84 20d 1 0.79mi
1 Marbella Ln Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1080 $4,500 $4.17 45d 1 0.87mi
191 Winterhaven Cir Palm Desert, CA 2.0 1.5 1250 $2,800 $2.24 45d 1 0.89mi
166 Wimbledon Ct Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1250 $3,200 $2.56 45d 1 0.91mi
323 San Remo St Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1556 $8,500 $5.46 45d 1 0.95mi
255 San Remo St Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1656 $6,600 $3.99 45d 1 0.96mi
150 Willow Lake Dr Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1138 $2,500 $2.20 45d 1 0.96mi
336 Villena Way Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,500 $4.22 45d 1 0.99mi
217 Las Lomas Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1656 $6,300 $3.80 45d 1 1.00mi
205 Las Lomas Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1457 $6,000 $4.12 45d 1 1.01mi
363 San Remo St Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1656 $7,500 $4.53 45d 1 1.02mi
365 San Remo St Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,500 $4.22 45d 1 1.03mi
337 Villena Way Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1303 $5,000 $3.84 45d 1 1.03mi
206 Lakecrest Ln Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1138 $2,300 $2.02 13d 1 1.04mi
311 Villena Way Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1653 $7,000 $4.23 26d 1 1.04mi
177 Las Lomas Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1800 $7,500 $4.17 45d 1 1.05mi
264 Avenida del Sol Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1800 $6,000 $3.33 45d 1 1.06mi
305 Durango Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1670 $6,300 $3.77 45d 1 1.09mi
295 Cordoba Way Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1800 $6,000 $3.33 45d 1 1.12mi
316 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA 2.0 2.0 1656 $5,700 $3.44 45d 1 1.12mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$400 · $4,800/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $389,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $389,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $389,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $389,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $389,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $389,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $389,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $389,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $389,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $389,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $389,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $389,000 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $389,000 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $389,000 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-04-08
    price $395,000 1901-char remark
  16. 2026-03-11
    listed $419,000 Active 1901-char remark
  17. 2025-09-26
    soldstatus $190,000 Sold 864-char remark
    Show marketing remark (864 chars)

    Step back in time to this original manufactured home in the coveted Palm Desert Greens Senior community. This home still has that groovy vibe from another time. The home features a large great room , a separate den or additional living space, a breakfast bar, kitchen with some Harvest gold appliances. There is a large primary bedroom with en-suite bath and walk in closet. A hall bath can be used by guests and the second bedroom. Laundry area is adjacent to the kitchen. The large side patio is easily accessible from the Den and is fully covered. The tandem parking is on the opposite side of the home. Come and check out all this active community has to offer- golf, tennis, pickleball, fitness room, clubhouse, restaurant, shuffleboard, bocce, and a library! This home is waiting for someone to make it their own and discover a few vintage treasures inside.

  18. 2025-09-26
    soldstatus $123,500
    Show marketing remark (864 chars)

    Step back in time to this original manufactured home in the coveted Palm Desert Greens Senior community. This home still has that groovy vibe from another time. The home features a large great room , a separate den or additional living space, a breakfast bar, kitchen with some Harvest gold appliances. There is a large primary bedroom with en-suite bath and walk in closet. A hall bath can be used by guests and the second bedroom. Laundry area is adjacent to the kitchen. The large side patio is easily accessible from the Den and is fully covered. The tandem parking is on the opposite side of the home. Come and check out all this active community has to offer- golf, tennis, pickleball, fitness room, clubhouse, restaurant, shuffleboard, bocce, and a library! This home is waiting for someone to make it their own and discover a few vintage treasures inside.

  19. 2025-09-19
    status Pending 864-char remark
    Show marketing remark (864 chars)

    Step back in time to this original manufactured home in the coveted Palm Desert Greens Senior community. This home still has that groovy vibe from another time. The home features a large great room , a separate den or additional living space, a breakfast bar, kitchen with some Harvest gold appliances. There is a large primary bedroom with en-suite bath and walk in closet. A hall bath can be used by guests and the second bedroom. Laundry area is adjacent to the kitchen. The large side patio is easily accessible from the Den and is fully covered. The tandem parking is on the opposite side of the home. Come and check out all this active community has to offer- golf, tennis, pickleball, fitness room, clubhouse, restaurant, shuffleboard, bocce, and a library! This home is waiting for someone to make it their own and discover a few vintage treasures inside.

  20. 2025-08-11
    historical Backup Offers Accepted 864-char remark
    Show marketing remark (864 chars)

    Step back in time to this original manufactured home in the coveted Palm Desert Greens Senior community. This home still has that groovy vibe from another time. The home features a large great room , a separate den or additional living space, a breakfast bar, kitchen with some Harvest gold appliances. There is a large primary bedroom with en-suite bath and walk in closet. A hall bath can be used by guests and the second bedroom. Laundry area is adjacent to the kitchen. The large side patio is easily accessible from the Den and is fully covered. The tandem parking is on the opposite side of the home. Come and check out all this active community has to offer- golf, tennis, pickleball, fitness room, clubhouse, restaurant, shuffleboard, bocce, and a library! This home is waiting for someone to make it their own and discover a few vintage treasures inside.

  21. 2025-08-02
    listed $199,000 Active 864-char remark
    Show marketing remark (864 chars)

    Step back in time to this original manufactured home in the coveted Palm Desert Greens Senior community. This home still has that groovy vibe from another time. The home features a large great room , a separate den or additional living space, a breakfast bar, kitchen with some Harvest gold appliances. There is a large primary bedroom with en-suite bath and walk in closet. A hall bath can be used by guests and the second bedroom. Laundry area is adjacent to the kitchen. The large side patio is easily accessible from the Den and is fully covered. The tandem parking is on the opposite side of the home. Come and check out all this active community has to offer- golf, tennis, pickleball, fitness room, clubhouse, restaurant, shuffleboard, bocce, and a library! This home is waiting for someone to make it their own and discover a few vintage treasures inside.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$881 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,956 · $246/mo
Expected delta
+$2,076/yr (+$173/mo · 235.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,867
− Mortgage interest
−$21,790
− Property taxes
−$881
− Insurance
−$1,945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,749
− Management
−$3,749
− HOA
−$4,800
− Depreciation
−$11,316
Taxable loss
−$1,364
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$327
After-tax cash flow
$5,247/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desert Sands Unified
NCES district ID
0611110
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$54,957
Composite
37.77/100
National rank
#4346
State rank
#199 of 517 in CA

Livability — Palm Desert

Score
51/100
State rank
#1050
US rank
#25164

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D Employment B+ Housing B Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palm Desert, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
58,615
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
30,523
Household income
$70,091
Rent vs Own
36.2% rent · 63.8% own
Severe rent burden
1734.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 20% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -364.94%
Current HPI
294.9425
Rent YoY
▲ 1.60%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+98.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $395,000 GPSMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $389,000 GPSMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $419,000 GPSMLS
  • 2025-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $123,500 Public Records
  • 2025-09-26 Sold (MLS) $190,000 TheMLS
  • 2025-09-19 Pending TheMLS
  • 2025-08-11 Contingent TheMLS
  • 2025-08-02 Listed $199,000 TheMLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $881 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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