350 Saddle Creek Loop · Dothan, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
With a brand-new home at Saddle Creek, you will be sure to feel right at home. Newly acquired in 2022, this quiet manufactured home community in Dothan, AL, is conveniently located near your hometown essentials. These high-quality, turnkey-ready homes by UMH Properties, Inc. provide the perfect blend of affordability and sought-after features, including open-concept floor plans, custom touches, full appliance packages, washer/dryer hookups, personal storage sheds, three-car parking, and front and back covered decks. Plus, we're just 1.5 hours from the beautiful Florida beaches! When you buy or rent a manufactured home with UMH Properties, Inc. , we work with you every step of the way. From leasing and financing to move-in day, we guarantee a hassle-free sales experience. Our community also offers a variety of amenities to make life easy and stress-free, including 24-hour maintenance and on-site management. Saddle Creek s in Dothan, AL, is located in the Dothan City School District.
Key facts
- 24 hour maintenance
- Washer dryer hookups
- Built 2026
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $162k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-28/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (0.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (12.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
- Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 233 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.06%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-26,379
- Equity at exit
- $24,155
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-23,076
- Equity at exit
- $14,007
Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36303
- Active inventory
- 233
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,414 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$850
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$202 /mo · $2,430/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $-2
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,500
- Closing costs
- $4,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Harness Cv Dothan, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1387 | $1,399 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 153 Heyward Dr Dothan, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $3,800 | $2.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2151 Westgate Pkwy Dothan, AL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1246 | $1,084 | $0.87 | 44d | 4 | 0.88mi |
| 1304 Cornell Ave Dothan, AL | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1028 | $975 | $0.95 | 44d | 7 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $162,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $162,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $162,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $162,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $162,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $162,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $162,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $162,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $162,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $162,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $162,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $162,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $162,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $162,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $162,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $162,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-16$162,000 Active 997-char remark
Show marketing remark (997 chars)
With a brand-new home at Saddle Creek, you will be sure to feel right at home. Newly acquired in 2022, this quiet manufactured home community in Dothan, AL, is conveniently located near your hometown essentials. These high-quality, turnkey-ready homes by UMH Properties, Inc. provide the perfect blend of affordability and sought-after features, including open-concept floor plans, custom touches, full appliance packages, washer/dryer hookups, personal storage sheds, three-car parking, and front and back covered decks. Plus, we're just 1.5 hours from the beautiful Florida beaches! When you buy or rent a manufactured home with UMH Properties, Inc. , we work with you every step of the way. From leasing and financing to move-in day, we guarantee a hassle-free sales experience. Our community also offers a variety of amenities to make life easy and stress-free, including 24-hour maintenance and on-site management. Saddle Creek s in Dothan, AL, is located in the Dothan City School District.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,970
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,075
- − Property taxes
- −$2,430
- − Insurance
- −$810
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,358
- − Management
- −$1,358
- − Depreciation
- −$4,713
- Taxable loss
- −$2,772
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$665
- After-tax cash flow
- $637/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This turnkey-ready manufactured home is in excellent condition with a modern kitchen and hardwood flooring. It offers a good return on investment with minimal updates needed to maximize its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and can increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dothan City
- NCES district ID
- 0101230
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,279
- Composite
- 24.56/100
- National rank
- #7640
- State rank
- #73 of 129 in AL
Livability — Dothan
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #146
- US rank
- #13662
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dothan, AL
- County
- Houston County · 47,783 people
- City population
- 47,783
- Metro
- Dothan, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,173
- Household income
- $54,147
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1156.0
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,280 people
- By 2030
- 112,668 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 116,149 · +5.3%
- By 2050
- 117,805 · +6.8%
- By 2075
- 118,577 · +7.5%
- By 2100
- 110,940 · +0.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 41% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.35%
- Current HPI
- 182.6482
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dothan, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $162,000 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…