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203 Richlands Ave
B- Composite 68.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

203 Richlands Ave · Jacksonville, NC 28540
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1950 8,712 sqft lot Est $160k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home has been recently remodeled with stainless steel appliances. Kitchen cabinets and countertops were replaced, as well as light fixtures, and interior doors, ceiling fans, crown molding, water heater, and laminate flooring. This two bedroom home was built in 1950 and sits on a . 21 acre parcel.

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Close to dining
  • Close to area bases

Tags

CLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO DININGCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO AREA BASES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R; Located in the Overbrook subdivision; Road frontage on city street and state road; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 150 (0.2 acres)
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Unpaved off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry level: 1; Vinyl siding and frame construction
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with vinyl siding and frame
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Back yard fencing; Shed(s); Has a view; No additional exterior features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating (electric); Has cooling (other)
  • Interior features: Main-level primary bedroom; Ceiling fans; Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.4% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#111 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Clyde Erwin Elementary (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #694 of 1,410 statewide, top 53%, 343 students, 67% FRL); Northwoods Park Middle (math 34% / reading 46%, grade F, #222 of 475 statewide, top 49%, 688 students, 52% FRL); Jacksonville High (math 52% / reading 66%, grade C+, #233 of 535 statewide, top 44%, 1,423 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 37% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $115k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,550 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.01%
Cash-on-cash
9.69%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$160,000
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
412 Sherwood Rd 0.28mi 2/1.0 771 (-4%) 14mo $75,000 $97 69
401 New River Dr 0.56mi 2/1.0 800 (0%) 9mo $168,000 $210 66
117 Bryan St 0.61mi 2/1.0 792 (-1%) 6mo $125,000 $158 65
420 New River Dr 0.56mi 2/1.0 800 (0%) 11mo $160,000 $200 65
410 Sherwood Rd 0.27mi 2/1.0 899 (+12%) 5mo $180,000 $200 62
515 Sherwood Rd 0.37mi 2/1.0 819 (+2%) 20mo $179,000 $219 62
206 Sherwood Rd 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 910 (+14%) 11mo $176,000 $193 58
127 Moosehart Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 846 (+6%) 1mo $185,000 $219 56
101 Robin Rd 0.74mi 2/1.0 755 (-6%) 2mo $129,900 $172 55
23 Sophia Dr 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 892 (+12%) 10mo $80,000 $90 48
130 Cox Ave 0.56mi 2/2.0 680 (-15%) 22mo $168,900 $248 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-201
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$29,051
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28540

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
386
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,256 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $974/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$260

Break-even live

Break-even rent $927
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $325 -5% $293 +0% $260 +5% $228 +10% $195
Rent -10% $161 -5% $211 +0% $260 +5% $310 +10% $359
Rate -1.0pp $318 -0.5pp $289 base $260 +0.5pp $230 +1.0pp $200

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
508 Henderson Dr Jacksonville, NC 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 22d 1 0.50mi
2292 Onslow Dr Unit 2300 Jacksonville, NC 2.0 1.0 649 $1,199 $1.85 22d 1 0.51mi
2292 Onslow Dr Unit 1814 Jacksonville, NC 2.0 1.0 649 $1,299 $2.00 22d 1 0.51mi
337 Starling St Jacksonville, NC 2.0 1.0 820 $1,100 $1.34 22d 1 0.51mi
2292 Onslow Dr Unit O23002 Jacksonville, NC 2.0 1.0 649 $1,199 $1.85 14d 1 0.54mi
319 Bracken Pl Jacksonville, NC 2.0 3.0 992 $1,150 $1.16 22d 1 0.97mi
200 Carmen Ave Jacksonville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 871 $1,320 $1.52 14d 6 1.34mi
1 S Onsville Pl Jacksonville, NC 2.0 1.5 992 $1,395 $1.41 22d 1 1.44mi
106 Brenda Dr Jacksonville, NC 2.0 1.0 983 $1,300 $1.32 22d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $115,000 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $115,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
  18. 2026-05-19
    listed $115,000 Active
  19. 2017-10-10
    soldstatus $44,925 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    This home has been recently remodeled with stainless steel appliances. Kitchen cabinets and countertops were replaced, as well as light fixtures, and interior doors, ceiling fans, crown molding, water heater, and laminate flooring. This two bedroom home was built in 1950 and sits on a . 21 acre parcel.

  20. 2017-06-21
    listed $45,500 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    This home has been recently remodeled with stainless steel appliances. Kitchen cabinets and countertops were replaced, as well as light fixtures, and interior doors, ceiling fans, crown molding, water heater, and laminate flooring. This two bedroom home was built in 1950 and sits on a . 21 acre parcel.

  21. 2017-05-15
    historical
  22. 2016-09-28
    listed $79,500
  23. 2014-07-30
    soldstatus $91,000
  24. 2014-07-29
    soldstatus $91,000
  25. 2014-05-22
    listed $93,000
  26. 2014-04-14
    soldstatus $38,000
  27. 2014-03-12
    listed $20,000
  28. 2010-08-10
    soldstatus $98,000
  29. 2010-08-06
    soldstatus $98,000
  30. 2010-05-17
    listed $104,900
  31. 2008-07-28
    soldstatus $85,500
  32. 2006-09-22
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$974 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$974 · $81/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,073
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$974
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,206
− Management
−$1,206
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$1,325
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$318
After-tax cash flow
$2,804/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Onslow County Schools
NCES district ID
3703450
Math proficiency
42% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$46,076
Composite
38.66/100
National rank
#4148
State rank
#84 of 178 in NC

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
71/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#6991

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, NC
County
Onslow County · 164,453 people
City population
96,397
Metro
Jacksonville, NC
Population (ZIP)
49,141
Household income
$65,625
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
1304.0

Population outlook (Onslow County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,789 people
By 2030
194,463 · +2.5%
By 2040
193,629 · +2.0%
By 2050
193,248 · +1.8%
By 2075
196,995 · +3.8%
By 2100
201,513 · +6.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onslow

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.5% · R 67.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+34.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+21.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.11%
Current HPI
219.5571
Rent YoY
▲ 4.47%
Metro
Jacksonville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+187.5% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $115,000 Hive MLS
  • 2017-10-10 Sold (MLS) $44,925 Hive MLS
  • 2017-06-21 Listed $45,500 Hive MLS
  • 2017-05-15 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2016-09-28 Listed $79,500 Hive MLS
  • 2014-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
  • 2014-07-29 Sold (MLS) $91,000 Hive MLS
  • 2014-05-22 Listed $93,000 Hive MLS
  • 2014-04-14 Sold (MLS) $38,000 Hive MLS
  • 2014-03-12 Listed $20,000 Hive MLS
  • 2010-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
  • 2010-08-06 Sold (MLS) $98,000 Hive MLS
  • 2010-05-17 Listed $104,900 Hive MLS
  • 2008-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $85,500 Public Records
  • 2006-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $974 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…