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245 E Pleasant Ave
F Composite 33.46
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.7/30.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$201,000

245 E Pleasant Ave · Warren, MN 56762
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1977 0.30 ac lot $215/sqft · 76% above area Est $234k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful one owner split level home sitting on an adorable lot in Warren. This home is ready to move right in. Homeowners have taken great care in this home and it is waiting for it's new owners. Vinyl planking in kitchen and dining along with newer carpet in the family room. Call today for your private showing.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1977

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car) — approximately 24 x 18
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Electric and natural gas service
  • Home design: Residential split-entry (bi-level) home; Public maintained paved city street access; Lot approximately 0.298 acres (100 x 130)
  • Construction: Foundation: other (foundation area ~936; foundation dimensions 26 x 36)
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Asphalt roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (combination of upper and lower levels)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor; One three-quarter bathroom in the basement
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ductless mini-split heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Finished full basement with sump pump; Informal dining room; Free-standing gas fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Lower-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $201k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-415 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (36.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (43.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (43.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#129 in MN, #2,905 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Warren-Alvarado-Oslo School District (rural): math 47% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #118 of 301 in MN (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marshall County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $113,549 (43.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.56%
Cap rate
3.82%
Cash-on-cash
-8.84%
DSCR
0.61
GRM
14.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$234,485
List price
$201,000
Delta
-14.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
312 3rd St N 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,047 (+12%) 20mo $149,000 $142 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-32.0%
Equity multiple
-0.05×
Total profit
$-59,018
Equity at exit
$29,970
10-year hold
IRR
-36.9%
Equity multiple
-0.52×
Total profit
$-85,532
Equity at exit
$17,379

Cash invested: $56,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56762

Home prices YoY
-14.8%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
14.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,135 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,054
Tax from tax record
$174 /mo · $2,088/yr
Insurance
$84
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$-415

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,661
Max offer price $127,728
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,250
Closing costs
$6,030
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $201,000 Pending 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $201,000 Contingent - Inspection 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $201,000 Contingent - Inspection 38 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $201,000 Contingent - Inspection 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $201,000 Contingent - Inspection 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $201,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $201,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $201,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $201,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $201,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $201,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-05-02
    listed $201,000 Active 317-char remark
  13. 2022-08-18
    historical
  14. 2022-07-05
    listed $201,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,088 · $174/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,170 · $181/mo
Expected delta
+$82/yr (+$7/mo · 3.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 6% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,626
− Mortgage interest
−$11,259
− Property taxes
−$2,088
− Insurance
−$1,005
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,090
− Management
−$1,090
− Depreciation
−$5,847
Taxable loss
−$8,754
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,101
After-tax cash flow
$-2,876/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Warren-Alvarado-Oslo School District
NCES district ID
2700024
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,189
Composite
43.17/100
National rank
#3069
State rank
#118 of 301 in MN

Livability — Warren

Score
77/100
State rank
#129
US rank
#2905

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Warren, MN
Population (ZIP)
2,337

Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,191 people
By 2030
9,078 · -1.2%
By 2040
8,815 · -4.1%
By 2050
8,464 · -7.9%
By 2075
8,156 · -11.3%
By 2100
7,171 · -22.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 30% Romanian 10% Lithuanian 8%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marshall

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.7) · D 23.4% · R 75.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-52.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.6pp · 2024: -51.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.7 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+12.1 2008: D+0.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.63%
Current HPI
175.639
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-06 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $201,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-18 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-05 Listed $201,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,088 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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