4429 W 87th St · Hometown, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$324,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1952
- Listed 47 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Some photos are virtually staged; Possession at closing
- HOA & community: Master association fees not required; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space; 1 parking space total)
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached single (1/2 duplex), 2-story; Entry level is 1; Fee simple ownership; Commuter bus access
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 105 x 40 x 105
Interior
- Kitchen: Eating area/table space kitchen; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (Master on second level; additional bedrooms on main and second levels)
- Flooring: Wood laminate in family room; Carpet in living room
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $315k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#21 in IL, #416 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-.
- Oak Lawn Chsd 229 (suburban): math 22% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #384 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Oak Lawn Comm High School (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,834 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $240k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.25%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $341,532
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8945 S Corcoran Rd | 0.40mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (-7%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $165 | 63 |
| 8925 S Main St | 0.46mi | 4/3.0 | 1,888 (-12%) | 7mo | $299,900 | $159 | 48 |
| 4530 W 93rd St Unit 3B | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,880 (-12%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $133 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-17,453
- Equity at exit
- $48,444
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $30,649
- Equity at exit
- $28,091
Cash invested: $90,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60456
- Home prices YoY
- -18.3%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,811 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$622 /mo · $7,461/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$800
- Net cashflow
- $550
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $734 | -5% $642 | +0% $550 | +5% $458 | +10% $366 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $249 | -5% $399 | +0% $550 | +5% $700 | +10% $851 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $713 | -0.5pp $632 | base $550 | +0.5pp $465 | +1.0pp $380 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,225
- Closing costs
- $9,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5212 Avery Pl Unit 1545958P Oak Lawn, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2195 | $3,548 | $1.62 | 11d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5330 W 86th St Burbank, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2300 | $4,100 | $1.78 | 0d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $324,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $324,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $324,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $324,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $324,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $324,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $324,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $324,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $324,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $324,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $324,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $324,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-02price $324,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $339,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $339,900 Active 30 DOM
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2026-05-19price $339,900
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2026-05-02$359,900 Active
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2022-04-20soldstatus $240,000
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2022-04-06soldstatus $240,000 Closed 31-char remark
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2022-02-24historical Contingent - Continue to Show 31-char remark
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2022-02-19status Active 31-char remark
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2022-02-19price $239,900 31-char remark
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2022-02-15historical Contingent - No Showings 31-char remark
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2021-12-12status Active Under Contract (Do Not Show) 31-char remark
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2021-09-29price $234,200 31-char remark
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2021-09-01price $239,300 31-char remark
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2021-08-19price $241,853 31-char remark
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2021-08-09$244,000 Active 31-char remark
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2001-11-20soldstatus $84,000
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1985-05-01soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,461 · $622/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,461 · $622/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,730
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,199
- − Property taxes
- −$7,461
- − Insurance
- −$1,624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,658
- − Management
- −$3,658
- − Depreciation
- −$9,452
- Taxable income
- $1,676
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$402
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,193/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oak Lawn Chsd 229
- NCES district ID
- 1729220
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,505
- Composite
- 19.41/100
- National rank
- #8777
- State rank
- #384 of 620 in IL
Livability — Hometown
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #21
- US rank
- #416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hometown, IL
- City population
- 4,244
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,244
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 16% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 1% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.51%
- Current HPI
- 287.2695
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+690.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $339,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-02 Listed $359,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-06 Sold (MLS) $240,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-24 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-19 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-19 Price Changed $239,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-15 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-12 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-29 Price Changed $234,200 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-01 Price Changed $239,300 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-19 Price Changed $241,853 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-09 Listed $244,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
- 1985-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2023): $7,461 · +44.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…