8-Plex
1553 Riverside Dr · Redding, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 37 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 40 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,000,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 8 units. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
8 Units. Uploaded for comp. purposes only. $15,000 seller concession for section 1 items.
Key facts
- Caldwell park access
- Off-street parking
- 3 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 3 spaces
- Home design: Residential income property
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Wood siding
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling; Wall furnace
- Interior features: Central heating and cooling available; Wall furnace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 8 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.00M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive. Per door: $294/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $1.00M).
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.3% in Redding — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#106 in CA, #3,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Shasta Union High (urban): math 41% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #122 of 517 in CA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 246 units permitted in Shasta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $11,728/mo this rent would consume 194% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 1458% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shasta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $280k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 13 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $675k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.09%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 849 West St | 0.38mi | —/— | — | 7mo | $331,000 | — | 64 |
| 1115, 1117 West St | 0.27mi | —/— | — | 13mo | $605,000 | — | 64 |
| 1115-1123 Eureka Way | 0.40mi | —/— | — | 10mo | $750,000 | — | 61 |
| 2235 Tehama St | 0.63mi | —/— | — | 7mo | $750,000 | — | 52 |
| 1969 8th St St | 0.47mi | —/— | — | 18mo | $750,000 | — | 51 |
| 2208 Shasta St | 0.54mi | —/— | — | 18mo | $525,000 | — | 48 |
| 1423-1429 Orange Ave | 0.64mi | —/— | — | 12mo | $306,425 | — | 47 |
| 1431-1437 Orange Ave | 0.66mi | —/— | — | 12mo | $400,000 | — | 46 |
| 1623/25/27 Willis St | 0.65mi | —/— | — | 14mo | $450,000 | — | 46 |
| 1415-1421 Orange Ave | 0.64mi | —/— | — | 15mo | $405,000 | — | 45 |
| 715 Loma St | 0.63mi | —/— | — | 17mo | $452,000 | — | 44 |
| 1635 Willis St | 0.67mi | —/— | — | 19mo | $359,000 | — | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $44,236
- Equity at exit
- $149,103
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $485,479
- Equity at exit
- $86,462
Cash invested: $280,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96001
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 56.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,728 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,244
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,250 /mo · $15,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$417
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,463
- Net cashflow
- $2,354
Break-even live
8-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8× units | 2 | — | $11,728 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $1,466 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $1,466 |
| #3 | 2 | — | $1,466 |
| #4 | 2 | — | $1,466 |
| #5 | 2 | — | $1,466 |
| #6 | 2 | — | $1,466 |
| #7 | 2 | — | $1,466 |
| #8 | 2 | — | $1,466 |
| Total (8 units) | $11,728 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $250,000
- Closing costs
- $30,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1033 West St Unit 1033 Redding, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1020 Gilbert St Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | — | $2,200 | — | 13d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 944 West St Unit 1 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,400 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1075 Trinity St Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,275 | $1.77 | 13d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1980 Tenth St Unit 1990 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,099 | — | 13d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1144 Willis St Redding, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1090 Continental St Unit 20 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,199 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2045 Shasta St Redding, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 491 | $1,250 | $2.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 760 West St Unit 764 Redding, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,029 | $1.72 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1435 Willis St Unit 6 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1167 Orange Ave Unit 1169 Redding, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $1,250 | $1.75 | 13d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 715 Mary St Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,395 | $1.77 | 13d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1538 West St Unit 03 Redding, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,099 | — | 13d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2142 Butte St Redding, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $2,010 | — | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1895 Benton Dr Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $962 | — | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1445 Magnolia Ave Apt 6 Redding, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,150 | $2.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1529 Willis St Unit 6 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $1,545 | $1.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1559 Willis St Redding, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,150 | — | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2352 Shasta St Redding, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,050 | $1.86 | 13d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1616 Willis St Unit 2 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1623 Magnolia Ave Redding, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,350 | — | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1907 Grace Ave Apt B Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,215 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1465 Benton Dr Unit 03 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | $1,279 | — | 13d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2391 Placer St Unit B Redding, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2119 Pine St Redding, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,195 | $1.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2222 California St Unit 08 Redding, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2487 Court St Apt 9 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,199 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3350 Mountain Oak Dr Redding, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3132 | $4,500 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1502 Cottonwood Ave Redding, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $2,000 | $1.72 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 540 South St Redding, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 536 | $1,295 | $2.42 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 500 Hilltop Dr Redding, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1282 | $1,700 | $1.33 | 13d | 4 | 1.39mi |
| 911 Parkview Ave Redding, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 100 Hilltop Dr Redding, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | $1,590 | — | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2155 Park Marina Dr Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,400 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 170 Masonic Ave #4 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,400 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $1,000,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$1,000,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 40 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $140,736
- − Mortgage interest
- −$56,016
- − Property taxes
- −$15,000
- − Insurance
- −$5,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,259
- − Management
- −$11,259
- − Depreciation
- −$29,091
- Taxable income
- $13,112
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,147
- After-tax cash flow
- $25,105/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shasta Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0636600
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,080
- Composite
- 46.01/100
- National rank
- #2532
- State rank
- #122 of 517 in CA
Livability — Redding
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #106
- US rank
- #3726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Redding, CA
- County
- Shasta County · 147,641 people
- City population
- 112,523
- Metro
- Redding, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,817
- Household income
- $72,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1458.0
Population outlook (Shasta County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,231 people
- By 2030
- 176,953 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 169,982 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 162,547 · -9.3%
- By 2075
- 145,649 · -18.7%
- By 2100
- 123,025 · -31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Native American 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shasta
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.5) · D 30.5% · R 67.0% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -36.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.5 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+25.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.25%
- Current HPI
- 291.6191
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.55%
- Metro
- Redding, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+48.1% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $1,000,000 SAOR
- 2025-12-15 Rental Removed $1,250 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-10-21 Listed for Rent $1,250 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-07-12 Rental Removed $1,195 LEASESTAR
- 2025-05-21 Price Changed $1,195 LEASESTAR
- 2025-04-25 Listed for Rent $1,250 LEASESTAR
- 2025-03-01 Rental Removed $995 LEASESTAR
- 2025-03-01 Listed for Rent $995 LEASESTAR
- 2025-02-11 Rental Removed $1,295 LEASESTAR
- 2025-02-11 Listed for Rent $1,295 LEASESTAR
- 2024-12-17 Rental Removed $1,095 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-12-12 Listed for Rent $1,095 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-12-12 Rental Removed $1,095 LEASESTAR
- 2024-12-11 Listed for Rent $1,095 LEASESTAR
- 2024-08-17 Rental Removed $1,095 LEASESTAR
- 2024-08-01 Listed for Rent $1,095 LEASESTAR
- 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $1,095 LEASESTAR
- 2024-03-01 Listed for Rent $1,095 LEASESTAR
- 2024-01-04 Rental Removed $1,095 LEASESTAR
- 2024-01-04 Rental Removed $1,095 LEASESTAR
- 2024-01-04 Listed for Rent $1,095 LEASESTAR
- 2023-10-18 Price Changed $1,150 LEASESTAR
- 2023-10-06 Price Changed $1,195 LEASESTAR
- 2023-09-20 Price Changed $1,250 LEASESTAR
- 2023-08-30 Listed for Rent $1,295 LEASESTAR
- 2023-08-22 Rental Removed $1,295 LEASESTAR
- 2023-08-20 Listed for Rent $1,295 LEASESTAR
- 2020-01-03 Sold (MLS) $675,000 SAOR
- 2020-01-03 Listed $675,000 SAOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…