685 Sides Cir · Canton, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Refreshed and 100% ready for move-in! This 3 bedroom, 2 bath ranch with an office has been updated with careful attention to detail, making it a fantastic choice for anyone looking to make a home in an established Canton neighborhood. Located on a corner lot, this home's attractive brick facade has been enhanced with new shutters. Inside you’ll find beautiful new luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout plus new interior paint. With a nod to the home’s original design, the vintage kitchen cabinets are in good condition and offer ample storage space. Sliding glass doors in the family room lead to the back patio and an expansive backyard – over a third of an acre in the City and tons of trees too! This home features an eat-in kitchen, accessible ensuite bath in the primary bedroom, separate utility room, attached 2 car garage with a garage door opener, and a storage shed in the backyard. Located in Canton ISD and just minutes from Downtown Canton, this property is an outstanding opportunity. Lifetime transferrable foundation warranty in Supplements. No survey available - Buyer will need to purchase a new survey if needed.
Key facts
- Ample storage space
- Brick facade
- New shutters
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-78 ($-935/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (6.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (7.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $175k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.0% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#239 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Canton ISD (town): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #151 of 826 in TX (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Canton El (571 students, 57% FRL); Canton J H (math 47% / reading 52%, grade C, #356 of 1,662 statewide, top 23%, 550 students, 47% FRL); Canton H S (math 67% / reading 72%, grade B, #119 of 1,632 statewide, top 9%, 653 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: 261 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 54 units permitted in Van Zandt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Van Zandt County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.68%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $206,629
- List price
- $199,000
- Delta
- -3.69%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685 Sides Cir | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (+4%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $127 | 94 |
| 186 Buck Branch Ln | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (+3%) | 1mo | $259,490 | $166 | 74 |
| 127 Buck Branch Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (+3%) | 3mo | $264,990 | $169 | 70 |
| 166 Buck Branch Ln | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (-7%) | 1mo | $245,490 | $174 | 67 |
| 341 Dry Creek Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (-7%) | 1mo | $257,990 | $183 | 65 |
| 539 Burnett Trl | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (-7%) | 1mo | $245,490 | $174 | 64 |
| 1342 Shady Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,482 (-2%) | 7mo | $285,000 | $192 | 58 |
| 147 Buck Branch Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,294 (-15%) | 3mo | $239,990 | $185 | 52 |
| 176 Buck Branch Ln | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,294 (-15%) | 5mo | $229,990 | $178 | 51 |
| 519 Burnett Trl | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,294 (-15%) | 1mo | $236,045 | $182 | 51 |
| 146 Buck Branch Ln | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,738 (+15%) | 1mo | $305,490 | $176 | 49 |
| 101 Buck Branch Ln | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,738 (+15%) | 7mo | $282,990 | $163 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-37,088
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-38,187
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75103
- Home prices YoY
- -14.3%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,839 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$405 /mo · $4,854/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $-78
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $35 | -5% $-22 | +0% $-78 | +5% $-134 | +10% $-191 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-223 | -5% $-151 | +0% $-78 | +5% $-5 | +10% $67 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $22 | -0.5pp $-27 | base $-78 | +0.5pp $-130 | +1.0pp $-182 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Granada Sq Canton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2022 | $2,400 | $1.19 | 18d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 341 Dry Creek Ln Canton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 26d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 519 Burnett Trl Canton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $1,900 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1361 Shady Ln Canton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,600 | $1.27 | 0d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1107 Tower St Canton, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,525 | $1.26 | 20d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 175 E Elm St Canton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1904 | $2,100 | $1.10 | 0d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 405 Beard St Canton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1147 | $1,675 | $1.46 | 9d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 900 W State Highway 243 Canton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,750 | $1.61 | 0d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 908 Texas 243 Canton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 0d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 560 Athens St Unit 580 Canton, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1612 | $1,125 | $0.70 | 1d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 1157-char remark
Show marketing remark (1157 chars)
Refreshed and 100% ready for move-in! This 3 bedroom, 2 bath ranch with an office has been updated with careful attention to detail, making it a fantastic choice for anyone looking to make a home in an established Canton neighborhood. Located on a corner lot, this home's attractive brick facade has been enhanced with new shutters. Inside you’ll find beautiful new luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout plus new interior paint. With a nod to the home’s original design, the vintage kitchen cabinets are in good condition and offer ample storage space. Sliding glass doors in the family room lead to the back patio and an expansive backyard – over a third of an acre in the City and tons of trees too! This home features an eat-in kitchen, accessible ensuite bath in the primary bedroom, separate utility room, attached 2 car garage with a garage door opener, and a storage shed in the backyard. Located in Canton ISD and just minutes from Downtown Canton, this property is an outstanding opportunity. Lifetime transferrable foundation warranty in Supplements. No survey available - Buyer will need to purchase a new survey if needed.
-
2026-05-05historical Active Option Contract 1157-char remark
Show marketing remark (1157 chars)
Refreshed and 100% ready for move-in! This 3 bedroom, 2 bath ranch with an office has been updated with careful attention to detail, making it a fantastic choice for anyone looking to make a home in an established Canton neighborhood. Located on a corner lot, this home's attractive brick facade has been enhanced with new shutters. Inside you’ll find beautiful new luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout plus new interior paint. With a nod to the home’s original design, the vintage kitchen cabinets are in good condition and offer ample storage space. Sliding glass doors in the family room lead to the back patio and an expansive backyard – over a third of an acre in the City and tons of trees too! This home features an eat-in kitchen, accessible ensuite bath in the primary bedroom, separate utility room, attached 2 car garage with a garage door opener, and a storage shed in the backyard. Located in Canton ISD and just minutes from Downtown Canton, this property is an outstanding opportunity. Lifetime transferrable foundation warranty in Supplements. No survey available - Buyer will need to purchase a new survey if needed.
-
2026-04-11price $199,000 1157-char remark
Show marketing remark (1157 chars)
Refreshed and 100% ready for move-in! This 3 bedroom, 2 bath ranch with an office has been updated with careful attention to detail, making it a fantastic choice for anyone looking to make a home in an established Canton neighborhood. Located on a corner lot, this home's attractive brick facade has been enhanced with new shutters. Inside you’ll find beautiful new luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout plus new interior paint. With a nod to the home’s original design, the vintage kitchen cabinets are in good condition and offer ample storage space. Sliding glass doors in the family room lead to the back patio and an expansive backyard – over a third of an acre in the City and tons of trees too! This home features an eat-in kitchen, accessible ensuite bath in the primary bedroom, separate utility room, attached 2 car garage with a garage door opener, and a storage shed in the backyard. Located in Canton ISD and just minutes from Downtown Canton, this property is an outstanding opportunity. Lifetime transferrable foundation warranty in Supplements. No survey available - Buyer will need to purchase a new survey if needed.
-
2026-03-24price $205,000 1157-char remark
Show marketing remark (1157 chars)
Refreshed and 100% ready for move-in! This 3 bedroom, 2 bath ranch with an office has been updated with careful attention to detail, making it a fantastic choice for anyone looking to make a home in an established Canton neighborhood. Located on a corner lot, this home's attractive brick facade has been enhanced with new shutters. Inside you’ll find beautiful new luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout plus new interior paint. With a nod to the home’s original design, the vintage kitchen cabinets are in good condition and offer ample storage space. Sliding glass doors in the family room lead to the back patio and an expansive backyard – over a third of an acre in the City and tons of trees too! This home features an eat-in kitchen, accessible ensuite bath in the primary bedroom, separate utility room, attached 2 car garage with a garage door opener, and a storage shed in the backyard. Located in Canton ISD and just minutes from Downtown Canton, this property is an outstanding opportunity. Lifetime transferrable foundation warranty in Supplements. No survey available - Buyer will need to purchase a new survey if needed.
-
2025-09-09$212,000 Active 1157-char remark
Show marketing remark (1157 chars)
Refreshed and 100% ready for move-in! This 3 bedroom, 2 bath ranch with an office has been updated with careful attention to detail, making it a fantastic choice for anyone looking to make a home in an established Canton neighborhood. Located on a corner lot, this home's attractive brick facade has been enhanced with new shutters. Inside you’ll find beautiful new luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout plus new interior paint. With a nod to the home’s original design, the vintage kitchen cabinets are in good condition and offer ample storage space. Sliding glass doors in the family room lead to the back patio and an expansive backyard – over a third of an acre in the City and tons of trees too! This home features an eat-in kitchen, accessible ensuite bath in the primary bedroom, separate utility room, attached 2 car garage with a garage door opener, and a storage shed in the backyard. Located in Canton ISD and just minutes from Downtown Canton, this property is an outstanding opportunity. Lifetime transferrable foundation warranty in Supplements. No survey available - Buyer will need to purchase a new survey if needed.
-
2025-08-31historical
-
2025-08-23price $212,000
-
2025-08-23status Active
-
2025-08-21historical Active Option Contract
-
2025-05-30price $225,000
-
2025-05-14price $234,000
-
2025-03-17$239,000 Active
-
2024-12-13soldstatus
-
2024-07-09soldstatus
-
1998-10-09soldstatus
-
1998-10-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,854 · $405/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,854 · $405/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,072
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$4,854
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,766
- − Management
- −$1,766
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$4,245
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,019
- After-tax cash flow
- $83/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4812750
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,385
- Composite
- 44.08/100
- National rank
- #2877
- State rank
- #151 of 826 in TX
Livability — Canton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #239
- US rank
- #5787
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Canton, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,222
Population outlook (Van Zandt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,634 people
- By 2030
- 56,479 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 57,672 · +3.7%
- By 2050
- 57,913 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 57,544 · +3.4%
- By 2100
- 52,659 · -5.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Van Zandt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.8) · D 12.3% · R 87.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -55.1pp · 2024: -74.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.8 2020: R+72.1 2016: R+72.1 2012: R+66.6 2008: R+55.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.07%
- Current HPI
- 227.6156
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-16.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-05 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $199,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $205,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-09 Listed $212,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-31 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-08-23 Price Changed $212,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-23 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-08-21 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2025-05-30 Price Changed $225,000 NTREIS
- 2025-05-14 Price Changed $234,000 NTREIS
- 2025-03-17 Listed $239,000 NTREIS
- 2024-12-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-07-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-10-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-10-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,854 · +51.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…