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621 E 1st St
B+ Composite 75.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

621 E 1st St · La Feria, TX 78559
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 83 Days on market
Built 1984 6,403 sqft lot $77/sqft · 35% below area Est $100k · 35% under ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move-in ready and fully furnished! This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home offers a truly great opportunity and sits on an owned lot. The home includes all appliances, including washer and dryer, all of which convey. Large open layout with a bonus room that provides flexible space for an additional living area or hobby room. Exterior features include a covered carport and an outdoor storage shed for added convenience. Conveniently located close to the expressway, and just minutes from shops and dining. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Ample natural light
  • Spacious living area
  • Carport

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING AREAAMPLE NATURAL LIGHTCARPORTSTORAGE SHEDFLEXIBLE LIVING SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 4.4% in La Feria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#667 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • La Feria ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #630 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,006 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
13.51%
Cash-on-cash
25.77%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$99,538
List price
$64,900
Delta
-34.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
320 7th St 0.56mi 2/1.0 850 (+1%) 16mo $145,000 $171 57
606 Avenue B 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (+14%) 18mo $129,500 $135 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$14,329
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
3.45×
Total profit
$44,453
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78559

Home prices YoY
-6.1%
Active inventory
260
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,017 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $554/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $523
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $427 -5% $409 +0% $390 +5% $372 +10% $353
Rent -10% $310 -5% $350 +0% $390 +5% $430 +10% $471
Rate -1.0pp $423 -0.5pp $407 base $390 +0.5pp $373 +1.0pp $356

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
508 6th St Unit A La Feria, TX 2.0 2.0 926 $1,000 $1.08 22d 1 0.63mi
200 Cub Cir La Feria, TX 2.0 1.5 966 $1,024 $1.06 14d 1 0.73mi
300 Cub Cir Unit 2 La Feria, TX 2.0 1.5 966 $1,050 $1.09 44d 1 0.77mi
405 Lion's Villa Ave Unit 15 La Feria, TX 2.0 1.5 992 $999 $1.01 14d 1 0.78mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 82 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 81 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 80 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $64,900 Active 78 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 77 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $64,900 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 73 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $64,900 Active 72 DOM
  11. 2026-04-27
    status Active 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    Move-in ready and fully furnished! This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home offers a truly great opportunity and sits on an owned lot. The home includes all appliances, including washer and dryer, all of which convey. Large open layout with a bonus room that provides flexible space for an additional living area or hobby room. Exterior features include a covered carport and an outdoor storage shed for added convenience. Conveniently located close to the expressway, and just minutes from shops and dining. Schedule your showing today!

  12. 2026-04-20
    status Pending 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    Move-in ready and fully furnished! This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home offers a truly great opportunity and sits on an owned lot. The home includes all appliances, including washer and dryer, all of which convey. Large open layout with a bonus room that provides flexible space for an additional living area or hobby room. Exterior features include a covered carport and an outdoor storage shed for added convenience. Conveniently located close to the expressway, and just minutes from shops and dining. Schedule your showing today!

  13. 2026-03-27
    price $64,900 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    Move-in ready and fully furnished! This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home offers a truly great opportunity and sits on an owned lot. The home includes all appliances, including washer and dryer, all of which convey. Large open layout with a bonus room that provides flexible space for an additional living area or hobby room. Exterior features include a covered carport and an outdoor storage shed for added convenience. Conveniently located close to the expressway, and just minutes from shops and dining. Schedule your showing today!

  14. 2026-02-28
    price $69,900 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    Move-in ready and fully furnished! This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home offers a truly great opportunity and sits on an owned lot. The home includes all appliances, including washer and dryer, all of which convey. Large open layout with a bonus room that provides flexible space for an additional living area or hobby room. Exterior features include a covered carport and an outdoor storage shed for added convenience. Conveniently located close to the expressway, and just minutes from shops and dining. Schedule your showing today!

  15. 2026-02-01
    listed $79,900 Active 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    Move-in ready and fully furnished! This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home offers a truly great opportunity and sits on an owned lot. The home includes all appliances, including washer and dryer, all of which convey. Large open layout with a bonus room that provides flexible space for an additional living area or hobby room. Exterior features include a covered carport and an outdoor storage shed for added convenience. Conveniently located close to the expressway, and just minutes from shops and dining. Schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$554 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,188 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$634/yr (+$53/mo · 114.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,209
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$554
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$977
− Management
−$977
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$3,853
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$925
After-tax cash flow
$3,757/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
La Feria ISD
NCES district ID
4826040
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$33,306
Composite
25.41/100
National rank
#7460
State rank
#630 of 826 in TX

Livability — La Feria

Score
65/100
State rank
#667
US rank
#12330

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
La Feria, TX
Population (ZIP)
12,752

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 91% Two or more races 35% White 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 87%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
40% English-only · Spanish 60%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.21%
Current HPI
187.8512
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Relisted RGVMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Pending RGVMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $64,900 RGVMLS
  • 2026-02-28 Price Changed $69,900 RGVMLS
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $79,900 RGVMLS

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $554 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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