8272 Stahelin Ave · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property is bank owned sold AS-IS. Buyer and Buyer's agent responsible for verifying all information. Listing office to hold EMD. $350 REO Compliance Fee, city inspections to be paid by buyer. "Property subject to 24 cfr 206.125"
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1943
- Listed 6 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: House
- Exterior features: Lot of approximately 4,792 sq ft
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $2k; list at $85k implies a 4150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.83%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $55,165
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8225 Grandville Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 906 (-3%) | 2mo | $36,500 | $40 | 80 |
| 8309 Brace St | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 864 (-8%) | 1mo | $28,500 | $33 | 77 |
| 8271 Rosemont Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+7%) | 2mo | $35,500 | $36 | 74 |
| 8651 Brace Street St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 987 (+6%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $61 | 73 |
| 7667 Greenview Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+3%) | 2mo | $65,100 | $68 | 71 |
| 8449 Penrod St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,011 (+8%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $94 | 70 |
| 8686 Artesian St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-8%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $41 | 68 |
| 7756 Westwood St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 871 (-7%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $103 | 62 |
| 8427 Piedmont St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+13%) | 2mo | $62,000 | $59 | 61 |
| 9221 Grandville Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 971 (+4%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $139 | 56 |
| 9317 Artesian St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 994 (+6%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $25 | 56 |
| 7296 Auburn St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 968 (+4%) | 2mo | $38,000 | $39 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $5,398
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $20,759
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,140 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $786/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $354
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8262 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,200 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 18401 Joy Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $875 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 9090 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $1,250 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 8283 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $1,294 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7794 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 16d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,350 | $1.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 20431 Tireman St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,117 | $1.62 | 1d | 15 | 0.85mi |
| 19449 W Chicago St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7411 Stout St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,428 | $1.61 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6490 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,299 | $1.35 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6761 Memorial Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 20237 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8270 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,528 | $1.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 6980 Town Ln Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 9401 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 20529 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 9410 Patton St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 20541 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 20545 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 20547 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9404 Patton St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 20522 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9059 Burt Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,400 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 20550 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7419 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,150 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 20619 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9345 Rutherford St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 20921 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 20935 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 16d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 20937 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 9416 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 20945 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 5777 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 667 | $1,540 | $2.31 | 3d | 10 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 213-char remark
-
2026-06-13$85,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $786 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,048 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$261/yr (+$22/mo · 33.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,674
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$786
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,094
- − Management
- −$1,094
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $3,041
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$730
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+4150.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $85,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2013-01-03 Sold (MLS) $2,000 REALCOMP
- 2013-01-03 Sold (MLS) $2,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-11-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-07-27 Listed $2,000 REALCOMP
- 2012-07-27 Listed $2,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $786 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…