1872 Sullivan Trl · Exeter, PA 18643

$79,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 600 sqft · SingleFamily · 53 Days on market

Fair condition 0.39 ac lot $133/sqft · 74% below area ↓ 11% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This simple 2-bed, 1-bath ranch is solid & ready for some love & your personal touch. It has good bones & lots of potential. The property sits on a nice-sized lot w/ awesome views right across the street that includes 125 ft of riverfront that's perfect for catching small mouth bass. From the yard or windows, you'll enjoy open views of the water, flowing current, wildlife & beautiful sunsets

Key facts

• Beautiful sunsets
• Views of the river
• Single-level home

Tags

• SINGLE-LEVEL HOME
• NICE-SIZED LOT
• VIEWS OF THE RIVER
• OPEN VIEWS OF THE WATER
• BEAUTIFUL SUNSETS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Shared well water
• Home design: Single-family residence; One story
• Construction: Asbestos construction material
• Exterior features: Metal roof; Cleared lot; Waterfront property on a river; Shed(s) on the property

Interior

• Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Electric water heater
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 5 total rooms; Full, unfinished basement with dirt floor

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.1% in Exeter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#392 in PA, #3,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Wyoming Area SD (suburban): math 24% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #381 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $77,503 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.53% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.50%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.18%
• DSCR: 1.99
• GRM: 5.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $304,713
• List price: $79,900
• Delta: -73.78%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 10.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.41×
• Total profit: $9,216
• Equity at exit: $11,913

10-year hold

• IRR: 19.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.64×
• Total profit: $36,729
• Equity at exit: $6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 18643

• Home prices YoY: -22.8%
• Active inventory: 59
• Price-to-rent: 5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,222 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$257
• Net cashflow: $347

Break-even live

Break-even rent $783

Max offer price $79,900

Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,975
• Closing costs: $2,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $79,900 Active 53 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $79,900 Active 52 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $79,900 Active 51 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $79,900 Active 50 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $79,900 Active 48 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   pricedays on market $79,900 Active 47 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $89,900 Active 44 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $89,900 Active 43 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 42 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 38 DOM
13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 37 DOM
14. 2026-04-22
    listed $89,900 Active 418-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,669
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,476
• − Property taxes: −$1,198
• − Insurance: −$1,197
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,173
• − Management: −$1,173
• − Depreciation: −$2,324
• Taxable income: $3,126
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$750
• After-tax cash flow: $3,414/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, but has potential for a substantial increase in value with proper updates.

Repairs flagged

• Major siding — Significant wear and tear
• Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation

Value-add opportunities

• Resale painting the exterior — Fresh paint can significantly improve curb appeal
• Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard can enhance both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
siding · Significant wear and tear	Major	$15,000–50,000
landscaping · Overgrown vegetation	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items		$30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale painting the exterior — Fresh paint can significantly improve curb appeal ↑
• Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard can enhance both resale and rental value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Wyoming Area SD
• NCES district ID: 4226730
• Math proficiency: 24% ▼ -23.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $48,856
• Composite: 32.21/100
• National rank: #5776
• State rank: #381 of 539 in PA

Livability — Exeter

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #392
• US rank: #3546

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 12,683

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 319,505 people
• By 2030: 319,943 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 322,643 · +1.0%
• By 2050: 330,817 · +3.5%
• By 2075: 379,145 · +18.7%
• By 2100: 431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 20% Scotch-Irish 5% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

• 2024 margin: R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -76.48%
• Current HPI: 259.5339
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

-11.1% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-12 Price Changed $79,900 LCAR
• 2026-06-04 Relisted — LCAR
• 2026-06-01 Delisted — LCAR
• 2026-04-22 Listed $89,900 LCAR