🔨 Auction
26 Compton Ln · Buchanan, VA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.8/10.0
- Cash flow +6.2/30.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- DSCR +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$8,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
NOTICE OF PUBLIC AUCTION SPECIAL COMMISSIONER’S SALE OF REAL ESTATE COUNTY OF BOTETOURT, VIRGINIA List price does not reflect the final sale price. Properties are conveyed by a special warranty deed after being confirmed by the circuit court judge's approval. Listing agent makes no warranty to the condition, buildability, acreage, or what is there. All properties will be sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS, IF IS. This property is 1 of 10 being auctioned off both online and in person on the final day of June 2nd. An in-person simulcast auction will be held at The Greenfield Auditorium, Room 212, 57 S. Center Drive, Daleville, Virginia 24083, on June 2, 2026, at 12:00 PM. If you plan to bid in
Key facts
- 9,278 sq ft lot
- Built 1990
- Listed 35 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Assessed value $23,900; Annual tax amount $167.30 (2025)
Exterior
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; 860 above-grade finished area
- Construction: Aluminum siding and block construction; Composition roof; Built year: Unknown
- Exterior features: Lot zoned A1
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (first level)
- Interior features: Tub and shower in bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-355 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
- Recommended offer: $8k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#244 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, schools A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Botetourt County Public School District (rural): math 76% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #6 of 131 in VA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Botetourt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Botetourt County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($8k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 29.8% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.76%
- DSCR
- 0.65
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,114
- List price
- $8,000
- Delta
- -94.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -33.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.08×
- Total profit
- $-48,317
- Equity at exit
- $23,724
- IRR
- -40.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.59×
- Total profit
- $-70,933
- Equity at exit
- $13,757
Cash invested: $44,552 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24066
- Home prices YoY
- -21.8%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 0.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,027 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$199 /mo · $2,387/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $-355
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,778
- Closing costs
- $4,773
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $8,000 Pending 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $8,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $8,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $8,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $8,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $8,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $8,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $8,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $8,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $8,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$8,000 Active 1124-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $167 · $14/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $167 · $14/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,325
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,913
- − Property taxes
- −$2,387
- − Insurance
- −$1,593
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$986
- − Management
- −$986
- − Depreciation
- −$4,629
- Taxable loss
- −$7,169
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,720
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,536/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Botetourt County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100420
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,125
- Composite
- 68.07/100
- National rank
- #355
- State rank
- #6 of 131 in VA
Livability — Buchanan
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #244
- US rank
- #8227
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 5,234
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,234
Population outlook (Botetourt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,273 people
- By 2030
- 34,457 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 34,051 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 32,841 · -4.2%
- By 2075
- 30,720 · -10.4%
- By 2100
- 26,395 · -23.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Botetourt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+44.5 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+33.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.35%
- Current HPI
- 155.1053
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $8,000 CVRMLS
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $167 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…