1220 Tahitian Sunrise Dr · Plant City, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$330,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Short Sale. Step into 1220 Tahitian Sunrise Drive, a thoughtfully upgraded 5-bedroom, 3-bath residence offering over 2,694 square feet of refined living space. This home blends luxury finishes with practical enhancements, creating a comfortable, high-end everyday living experience. The chef-inspired kitchen showcases beautiful wood cabinets, granite, an oversized island with drop-in sink and overhang for bar stools, full-height backsplash to the ceiling, large pantry and custom wine glass racks. Builder-grade fixtures have been replaced throughout with designer faucets, custom cabinet hardware, and elevated lighting in the living areas, stairway, and primary suite, giving the home a cohesive, upscale feel. Downstairs, off the foyer is a formal living/dining or sitting room. The foyer opens up to the kitchen, staircase, large living room, breakfast area, full bath, guest room and sliding glass doors to the huge backyard w/ peaceful pond views. The staircase has been redesigned with widened treads and an upscale railing, creating a striking architectural feature as you enter the home. Upstairs, luxury vinyl plank and tile flooring run throughout all four bedrooms and open loft/entertainment room and closets, offering durability and style with low maintenance. The spacious primary suite features two walk-in closets, dual sinks w/ designer mirrors, large shower w/ porcelain tile and rainfall showerhead, and a separate water closet. The North Park Isle community offers a beautiful resort-style pool with tennis, basketball & pickleball courts, a playground, dog park and even a kayak launch! Conveniently located just minutes from the new BayCare South Florida Hospital, as well as the entrance ramps to I-4. Schools, shopping and entertainment are all nearby as well! Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Designer faucets
- Oversized island
- Upscale railing
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $330k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-309 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $275k (16.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $287k (13.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $275k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Knights Elementary School (math 52% / reading 45%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 623 students, 70% FRL); Marshall Middle Magnet School (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 1,089 students, 69% FRL); Plant City High School (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 2,474 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 426 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 29d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,870/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $110k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.02%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $418,629
- List price
- $330,000
- Delta
- -21.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3818 N Maryland Ave | 0.24mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,486 (-7%) | 0mo | $445,000 | $179 | 72 |
| 1708 Tropical Oasis | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,584 (-3%) | 10mo | $352,945 | $137 | 63 |
| 2352 Allium Roseum Ln | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,576 (-4%) | 3mo | $403,090 | $156 | 54 |
| 3727 Capital Reserve Dr | 0.28mi | 5/2.5 | 2,896 (+8%) | 21mo | $405,000 | $140 | 54 |
| 3649 Forest Path Dr | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,584 (-3%) | 15mo | $374,900 | $145 | 54 |
| 3651 Forest Path Dr | 0.46mi | 5/2.5 | 2,896 (+8%) | 15mo | $404,900 | $140 | 50 |
| 3937 Northern Key Dr | 0.70mi | 5/2.5 | 2,389 (-11%) | 3mo | $364,490 | $153 | 46 |
| 4047 Radiant Mountain Dr | 0.68mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,580 (-4%) | 18mo | $382,400 | $148 | 43 |
| 4017 Radiant Mountain Dr | 0.65mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,580 (-4%) | 20mo | $384,000 | $149 | 42 |
| 3521 Great Park Ct | 0.65mi | 5/2.5 | 2,389 (-11%) | 21mo | $364,900 | $153 | 33 |
| 4048 Radiant Mountain Dr | 0.71mi | 5/2.5 | 2,389 (-11%) | 18mo | $379,990 | $159 | 32 |
| 2338 Allium Roseum Ln | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,278 (-15%) | 6mo | $379,190 | $166 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-72,956
- Equity at exit
- $49,204
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-87,991
- Equity at exit
- $28,532
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 45 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 54.0 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $382,490 ($148/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 67 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +5.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33565
- Home prices YoY
- -24.7%
- Active inventory
- 426
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,870 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$700 /mo · $8,395/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- HOA
- −$9
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$603
- Net cashflow
- $-309
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-123 | -5% $-216 | +0% $-309 | +5% $-403 | +10% $-496 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-536 | -5% $-423 | +0% $-309 | +5% $-196 | +10% $-83 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-143 | -0.5pp $-225 | base $-309 | +0.5pp $-395 | +1.0pp $-482 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3747 Capri Coast Dr Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2035 | $2,695 | $1.32 | 48d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3911 N Maryland Ave Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2223 | $2,600 | $1.17 | 73d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3615 Natural Trace St Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,350 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3916 N Maryland Ave Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2223 | $2,610 | $1.17 | 35d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3916 N Maryland Ave Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2223 | $2,610 | $1.17 | 29d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3507 N Maryland Ave Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2557 | $2,495 | $0.98 | 32d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3872 Capri Coast Dr Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2162 | $2,395 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3872 Capri Coast Dr Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2162 | $2,395 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1458 Tahitian Sunrise Dr Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,345 | $1.21 | 34d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3852 Northern Key Dr Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1936 | $2,599 | $1.34 | 28d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2318 Allium Roseum Ln Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1817 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 7d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2505 Victorious Falls Ave Plant City, FL | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2614 | $2,950 | $1.13 | 19d | 1 | 0.81mi |
HOA detail $9/mo · $108/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $330,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $330,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $330,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $330,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $330,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $330,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $330,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $330,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $330,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $330,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $330,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $330,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-07-21pricedays on market $330,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $340,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $340,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $340,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $340,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $340,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $340,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $340,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $340,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $340,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $340,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $340,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $340,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $340,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $340,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $340,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $340,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $340,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $340,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $340,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $340,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $340,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $340,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $340,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $340,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $340,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $340,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $340,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $340,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $340,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $340,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-10price $340,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $350,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $350,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $350,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $350,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $350,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $350,000 Active 181 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,395 · $700/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,395 · $700/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,439
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$8,395
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,755
- − Management
- −$2,755
- − HOA
- −$108
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable loss
- −$9,310
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,234
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,479/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This well-maintained single-family home in Plant City, FL, offers a good condition with cosmetic updates and a high ROI potential for both resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
- Resale Kitchen backsplash replacement — A fresh backsplash can improve the kitchen's appearance and functionality. ↑
- Resale Window treatments — Window treatments can enhance the home's curb appeal and add value. ↑
- Resale Landscaping around the front entrance — A well-maintained front entrance can improve curb appeal and add value to the property. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Plant City
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #3587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plant City, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
- City population
- 68,525
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,108
- Household income
- $73,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 19%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.17%
- Current HPI
- 347.2475
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-26.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $350,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $355,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $370,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $385,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $400,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-03 Listed $440,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-03 Price Changed $460,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-26 Listed $475,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+59.2%/yrLatest (2025): $8,395 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…