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21 W Adams Dr
C Composite 59.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

21 W Adams Dr · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,225 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1957 8,276 sqft lot Est $110k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

4 bedroom 1 bath home. The following updates have been made recently: Updated landscaping, fence line cleaned up, painted the outside of the house, replaced some down spouts. New flooring in the living room, kitchen, and hallway. Painted the inside of the house, new carbon detectors, new smoke detectors, replaced bedroom doors, replaced bathroom vanity, cut back tree branches. This property was tenant occupied therefore we could not include interior photos. Add this to your portfolio today. Close to Shopping Areas, Schools, Public Transportation and Interstate Highways. This is a Must See!!!!! Buyer to verify all Listing data including but not limited to sq. ft. , measurements, features, lo

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • Built 1957

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Interior features: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Seven total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 13.6% in Cahokia Heights — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,401/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.79%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$110,250
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Westwood Dr 0.11mi 4/1.0 1,225 (0%) 6mo $110,000 $90 86
38 Westwood Dr 0.32mi 4/1.0 1,225 (0%) 2mo $90,000 $73 80
43 Drexel Dr 0.30mi 4/1.0 1,225 (0%) 8mo $90,000 $73 76
21 Westwood Dr 0.17mi 4/1.0 1,100 (-10%) 12mo $56,000 $51 61
2167 Sandy Ridge Rd 0.32mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,320 (+8%) 10mo $105,000 $80 59
2 Margie Dr 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,152 (-6%) 8mo $110,000 $95 58
3 Dora Dr 0.52mi 4/1.0 1,158 (-6%) 5mo $110,000 $95 58
1851 Camp Jackson Rd 0.59mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,200 (-2%) 10mo $117,000 $98 54
1 Helen Ct 0.49mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,116 (-9%) 2mo $105,000 $94 51
37 Louise Ln 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,104 (-10%) 0mo $105,000 $95 49
19 Agnes Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,296 (+6%) 7mo $60,000 $46 46
20 Goodman Rd 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,104 (-10%) 14mo $87,000 $79 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-8,099
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$5,863
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,401 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$181 /mo · $2,177/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,210
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $213 -5% $182 +0% $150 +5% $119 +10% $88
Rent -10% $40 -5% $95 +0% $150 +5% $206 +10% $261
Rate -1.0pp $206 -0.5pp $178 base $150 +0.5pp $122 +1.0pp $93

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2 E Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $885 $0.96 44d 1 0.10mi
13 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $995 $1.08 13d 1 0.11mi
32 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1362 $1,675 $1.23 17d 1 0.17mi
70 W Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,200 $1.30 44d 1 0.25mi
2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 22d 1 0.41mi
13 Marilyn Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 995 $1,150 $1.16 44d 1 0.51mi
8 Louise Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,275 $1.11 18d 1 0.62mi
6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 24d 1 0.66mi
6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 13d 1 0.66mi
2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 5d 1 0.68mi
21 Agnes Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,050 $1.22 22d 1 0.70mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 3d 1 1.00mi
102 Melvin Dr Unit 34 Sauget, IL 4.0 1.0 1352 $1,700 $1.26 8d 1 1.15mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 44d 1 1.17mi
1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 2d 1 1.19mi
1420 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 44d 1 1.20mi
1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,400 $1.50 22d 1 1.22mi
1710 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1225 $1,395 $1.14 44d 1 1.23mi
1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 44d 1 1.27mi
1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 925 $1,320 $1.43 24d 1 1.28mi
1614 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1152 $1,400 $1.22 24d 1 1.30mi
1312 Saint Raphael St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,500 $1.17 44d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-13
    listed $110,000 Active
  3. 2012-01-09
    soldstatus
  4. 2011-06-14
    listed $9,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,177 · $181/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,337 · $195/mo
Expected delta
+$160/yr (+$13/mo · 7.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AH · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,810
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$2,177
− Insurance
−$2,374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,345
− Management
−$1,345
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$207
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$50
After-tax cash flow
$1,756/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1011.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $110,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-01-09 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-06-14 Listed $9,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,177 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…