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10992 Fm 244 Rd
D Composite 40.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0

$220,000

10992 Fm 244 Rd · Anderson, TX 77830
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,432 sqft · Manufactured · 54 Days on market
Built 2004 1.94 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover peaceful country living on almost 2 acres! This spacious home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, formal living and dining area, a family room with a wood burning fireplace, and a dedicated study or craft room, providing plenty of space for both everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy pear, peach and mulberry trees along with space for gardening and outdoor projects. Additional improvements include 4 storage buildings, 2 of which are equipped with electricity, includes a tool room and an enclosed chicken coop. Roof and hot water heater are less than five years old. Located on FM 244, near College-Station, Navasota, Madisonville and Huntsville, the property provides convenient access to nearby communities while maintaining the quiet and privacy of country living. Buyers will appreciate the opportunity to enjoy small-acreage living with room for hobbies, homesteading, or simply relaxing outdoors. Don't miss this opportunity, check it out today!

Key facts

  • Gardening space
  • Storage buildings
  • Dedicated study

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIREPLACEDEDICATED STUDYSTORAGE BUILDINGSENCLOSED CHICKEN COOPGARDENING SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (9.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (31.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (31.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,197 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Anderson-Shiro CISD (rural): math 57% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #107 of 826 in TX (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 110 units permitted in Grimes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Grimes County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 93% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,992 (31.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
5.67%
Cash-on-cash
-2.23%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-20,781
Equity at exit
$56,499
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-6,687
Equity at exit
$62,272

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77830

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $649/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$-115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,645
Max offer price $199,773
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $10 -5% $-52 +0% $-115 +5% $-177 +10% $-239
Rent -10% $-233 -5% $-174 +0% $-115 +5% $-55 +10% $4
Rate -1.0pp $-4 -0.5pp $-59 base $-115 +0.5pp $-172 +1.0pp $-230

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $220,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $220,000 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-04-09
    listed $220,000 Active 966-char remark
    Show marketing remark (966 chars)

    Discover peaceful country living on almost 2 acres! This spacious home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, formal living and dining area, a family room with a wood burning fireplace, and a dedicated study or craft room, providing plenty of space for both everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy pear, peach and mulberry trees along with space for gardening and outdoor projects. Additional improvements include 4 storage buildings, 2 of which are equipped with electricity, includes a tool room and an enclosed chicken coop. Roof and hot water heater are less than five years old. Located on FM 244, near College-Station, Navasota, Madisonville and Huntsville, the property provides convenient access to nearby communities while maintaining the quiet and privacy of country living. Buyers will appreciate the opportunity to enjoy small-acreage living with room for hobbies, homesteading, or simply relaxing outdoors. Don't miss this opportunity, check it out today!

  6. 2017-09-18
    soldstatus 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    This 3 bedroom, 2 bath well maintained home is nestled on 1.94 wooded acres, and located very near Gibbons Creek Reservoir and town. A great place to getaway for the weekend or to "go fishing" full time. The property includes 2 separate storage sheds and air conditioned office building. A quick drive from both Huntsville and Bryan/College Station, this property is priced to sell and won't last long! Make your appointment to see it today!

  7. 2015-09-04
    listed $72,500 451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (451 chars)

    This 3 bedroom, 2 bath well maintained home is nestled on 1.94 wooded acres, and located very near Gibbons Creek Reservoir and town. A great place to getaway for the weekend or to "go fishing" full time. The property includes 2 separate storage sheds and air conditioned office building. A quick drive from both Huntsville and Bryan/College Station, this property is priced to sell and won't last long! Make your appointment to see it today!

  8. 2005-11-07
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$649 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,026 · $336/mo
Expected delta
+$3,377/yr (+$281/mo · 520.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 93% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,999
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$649
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$5,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,285
After-tax cash flow
$-89/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anderson-Shiro CISD
NCES district ID
4808230
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$47,594
Composite
47.13/100
National rank
#2327
State rank
#107 of 826 in TX

Livability — Anderson

Score
58/100
State rank
#1197
US rank
#20979

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,907

Population outlook (Grimes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,910 people
By 2030
29,539 · +2.2%
By 2040
30,648 · +6.0%
By 2050
31,698 · +9.6%
By 2075
34,351 · +18.8%
By 2100
33,565 · +16.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 22% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grimes

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.3) · D 19.5% · R 79.7%
2008→2024 swing
-25.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.3pp · 2024: -60.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.3 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+44.2 2008: R+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.68%
Current HPI
250.5669
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+203.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $220,000 HARMLS
  • 2017-09-18 Sold (MLS) BCSRMLS
  • 2015-09-04 Listed $72,500 BCSRMLS
  • 2005-11-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $649 · +15.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…