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420 N Grace St
D+ Composite 49.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.2/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,600

420 N Grace St · Edgemont Park, MI 48917
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 564 sqft · SingleFamily · 2 Days on market
Built 1942 5,009 sqft lot Est $73k · 30% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

VERY NICE 2 BEDROOM HOME ON A FULL BASEMENT. PERFECT AS A STARTER OR RETIREMENT HOME. HAS A LARGE FENCED BACK YARD FOR PETS OR CHILDREN TO PLAY. HOME CURRENTLY HAS NO FURNICE AND IS AWAITING CONSUMERS ENERGY TO RUN GAS TO THE PROPERTY. SELLER IS OFFERING AN $8000 ALLOWANCE IF PURCHASED BEFORE THE FURNICE IS INSTALLED.

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • 5,009 sq ft lot
  • Built 1942

Tags

FULL BASEMENTLARGE FENCED BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 87/100 on livability (#16 in MI, #272 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-.
  • Waverly Community Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #341 of 540 in MI (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $661 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $44k; list at $96k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,600

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.47%
Cash-on-cash
7.76%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$73,320
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
517 N Rosemary St 0.08mi 2/1.0 600 (+6%) 14mo $70,000 $117 74
515 N Grace St 0.08mi 2/1.0 640 (+14%) 6mo $85,000 $133 69
521 N Deerfield Ave 0.23mi 1/1.0 (-1) 610 (+8%) 16mo $79,000 $130 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.6%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-2,689
Equity at exit
$14,254
10-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$19,399
Equity at exit
$8,266

Cash invested: $26,768 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48917

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,001 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$501
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $919/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $782
Max offer price $95,600
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $227 -5% $200 +0% $173 +5% $146 +10% $119
Rent -10% $94 -5% $134 +0% $173 +5% $213 +10% $252
Rate -1.0pp $221 -0.5pp $198 base $173 +0.5pp $148 +1.0pp $123

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,900
Closing costs
$2,868
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3322 W Michigan Ave Unit 3 Lansing, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $850 $1.42 44d 1 0.45mi
927 W Shiawassee St Unit 10 Lansing, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $845 $1.21 44d 1 1.13mi
1443 Roselawn Ave Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 656 $750 $1.14 44d 1 1.29mi
504 W Lapeer St Apt A Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $895 $1.49 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $95,600 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,600 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,600 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 319-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $95,600 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$919 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,196 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$277/yr (+$23/mo · 30.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,015
− Mortgage interest
−$5,355
− Property taxes
−$919
− Insurance
−$478
− Repairs & maintenance
−$961
− Management
−$961
− Depreciation
−$2,781
Taxable income
$559
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$134
After-tax cash flow
$1,944/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waverly Community Schools
NCES district ID
2635520
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$51,325
Composite
27.09/100
National rank
#7043
State rank
#341 of 540 in MI

Livability — Edgemont Park

Score
87/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#272

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Eaton County · 52,430 people
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,483
Household income
$70,990
Rent vs Own
40.0% rent · 60.0% own
Severe rent burden
1196.0

Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
300,362 people
By 2030
307,808 · +2.5%
By 2040
320,492 · +6.7%
By 2050
333,223 · +10.9%
By 2075
373,693 · +24.4%
By 2100
392,021 · +30.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ingham

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -191.60%
Current HPI
189.2075
Rent YoY
▲ 4.74%
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+116.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Coming Soon $95,600 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2003-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $44,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $919 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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