420 N Grace St · Edgemont Park, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,600
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
VERY NICE 2 BEDROOM HOME ON A FULL BASEMENT. PERFECT AS A STARTER OR RETIREMENT HOME. HAS A LARGE FENCED BACK YARD FOR PETS OR CHILDREN TO PLAY. HOME CURRENTLY HAS NO FURNICE AND IS AWAITING CONSUMERS ENERGY TO RUN GAS TO THE PROPERTY. SELLER IS OFFERING AN $8000 ALLOWANCE IF PURCHASED BEFORE THE FURNICE IS INSTALLED.
Key facts
- Full basement
- 5,009 sq ft lot
- Built 1942
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#16 in MI, #272 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-.
- Waverly Community Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #341 of 540 in MI (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $661 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $96k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.76%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $73,320
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 517 N Rosemary St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (+6%) | 14mo | $70,000 | $117 | 74 |
| 515 N Grace St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 640 (+14%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $133 | 69 |
| 521 N Deerfield Ave | 0.23mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 610 (+8%) | 16mo | $79,000 | $130 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-2,689
- Equity at exit
- $14,254
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $19,399
- Equity at exit
- $8,266
Cash invested: $26,768 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48917
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,001 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$501
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $919/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $173
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $227 | -5% $200 | +0% $173 | +5% $146 | +10% $119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $94 | -5% $134 | +0% $173 | +5% $213 | +10% $252 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $221 | -0.5pp $198 | base $173 | +0.5pp $148 | +1.0pp $123 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,900
- Closing costs
- $2,868
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3322 W Michigan Ave Unit 3 Lansing, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 927 W Shiawassee St Unit 10 Lansing, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $845 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1443 Roselawn Ave Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $750 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 504 W Lapeer St Apt A Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $95,600 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,600 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,600 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 319-char remark
-
2026-06-15$95,600 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $919 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,196 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$277/yr (+$23/mo · 30.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,015
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,355
- − Property taxes
- −$919
- − Insurance
- −$478
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$961
- − Management
- −$961
- − Depreciation
- −$2,781
- Taxable income
- $559
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$134
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,944/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waverly Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2635520
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,325
- Composite
- 27.09/100
- National rank
- #7043
- State rank
- #341 of 540 in MI
Livability — Edgemont Park
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #272
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Eaton County · 52,430 people
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,483
- Household income
- $70,990
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1196.0
Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 300,362 people
- By 2030
- 307,808 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 320,492 · +6.7%
- By 2050
- 333,223 · +10.9%
- By 2075
- 373,693 · +24.4%
- By 2100
- 392,021 · +30.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ingham
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -191.60%
- Current HPI
- 189.2075
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.74%
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+116.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Coming Soon $95,600 Greater Lansing AoR
- 2003-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $44,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $919 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…