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702 E Carrol St
C- Composite 53.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,000

702 E Carrol St · Harlingen, TX 78550
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,464 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1955 10,500 sqft lot $88/sqft · 32% below area Est $190k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover this charming brick home ideally located in the heart of Harlingen! Situated on a spacious corner lot measuring approximately 0.24 acres, this property offers both comfort and convenience in a highly desirable area. The home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 2 half bathrooms, providing a functional layout perfect for families, first-time buyers, or investors. Updates include a like-new roof and HVAC system, offering peace of mind and energy efficiency for years to come. The property is also equipped with solar panels, giving the new owner the benefit of reduced energy costs. All appliances will convey with the home, making this a truly move-in ready opportunity. Outside, you’ll find a beautiful, generously sized shed that provides excellent additional storage or workspace.

Key facts

  • Like-new roof
  • Move-in ready
  • Brick home

Tags

BRICK HOMECORNER LOTLIKE-NEW ROOFHVAC SYSTEMSOLAR PANELSMOVE-IN READY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($890/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $129k).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
  • Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 465 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $51k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,390 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
6.98%
Cash-on-cash
2.46%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$189,764
List price
$129,000
Delta
-32.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1905 N 8th St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,434 (-2%) 10mo $210,000 $146 72
1501 High St 0.51mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,388 (-5%) 5mo $74,900 $54 58
413 Orange Heights Dr 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,382 (-6%) 4mo $155,000 $112 49
905 E Leggett Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,636 (+12%) 12mo $255,000 $156 37
1517 Walnut Ct 0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,625 (+11%) 19mo $195,000 $120 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-15,511
Equity at exit
$19,234
10-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-4,667
Equity at exit
$11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78550

Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
465
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,319 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax from tax record
$237 /mo · $2,850/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$74

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $147 -5% $111 +0% $74 +5% $38 +10% $1
Rent -10% $-30 -5% $22 +0% $74 +5% $126 +10% $178
Rate -1.0pp $139 -0.5pp $107 base $74 +0.5pp $41 +1.0pp $7

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
717 E Jim Hogg Ave Harlingen, TX 3.0 1.0 1039 $1,200 $1.15 15d 1 0.35mi
714 Winddrift St Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1668 $1,850 $1.11 22d 1 0.66mi
918 E Leggett Rd Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1756 $1,700 $0.97 22d 1 0.71mi
1057 E Matz Ave Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1692 $1,850 $1.09 45d 1 0.73mi
1917 New Combes Hwy Unit H Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1098 $975 $0.89 22d 1 0.76mi
709 E Jackson St Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 15d 1 0.89mi
226 W Darrell Wayne Shipp St Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,700 $1.21 45d 1 0.90mi
1802 E Washington Ave Harlingen, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 848 $1,050 $1.24 22d 1 0.93mi
1802 E Washington Ave Unit 56 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1024 $995 $0.97 15d 1 0.95mi
1802 E Washington Ave Unit 94 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1056 $825 $0.78 15d 1 0.95mi
1802 E Washington Ave Unit 44 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,050 $0.99 15d 1 0.95mi
1802 E Washington Ave Unit 54 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1024 $900 $0.88 15d 1 0.95mi
1630 Summerfield Ln N Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,900 $1.13 22d 1 0.97mi
1723 Warren St Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 950 $865 $0.91 45d 1 0.99mi
2101 N G St Unit B Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1004 $950 $0.95 22d 1 1.04mi
106 S A St Harlingen, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 877 $850 $0.97 14d 3 1.06mi
1505 N 25th St Unit 305 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1167 $825 $0.71 22d 1 1.07mi
121 W Ebano Ct Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1174 $1,200 $1.02 45d 1 1.07mi
2234 S Christians Cir Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1493 $2,400 $1.61 45d 1 1.10mi
821 W Matz Ave Unit B Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1190 $1,300 $1.09 15d 1 1.14mi
1701 Gabriels Lndg Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1699 $2,350 $1.38 22d 1 1.24mi
2014 E Monroe Ave Harlingen, TX 3.0 1.0 1148 $1,350 $1.18 22d 1 1.24mi
1626 Christians Cir Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1827 $2,200 $1.20 15d 1 1.25mi
1010 W Madison Ave Unit A Harlingen, TX 4.0 2.5 1761 $1,600 $0.91 22d 1 1.28mi
2002 E Van Buren Ave Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 1062 $1,150 $1.08 22d 1 1.33mi
2209 E Jackson St Harlingen, TX 4.0 2.0 1356 $1,250 $0.92 45d 1 1.37mi
2710 Los Amigos Dr Harlingen, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 801 $1,099 $1.37 15d 5 1.38mi
817 Sonesta Dr Unit 3 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.5 1000 $900 $0.90 45d 1 1.39mi
817 Sonesta Dr Unit 1 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.5 1020 $900 $0.88 45d 1 1.39mi
20558 Alta Vista Ct Unit C Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,125 $1.16 45d 1 1.39mi
22938 Monte Alto Ct Unit 22938-2 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1160 $1,100 $0.95 15d 1 1.39mi
619 E Pierce Ave Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $800 $0.80 45d 1 1.40mi
22937 Monte Alto Ct Unit 2 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1160 $1,195 $1.03 15d 1 1.40mi
504 Rock Cir Unit 1 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.5 1050 $925 $0.88 22d 1 1.41mi
20550 Alta Vista Ct Unit C Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,125 $1.16 45d 1 1.41mi
737 Sonesta Dr Unit B Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.5 1064 $950 $0.89 22d 1 1.41mi
738 Sonesta Dr Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.5 1040 $925 $0.89 45d 1 1.45mi
1722 Stone Dr Unit 2 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,000 $0.91 45d 1 1.45mi
721 Sonesta Ct Unit 4 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.5 1085 $925 $0.85 45d 1 1.49mi
1902 E Tyler Ave Harlingen, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,060 $1.05 15d 6 1.49mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,000 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-04-28
    price $129,000 802-char remark
    Show marketing remark (802 chars)

    Discover this charming brick home ideally located in the heart of Harlingen! Situated on a spacious corner lot measuring approximately 0.24 acres, this property offers both comfort and convenience in a highly desirable area. The home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 2 half bathrooms, providing a functional layout perfect for families, first-time buyers, or investors. Updates include a like-new roof and HVAC system, offering peace of mind and energy efficiency for years to come. The property is also equipped with solar panels, giving the new owner the benefit of reduced energy costs. All appliances will convey with the home, making this a truly move-in ready opportunity. Outside, you’ll find a beautiful, generously sized shed that provides excellent additional storage or workspace.

  6. 2026-04-09
    price $139,000 802-char remark
    Show marketing remark (802 chars)

    Discover this charming brick home ideally located in the heart of Harlingen! Situated on a spacious corner lot measuring approximately 0.24 acres, this property offers both comfort and convenience in a highly desirable area. The home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 2 half bathrooms, providing a functional layout perfect for families, first-time buyers, or investors. Updates include a like-new roof and HVAC system, offering peace of mind and energy efficiency for years to come. The property is also equipped with solar panels, giving the new owner the benefit of reduced energy costs. All appliances will convey with the home, making this a truly move-in ready opportunity. Outside, you’ll find a beautiful, generously sized shed that provides excellent additional storage or workspace.

  7. 2026-03-24
    price $148,000 802-char remark
    Show marketing remark (802 chars)

    Discover this charming brick home ideally located in the heart of Harlingen! Situated on a spacious corner lot measuring approximately 0.24 acres, this property offers both comfort and convenience in a highly desirable area. The home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 2 half bathrooms, providing a functional layout perfect for families, first-time buyers, or investors. Updates include a like-new roof and HVAC system, offering peace of mind and energy efficiency for years to come. The property is also equipped with solar panels, giving the new owner the benefit of reduced energy costs. All appliances will convey with the home, making this a truly move-in ready opportunity. Outside, you’ll find a beautiful, generously sized shed that provides excellent additional storage or workspace.

  8. 2026-03-03
    listed $180,000 Active 802-char remark
    Show marketing remark (802 chars)

    Discover this charming brick home ideally located in the heart of Harlingen! Situated on a spacious corner lot measuring approximately 0.24 acres, this property offers both comfort and convenience in a highly desirable area. The home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 2 half bathrooms, providing a functional layout perfect for families, first-time buyers, or investors. Updates include a like-new roof and HVAC system, offering peace of mind and energy efficiency for years to come. The property is also equipped with solar panels, giving the new owner the benefit of reduced energy costs. All appliances will convey with the home, making this a truly move-in ready opportunity. Outside, you’ll find a beautiful, generously sized shed that provides excellent additional storage or workspace.

  9. 2024-08-04
    price $160,000
  10. 2024-07-23
    price $200,000
  11. 2024-01-03
    price $211,000
  12. 2020-12-18
    soldstatus
  13. 2019-10-09
    listed $129,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,850 · $237/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,850 · $237/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,827
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$2,850
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,266
− Management
−$1,266
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable loss
−$1,179
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$283
After-tax cash flow
$1,173/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harlingen CISD
NCES district ID
4822530
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,182
Composite
24.94/100
National rank
#7566
State rank
#647 of 826 in TX

Livability — Harlingen

Score
73/100
State rank
#217
US rank
#5347

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harlingen, TX
County
Cameron County · 310,734 people
City population
95,667
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
Population (ZIP)
53,335
Household income
$49,007
Rent vs Own
49.5% rent · 50.5% own
Severe rent burden
2251.0

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 76%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
51% English-only · Spanish 48%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.60%
Current HPI
167.7038
Rent YoY
▲ 3.45%
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $129,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $139,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $148,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $180,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-08-04 Price Changed $160,000 RGVMLS
  • 2024-07-23 Price Changed $200,000 RGVMLS
  • 2024-01-03 Price Changed $211,000 RGVMLS
  • 2020-12-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-10-09 Listed $129,000 RGVMLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,850 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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