702 E Carrol St · Harlingen, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this charming brick home ideally located in the heart of Harlingen! Situated on a spacious corner lot measuring approximately 0.24 acres, this property offers both comfort and convenience in a highly desirable area. The home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 2 half bathrooms, providing a functional layout perfect for families, first-time buyers, or investors. Updates include a like-new roof and HVAC system, offering peace of mind and energy efficiency for years to come. The property is also equipped with solar panels, giving the new owner the benefit of reduced energy costs. All appliances will convey with the home, making this a truly move-in ready opportunity. Outside, you’ll find a beautiful, generously sized shed that provides excellent additional storage or workspace.
Key facts
- Like-new roof
- Move-in ready
- Brick home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($890/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $117k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
- Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 465 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $51k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.46%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $189,764
- List price
- $129,000
- Delta
- -32.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1905 N 8th St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (-2%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $146 | 72 |
| 1501 High St | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,388 (-5%) | 5mo | $74,900 | $54 | 58 |
| 413 Orange Heights Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,382 (-6%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $112 | 49 |
| 905 E Leggett Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,636 (+12%) | 12mo | $255,000 | $156 | 37 |
| 1517 Walnut Ct | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,625 (+11%) | 19mo | $195,000 | $120 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-15,511
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-4,667
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78550
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 465
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,319 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$237 /mo · $2,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $74
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $147 | -5% $111 | +0% $74 | +5% $38 | +10% $1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-30 | -5% $22 | +0% $74 | +5% $126 | +10% $178 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $139 | -0.5pp $107 | base $74 | +0.5pp $41 | +1.0pp $7 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717 E Jim Hogg Ave Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1039 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 714 Winddrift St Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1668 | $1,850 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 918 E Leggett Rd Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $1,700 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1057 E Matz Ave Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $1,850 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1917 New Combes Hwy Unit H Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $975 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 709 E Jackson St Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 226 W Darrell Wayne Shipp St Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Harlingen, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 56 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $995 | $0.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 94 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $825 | $0.78 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 44 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 54 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $900 | $0.88 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1630 Summerfield Ln N Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,900 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1723 Warren St Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $865 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2101 N G St Unit B Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $950 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 106 S A St Harlingen, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 877 | $850 | $0.97 | 14d | 3 | 1.06mi |
| 1505 N 25th St Unit 305 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $825 | $0.71 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 121 W Ebano Ct Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,200 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2234 S Christians Cir Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,400 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 821 W Matz Ave Unit B Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,300 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1701 Gabriels Lndg Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1699 | $2,350 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2014 E Monroe Ave Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,350 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1626 Christians Cir Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $2,200 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1010 W Madison Ave Unit A Harlingen, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1761 | $1,600 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2002 E Van Buren Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,150 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2209 E Jackson St Harlingen, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,250 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2710 Los Amigos Dr Harlingen, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 801 | $1,099 | $1.37 | 15d | 5 | 1.38mi |
| 817 Sonesta Dr Unit 3 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 817 Sonesta Dr Unit 1 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1020 | $900 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 20558 Alta Vista Ct Unit C Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,125 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 22938 Monte Alto Ct Unit 22938-2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 619 E Pierce Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 22937 Monte Alto Ct Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 504 Rock Cir Unit 1 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $925 | $0.88 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 20550 Alta Vista Ct Unit C Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,125 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 737 Sonesta Dr Unit B Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $950 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 738 Sonesta Dr Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $925 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1722 Stone Dr Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 721 Sonesta Ct Unit 4 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1085 | $925 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1902 E Tyler Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,060 | $1.05 | 15d | 6 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $129,000 802-char remark
Show marketing remark (802 chars)
Discover this charming brick home ideally located in the heart of Harlingen! Situated on a spacious corner lot measuring approximately 0.24 acres, this property offers both comfort and convenience in a highly desirable area. The home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 2 half bathrooms, providing a functional layout perfect for families, first-time buyers, or investors. Updates include a like-new roof and HVAC system, offering peace of mind and energy efficiency for years to come. The property is also equipped with solar panels, giving the new owner the benefit of reduced energy costs. All appliances will convey with the home, making this a truly move-in ready opportunity. Outside, you’ll find a beautiful, generously sized shed that provides excellent additional storage or workspace.
-
2026-04-09price $139,000 802-char remark
Show marketing remark (802 chars)
Discover this charming brick home ideally located in the heart of Harlingen! Situated on a spacious corner lot measuring approximately 0.24 acres, this property offers both comfort and convenience in a highly desirable area. The home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 2 half bathrooms, providing a functional layout perfect for families, first-time buyers, or investors. Updates include a like-new roof and HVAC system, offering peace of mind and energy efficiency for years to come. The property is also equipped with solar panels, giving the new owner the benefit of reduced energy costs. All appliances will convey with the home, making this a truly move-in ready opportunity. Outside, you’ll find a beautiful, generously sized shed that provides excellent additional storage or workspace.
-
2026-03-24price $148,000 802-char remark
Show marketing remark (802 chars)
Discover this charming brick home ideally located in the heart of Harlingen! Situated on a spacious corner lot measuring approximately 0.24 acres, this property offers both comfort and convenience in a highly desirable area. The home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 2 half bathrooms, providing a functional layout perfect for families, first-time buyers, or investors. Updates include a like-new roof and HVAC system, offering peace of mind and energy efficiency for years to come. The property is also equipped with solar panels, giving the new owner the benefit of reduced energy costs. All appliances will convey with the home, making this a truly move-in ready opportunity. Outside, you’ll find a beautiful, generously sized shed that provides excellent additional storage or workspace.
-
2026-03-03$180,000 Active 802-char remark
Show marketing remark (802 chars)
Discover this charming brick home ideally located in the heart of Harlingen! Situated on a spacious corner lot measuring approximately 0.24 acres, this property offers both comfort and convenience in a highly desirable area. The home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and 2 half bathrooms, providing a functional layout perfect for families, first-time buyers, or investors. Updates include a like-new roof and HVAC system, offering peace of mind and energy efficiency for years to come. The property is also equipped with solar panels, giving the new owner the benefit of reduced energy costs. All appliances will convey with the home, making this a truly move-in ready opportunity. Outside, you’ll find a beautiful, generously sized shed that provides excellent additional storage or workspace.
-
2024-08-04price $160,000
-
2024-07-23price $200,000
-
2024-01-03price $211,000
-
2020-12-18soldstatus
-
2019-10-09$129,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,850 · $237/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,850 · $237/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,827
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$2,850
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,266
- − Management
- −$1,266
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable loss
- −$1,179
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$283
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,173/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harlingen CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822530
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,182
- Composite
- 24.94/100
- National rank
- #7566
- State rank
- #647 of 826 in TX
Livability — Harlingen
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #5347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harlingen, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 95,667
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,335
- Household income
- $49,007
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 76%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.60%
- Current HPI
- 167.7038
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.45%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $129,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $139,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $148,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $180,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-08-04 Price Changed $160,000 RGVMLS
- 2024-07-23 Price Changed $200,000 RGVMLS
- 2024-01-03 Price Changed $211,000 RGVMLS
- 2020-12-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-10-09 Listed $129,000 RGVMLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,850 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…