808 45th Street Ensley · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors if you are looking for a project at a great price this is one to consider looking at this one. Don't let it get away.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1951
- Listed 21 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.2 acres
- Financial info: No financial details provided
- HOA & community: No subdivision listed
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Gas water heater; Internet service availability unknown
- Home design: Existing construction; Siding vinyl exterior
- Construction: Crawl space foundation; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: No pool, patio, decks, or garden listed; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Solid surface countertops; Gas oven
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Smooth ceilings; No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in a closet on the main level; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $3k; list at $100k implies a 3706% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.65%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $47,940
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 934 47th St N | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 972 (+3%) | 6mo | $39,000 | $40 | 74 |
| 749 45th Pl N | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,036 (+10%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $72 | 66 |
| 208 52nd Pl N | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 926 (-2%) | 3mo | $62,500 | $67 | 62 |
| 1212 43rd St N | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,018 (+8%) | 6mo | $12,000 | $12 | 52 |
| 913 47th St N | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 838 (-11%) | 22mo | $35,000 | $42 | 50 |
| 912 48th St N | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,073 (+14%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $51 | 48 |
| 916 N 47th St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,038 (+10%) | 19mo | $75,000 | $72 | 44 |
| 4750 9th Street Ter N | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+6%) | 18mo | $27,000 | $27 | 44 |
| 4301 13th Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 846 (-10%) | 21mo | $23,000 | $27 | 39 |
| 4405 2nd Ave S | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+13%) | 11mo | $224,000 | $211 | 28 |
| 5025 2nd Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,070 (+14%) | 18mo | $220,000 | $206 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-103
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $35,697
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35208
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,062 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,144/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $178
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 737 47th St N Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $750 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 934 47th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 941 47th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 879 | $950 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1117 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $900 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4108 7th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1217 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4513 13th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 778 | $1,175 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1017 Cahaba St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4345 2nd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,800 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 972 53rd St N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $900 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4420 5th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,126 | $1.69 | 14d | 2 | 0.87mi |
| 4416 5th Ave S Unit 4420-5 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,062 | $1.59 | 10d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4416 5th Ave S Unit 4420-8 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,032 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4262 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,095 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4332 5th Ave S Unit 201 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 691 | $754 | $1.09 | 10d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4332 5th Ave S Apt 106 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 691 | $1,069 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4264 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,095 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4233 3rd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4243 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4237 5th Ave S Unit 4241-F Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,098 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4237 5th Ave S Unit 4241-H Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,115 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4237 5th Ave S Unit 4237-E Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,135 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 712 47th Way S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,725 | $1.66 | 19d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 724 47th Way S Unit 1019289P Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $8,438 | $8.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5811 2nd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3824 5th Ave S Unit G01C Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 623 | $845 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3824 5th Ave S Unit 203B Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 623 | $830 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 137 59th St N Apt 6 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $725 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 137 59th St N Unit 3 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $725 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3833 6th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3827 6th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3815 6th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $950 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 609 38th St S Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $900 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3509 Norwood Blvd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 943 | $1,100 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$99,900 Active
-
2018-11-28soldstatus $2,625 Sold 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Investors if you are looking for a project at a great price this is one to consider looking at this one. Don't let it get away.
-
2018-11-17historical 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Investors if you are looking for a project at a great price this is one to consider looking at this one. Don't let it get away.
-
2018-10-04$2,625 Active 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Investors if you are looking for a project at a great price this is one to consider looking at this one. Don't let it get away.
-
1988-08-17soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,144 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,144 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,144
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,020
- − Management
- −$1,020
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $563
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$135
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,006/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
- Household income
- $38,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 573.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.99%
- Current HPI
- 153.414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.24%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+185.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $99,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-11-28 Sold (MLS) $2,625 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-11-17 Delisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-10-04 Listed $2,625 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1988-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,144 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…