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1152 Covert Ave
B- Composite 67.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

1152 Covert Ave · Evansville, IN 47714
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 832 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1925 4,356 sqft lot Est $103k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home features New Roof, HVAC, freshly Painted, 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom. Move in Ready or ready for new tenants. Cute backyard and covered front porch and full basement for storage. Carpet and vinyl floor just installed. Sold "As Is"

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1925

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached off-street garage with 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One-story
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Covered patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($990 rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Glenwood Leadership Academy (math 10% / reading 12%, grade F, #909 of 994 statewide, top 92%, 416 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 50% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-28 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $89k implies a 347% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,665 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.05%
Cash-on-cash
9.85%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$103,168
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1407 Waggoner Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 775 (-7%) 2mo $94,500 $122 73
1159 Sweetser Ave 0.30mi 2/1.0 888 (+7%) 2mo $82,500 $93 73
1615 Ravenswood Dr 0.49mi 2/1.0 805 (-3%) 1mo $99,900 $124 71
2011 S New York Ave 0.51mi 1/1.0 (-1) 829 (-0%) 2mo $35,000 $42 68
1505 Jackson Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 780 (-6%) 4mo $38,750 $50 67
1203 Lodge Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+4%) 4mo $60,000 $69 66
637 Jackson Ave 0.65mi 2/1.5 800 (-4%) 1mo $119,900 $150 61
1410 Sweetser Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 928 (+12%) 1mo $165,000 $178 60
1605 Ravenswood Dr 0.46mi 2/1.0 752 (-10%) 4mo $70,000 $93 59
1152 E Chandler Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 825 (-1%) 4mo $127,000 $154 58
1119 Brookside Dr 0.49mi 2/1.0 724 (-13%) 0mo $107,000 $148 55
1913 Monroe Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 936 (+12%) 4mo $155,900 $167 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$3,672
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$42,971
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47714

Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$990 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $880/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $731
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $255 -5% $230 +0% $205 +5% $179 +10% $154
Rent -10% $126 -5% $165 +0% $205 +5% $244 +10% $283
Rate -1.0pp $249 -0.5pp $227 base $205 +0.5pp $181 +1.0pp $158

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1500 S Harlan Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 712 $900 $1.26 14d 1 0.15mi
1021 Jefferson Ave Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 798 $795 $1.00 14d 1 0.37mi
1505 Jackson Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 780 $995 $1.28 21d 1 0.42mi
715 E Riverside Dr Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 806 $895 $1.11 21d 1 0.57mi
1133 Bayard Park Dr Unit B Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 990 $800 $0.81 21d 1 0.70mi
1909 Taylor Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 14d 1 0.73mi
605 Madison Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 1069 $1,375 $1.29 21d 1 0.75mi
1909 Plantation Ct Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 780 $700 $0.90 21d 2 0.85mi
1952 Colts Ln Evansville, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0 1146 $1,035 $0.90 21d 8 0.89mi
734 Bayard Park Dr Evansville, IN 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 21d 1 0.90mi
2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2210-104 Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 631 $785 $1.24 21d 1 0.95mi
2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2200-202 Evansville, IN 3.0 1.0 973 $1,050 $1.08 21d 1 0.95mi
2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2270-318 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 815 $900 $1.10 21d 1 0.95mi
1762 Spring Ct Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $1,450 $1.49 21d 1 0.97mi
1231 Culver Dr Unit C Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 575 $625 $1.09 21d 1 1.04mi
1421 SE 2nd St Unit A Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 800 $695 $0.87 14d 1 1.05mi
827 Judson St Evansville, IN 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,295 $1.28 14d 1 1.15mi
507 S Evans Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 21d 1 1.17mi
924 SE 6th St Unit A Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 800 $875 $1.09 21d 1 1.20mi
17 Washington Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 882 $1,455 $1.65 21d 1 1.25mi
1604 Marbo Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,095 $1.22 21d 1 1.28mi
304 S Grand Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 967 $955 $0.99 21d 1 1.29mi
8 E Blackford Ave Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $825 $1.10 21d 1 1.30mi
2232 E Riverside Dr Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 810 $1,200 $1.48 14d 1 1.36mi
615 SE 3rd St Unit D Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 1122 $895 $0.80 21d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 511-char remark
  12. 2026-06-02
    listed $89,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$880 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$880 · $73/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,874
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$880
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$950
− Management
−$950
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$1,074
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$258
After-tax cash flow
$2,196/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, IN
County
Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
32,132
Household income
$55,910
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1394.0

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 17% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.80%
Current HPI
211.1755
Rent YoY
▲ 7.86%
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+257.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $89,000 IRMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Listed $99,900 IRMLS
  • 2017-07-19 Sold (MLS) $19,900 IRMLS
  • 2017-06-16 Listed $24,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

-4.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $880 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…